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St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL Tips - Season on the line for Carlton in Friday night footy

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 08 May 2025 10:34

Adam Cusworth 08 May 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Friday’s Round 9 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Can the Blues bounce back after the big loss to Adelaide last weekend?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

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St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL Tips

St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List

St Kilda can inflict further pain on Carlton in Friday night football.

The Saints head in as slight underdogs, despite dominating Fremantle at Marvel Stadium last weekend, taking out the Dockers by 61 points.

Carlton were on the opposite end of a similar result, going down by 60 against the Adelaide Crows. The Blues are 3-5 this season and sit in 13th spot on the ladder, while the 4-4 Saints are 10th.

Ross Lyon’s side have a solid recent record over Carlton, having won three of the past four between the two sides. The Blues have won just five of their past 17 matches. Four of those were against either North Melbourne or West Coast. In the same period, St Kilda have won 10 of their past 16.

St Kilda have won three of the past four matches between the two sides
The Saints have the superior win-loss record in 2025
Sam Walsh has averaged 34 disposals in his past three matches against St Kilda
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is averaging 28 disposals this season

Head to Head

St Kilda have won three of the past four matches between the two sides, including a two-point thriller in Round 24 that featured a late Jack Higgins goal. Jack Sinclair and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera both had 25+ disposals for the Saints in that match, while Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh and George Hewett all had 30+ for Carlton.

Sam Walsh has averaged 34 disposals in his past three matches against St Kilda, while Jack Sinclair has averaged 29 from his past four for the Saints. The two sides rarely play each other at the MCG. Carlton took out the most recent encounter back in 2019.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	3-2

St Kilda’s big win over Fremantle snapped a three-match losing streak. The Saints destroyed the Dockers in a number of key measures, including clearances, contested possessions and inside 50s.

Jack Macrae ran riot with 38 disposals, while Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera had 28. Those two are averaging 28 disposals this season.

Cooper Sharman was a star last weekend with four goals, while Mitch Owens kicked three. Owens has booted 14 from his seven matches, while Jack Higgins has 21 from eight.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-4	6-2	2-1	2-3

St Kilda Saints Team News

Mattaes Phillipou was a late withdrawal last weekend and will be assessed at training. Tobie Travaglia came in for Phillipou but was unused as the sub. Mason Wood is expected to be available after serving out concussion protocols.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: D.Howard, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: M.Windhager, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: D.Wilson, L.Stocker, R.Byrnes

HF: H.Garcia, B.Hill, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, J.Higgins

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C: L.Collard, M.Phillipou, H.Boxshall, M.Hall, L.O’Connell

EMG: Z.Jones, H.Boyd, A.McLennan

In: - M.Phillipou

Out: - T.Travaglia (Omitted)

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

Carlton opened up the season with four straight losses. They rebounded with big wins against easier opposition in West Coast and North Melbourne before edging out Geelong by 18 points in Round 7. They could not take that form on the road in their loss to Adelaide.

The Blues could not get their hands on the footy enough in the Crows match, leading to an inside 50 count of 36-58. They are normally strong in this area, ranking 3rd in the competition for inside 50s, coming on the back off a strong clearance game.

George Hewett had 25 disposals last week and is averaging 29.5 this season. Charlie Curnow booted two goals from limited opportunities and has kicked 11 from his past four.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-5	1-7	1-4	2-1

Carlton Blues Team News

Carlton have no injuries out of the Adelaide match but are expected to make changes after the disappointing display. Sam Docherty and Jesse Motlop are some big names with questionable form. Jack Silvagni is expected to come back into the side.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, L.Young

HB: O.Hollands, M.McGovern, N.Haynes

C: S.Walsh, P.Cripps - C, E.Hollands

HF: B.Acres, H.McKay, J.Motlop

F: C.Durdin, C.Curnow, W.White

FOLL: T.De Koning, A.Cerra, G.Hewett

I/C: J.Silvagni, J.Binns, C.Lord, F.Evans, L.Cowan

EMG: M.Carroll, S.Docherty, M.Pittonet

In: - J.Silvagni, J.Binns, F.Evans

Out: - S.Docherty (Omitted), L.Fogarty (Injured), M.Carroll (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 9?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda v Carlton

St Kilda are the value in the head to head betting. Wanganeen-Milera and Sam Walsh to find plenty of footy

St Kilda

Match Winner

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