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Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL Tips - Swannies get consecutive victories
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- Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 9 AFL game
- The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
- Swans expected to secure a comfortable victory over Bombers.
- Essendon struggling with scoring, averaging just 69 points recently.
Jez tells you why the Swannies will get up.
Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Swans are on a flight path in the upward direction and they will unveil the truth about the Bombers when they get a comfortable victory at Marvel on Saturday.
- Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Essendon Bombers Team News
- Essendon Bombers Team List
- Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Sydney Swans Team News
- Sydney Swans Team List
- Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s
A fiery derby was just what the Swans needed with their stars like Chad Warner and Isaac Heeney having their best match of the season and lifting them past GWS. With all of the early injury disruptions Sydney were bound to do it tough, however, they are finding their wings and it is time for them to start getting some positive results.
Essendon have an alright record at 4-3 but I am not expecting them to compete that much against the Swans, especially considering that they have been having some issues scoring points, which plays right into where Sydney are at the moment, needing low scoring game themselves to get their wins.
The script is there for Sydney, containing the point production of Essendon and their midfield lighting it up to score enough themselves to cover the spread in a low-scoring encounter.
To note, I’m staying away from props in the match with no one paying enough value to warrant the risk.
- Essendon have an average losing margin of 42 points this season.
- Sydney won by 30+ points in both matches against Essendon in 2024.
- Sydney have conceded an average of 63.33 points in their 3 victories this season
- The Bombers have averaged 69 points in their last 3 matches.
Head to Head
Sydney have had no problem brushing past the Bombers over the last few seasons, winning 6 of the last seven, including two victories in 2024.
The Swans won by 30 at the SCG and 39 at Marvel Stadium last year.
The Over/Under is a dead heat at 5 each over the last 10 matches along with each team covering the margin.
Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
To be honest, I’m not sure if there is a good gauge on what Essendon are at the moment, however, their recent scare against North Melbourne 65-62 would suggest that they are not as good as their 4-3 record would suggest.
The Essendon schedule has been kind and when it hasn’t been they have been blown out of the water, despite a shock win against Port which is why there is a haze over who they are in 2025.
All that is clear is that Essendon are certainly struggling to kick goals, scoring an average of just 69 points over the last three weeks, which included games against the Kangaroos and Eagles where other have put up Twenty20 scores.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
Essendon Bombers Team News
Jye Caldwell is set to return to the midfield for the Bombers, however it is more negative news for the Bombers.
Jordan Ridley has been ruled out for 8 weeks with a hamstring tear while Jade Gresham and Harrison Jones could miss this week with niggles.
Essendon Bombers Team List
B: A.McGrath, B.McKay, L.Hayes
HB: M.Redman, Z.Reid, J.Prior
C: X.Duursma, Z.Merrett - C, A.Day-Wicks
HF: A.Perkins, N.Caddy, N.Martin
F: K.Langford, P.Wright, I.Kako
FOLL: T.Goldstein, J.Caldwell, S.Durham
I/C: B.Hobbs, D.Shiel, W.Setterfield, A.Roberts, S.El-Hawli
EMG: E.Tsatas, J.Laverde, Z.Johnson
In: - L.Hayes, A.Day-Wicks, J.Caldwell, D.Shiel, S.El-Hawli
Out: - J.Ridley (Injured), J.Gresham (Injured), J.Menzie (Omitted), E.Tsatas (Omitted), H.Jones (Injured)
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
A bit of rivalry brings out the best in you and that is certainly the case for the Swans, who looked the goods again when they took down GWS last week 87-73.
The Swans needed a boost from their midfield and their big names and they got it with Chad Warner, Justin McInerney and Isaac Heeney controlling the centre and getting quality ball into their forward line, with 16 marks in the area, 5 more than their season average.
The numbers are due to even out for the Swans with last year’s finalists not playing as bad statistically as their 14th-place ladder position would suggest. With a slightly more settled roster, despite a long injury list, the Swans are on the move.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 1-0 |
Sydney Swans Team News
Logan McDonald has now been ruled out long term after being scheduled for ankle surgery.
Callum Mills could be up for selection this week as he looks to return from a foot injury.
Sydney Swans Team List
B: R.Bice, T.McCartin, M.Roberts
HB: S.Wicks, N.Blakey, D.Rampe
C: O.Florent, I.Heeney, J.Lloyd
HF: B.Campbell, H.McLean, J.Jordon
F: W.Hayward, A.Francis, Co.Warner
FOLL: B.Grundy, Ch.Warner, J.Rowbottom - C
I/C: B.Paton, J.McInerney, C.Cleary, A.Sheldrick, J.Hamling
EMG: P.Ladhams, T.Hanily, C.Mitchell
In: - B.Paton
Out: - L.Melican (Suspension)
Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s
How to watch Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9?
You can watch the Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9?
To buy tickets to the Essendon Bombers vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Essendon Bombers site.
Verdict
The Swans will cover the the line by holding the Bombers under 81.5 points in this match.
Sydney -8.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 3 Units
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Essendon Under 81.5
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