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Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles Tips - Curnow and Carlton go big against West Coast

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 11 Apr 2025 07:45

Jeremy Darke 11 Apr 2025

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Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
Carlton Blues expected to win convincingly against West Coast Eagles despite a winless season start.
Charlie Curnow's return and past scoring history against West Coast poses a key advantage for Blues.

Charlie Curnow has a brutal history against the Eagles.

Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction

Even being winless this season, all of our models are still projecting Carlton to win by 40+ points against the Eagles and this contest couldn’t come at a better time for the Blues.

Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List
West Coast Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
West Coast Eagles Team News
West Coast Eagles Team List
Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

Carlton beat West Coast by 65 points last season, without Charlie Curnow or Harry McKay, still scoring 99 points. The dual-threat could be reunited in the knick of time this week and it is predicted that they will run ragged in the forward 50 and lift the Blues to their first win of the season and in a big way.

West Coast’s backline and defensive structure is in absolute tatters and presents the perfect opportunity for Carlton’s attack to find the spark that saves their 2025 season.

The last two times Charlie Curnow has faced the Eagles he has kicked 10 goals and 9 goals in two matches played in 2023.

Carlton have beaten West Coast by an average of 76.8 points in their last 4 matches.
Carlton averaged 126.8 points against West Coast in their last 4 matches.
West Coast have concede 106 points or more in 3 of 4 matches this season.
Charlie Curnow has kicked 19 goals in his last 2 games against West Coast.

Head to Head

Carlton have won the last 4 straight matches against West Coast by a margin of 63 points or more.

Also to note is that Carlton have kicked 99 points or more in all four of their latest victories against the Eagles.

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-4	0-4	0-4

Carlton threw away another lead, this time against the Pies on Thursday night, scoring just 17 points in the second half after a 1-point third quarter, to lose to third biggest rivals 63-46.

With a 38.6% efficiency inside 50 it is no wonder why, failing to get any real quality forward entries against Collingwood, taken just 4 marks inside the area. The Blues are strong at centre and the stoppages ranked fourth in the AFL with 39.6 clearances per game, however true chances are failing to present themselves with Carlton below the league average with 51.7 inside 50s per game.

Despite their winless start the Blues are doing plenty right, keeping their opponents under 83 points in all four losses and it is just a matter of time before their attack finds its feet in 2025, with the return of Harry McKay a potential boost this weekend.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
0-4	0-4	0-4	0-0

Carlton Blues Team News

Elijah Hollands and Harry McKay are big chances to return after both having successful returns in the VFL last weekend.

Lachie Cowan will miss 4-6 weeks with a hamstring injury which could open up a spot for the debut of Matt Carroll who had 17 disposals and 8 marks in the VFL last weekend.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: J.Silvagni, J.Weitering, N.Haynes

HB: A.Saad, M.McGovern, Z.Williams

C: B.Acres, P.Cripps - C, A.Cerra

HF: L.Fogarty, H.McKay, S.Docherty

F: M.Cottrell, C.Curnow, J.Motlop

FOLL: T.De Koning, G.Hewett, S.Walsh

I/C: M.Carroll, O.Hollands, B.Kemp, C.Durdin, W.White

EMG: E.Hollands, L.Young, C.Lord

In: H.McKay, M.Cottrell, M.Carroll, C.Durdin

Out: L.Young (Omitted), L.Cowan (Injured), A.Moir (Omitted), C.Lord (Omitted)

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-4	1-3	3-1

West Coast’s backline is non-existent conceding 130+ points for the second time in the opening four rounds of the season in their loss to the Giants. GWS beat the Eagles by 81 points with Jesse Hogan kicking 9 goals in the match with the West Coast defence unable to contain bigs so far this season.

The Eagles rank last in the AFL with 15.3 opposition marks inside 50 and giving up a goal at a rate 27.8% per opposition forward entry this season, also the worst in the league.

West Coast also can not get their hands on the ball and have over 20 less possessions per game than any other team in the AFL this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
1-3	3-1	0-2	0-2

West Coast Eagles Team News

West Coast could get a boost in Adelaide by the return of Jake Waterman and Jack Hutchinson who have made the trip to South Australia with the team.

Lia, Ryan has recovered from illness and is a likely return along with Harry Edwards who was a late scratch against the Giants.

West Coast Eagles Team List

B: B.Hough, H.Edwards, R.Ginbey

HB: J.Hunt, S.Brock, R.Maric

C: T.Dewar, L.Duggan, J.Graham

HF: J.Cripps, J.Waterman, M.Owies

F: A.Reid, O.Allen - C, L.Ryan

FOLL: B.Williams, L.Baker, H.Reid

I/C: T.Gross, C.Hall, J.Williams, H.Davis, J.Hutchinson

EMG: H.Johnston, M.Flynn, T.Cole

In: H.Edwards, J.Waterman, L.Ryan, J.Hutchinson

Out: T.Brockman (Omitted), T.Kelly (Omitted), N.Long (Omitted), T.Cole (Omitted)

Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5?

You can watch the Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2025 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton Blues site.

Verdict

Carlton v West Coast

Charlie Curnow will kick 5+ goals as the Blues attack finally finds its feet scoring over 104.5 points and win by 40+ points.

Carlton Blues

Winning Margin 40+

$2.20 - 2 Units

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The Ultimate Form Guide

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Carlton Over 104.5

Team Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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