This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Tuesday 22
Wednesday 23
Thursday 24
Friday 25
Saturday 26
Sunday 27
Monday 28
Tuesday 29
Wednesday 30
Thursday 1
Friday 2

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL Tips - Kangaroos to cover with big headstart

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Thu 08 May 2025 10:52

Ryan Tucker 08 May 2025

Share this article

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 9 AFL game
The game will be played at Blundstone Arena, with the bounce at 4:40 PM (AEST)
North Melbourne aims to cover the spread against Brisbane with a historical edge.
Expect a high-scoring match with the game total projected to go over.
Brisbane's second-half strength contrasts North's evolving game strategies.

Expired

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions best tips and predictions

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction

North Melbourne have covered in 2 straight games against Brisbane as the Home Underdog and will do so again in this matchup in Hobart with a 6 goal headstart.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Brisbane Lions Team News
Brisbane Lions Team List
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

The form of both teams this season has now been mapped out and we can see that Brisbane are a team that turn the screws in the second half, wearing down their opponent to secure victory. They have started favourite in all 8 games but have covered in just 3 with the bookies reeling in their number after a 0-4 ATS start.

North Melbourne have an exciting young core and while they have taken only 1 win from their 8 games played, they have shown signs of improvement and development which has seen them cover in 5 of those 8 matchups.

The Kangaroos have had to adjust their game style throughout the season, following opponents in high scoring matches and also locking down in tight contests. Whilst the polish isn’t quite there yet, they have enough flair and pure skill to keep the game competitive for a large portion of the clock and cover when given a big headstart.

Take North Melbourne to cover with the large line, the Game Total to go Over with North contributing on their end to a high scoring game. With lots of points comes lots of goals, take Charlie Cameron on the ladders.

North Melbourne have covered 2 straight as the home team vs Brisbane.
20 of the last 25 games at Blundstone Arena have gone Over the Game Total.
Underdogs of 30+ points are 7-5 ATS this season.
Charlie Cameron has kicked multiple goals in 72% of games he has scored in while playing at Brisbane.

Head to Head

Brisbane have won 7 straight games against the Kangaroos with North Melbourne’s last victory coming in round 20 of the 2018 season.

Since the start of 2019, 4 of the 7 games played have gone Under the Game Total while the last 3 games straight have seen winning margins of 70+ points.

Brisbane hold a slight 4-3 ATS record in the last 7 games.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	2-3	3-2

North Melbourne were edged out by 3 points last Thursday by Essendon in a thriller of a contest. The Kangaroos had a chance to go up with only minutes remaining but missed the vital score setting up their opponent to hold on in a nail-biter.

Luke Davies-Uniacke was strong inside with a game-high 17 contested possessions, which is the equal eighth highest amount in his career. He had 28 disposals at 68% efficiency, five clearances, nine handball receives, ten loose ball gets and 243 metres gained.

North had 46 Inside 50’s to Essendon’s 41 but couldn’t match their efficiency in the attacking zone ultimately leading to the loss. They are an accurate team in front of the sticks when the chances present themselves, but getting to those chances has been tough so far this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-3	5-3	0-4	1-3

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

George Wardlaw will return from a thigh injury but the Kangas have lost youngster Miller Bergman for the season to a knee injury while Jackson Archer is expected to miss up to 8 weeks with a high grade hamstring problem.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List

B: C.Comben, T.Pink, L.McDonald

HB: R.Hardeman, C.Daniel, C.McKercher

C: F.O’Sullivan, L.Davies-Uniacke, J.Simpkin - C

HF: H.Sheezel, N.Larkey, Z.Duursma

F: J.Konstanty, J.Darling, C.Zurhaar

FOLL: T.Xerri, T.Powell, L.Parker

I/C (FROM): A.Corr, G.Wardlaw, B.Scott, D.Stephens, Z.Fisher, G.Logue, G.Payne, F.Maley

In: - T.Pink, A.Corr, G.Wardlaw, Z.Fisher, G.Logue, G.Payne

Out: - K.Dawson (Omitted), J.Archer (Injured), W.Phillips (Omitted)

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	3-2

The Lions scored their second lowest total of the season last weekend but still took a convincing win in the QClash against little brother Gold Coast Suns 66-49 at the Gabba.

It was Brisbane’s 12th derby win in their last 13 games against the Suns and also moved them to 7-1 on the season, topping the AFL ladder with almost a third of the season under the belt.

The Lions have been extremely strong in the 2nd half of games this season, having to come from behind on multiple occasions to secure victory. In this game they actually led at the half but put on a 5 goal to 1 third quarter to ensure they took the win in front of a sold out home crowd.

Will Ashcroft continued his amazing form racking up 34 disposals including 9 clearances and 3 tackles.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-5	3-5	6-0	1-1

Brisbane Lions Team News

Kai Lohmann and Logan Morris are expected to return to the lineup given they pass their fitness tests prior to heading to Hobart. Sam Day will miss up to weeks with a hamstring injury.

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester

HB: N.Answerth, H.Andrews - C, D.Wilmot

C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, J.Berry

HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, Z.Bailey

F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, C.Ah Chee

FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale

I/C (FROM): K.Lohmann, W.Ashcroft, L.Ashcroft, T.Gallop, C.McKenna, D.Gardiner, J.Tunstill, D.Fort

In: - L.Morris, K.Lohmann, T.Gallop, J.Tunstill, D.Fort

Out: - S.Day (Injured), W.McLachlan (Omitted)

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9?

You can watch the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne Kangaroos site.

Verdict

North Melbourne v Brisbane

North Mlb +36.5

Line

$1.90 - 2 Units

Use Easyform

The Ultimate Form Guide

18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply

Bet at Playup

Over 176.5

Game Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

Lightning fast betting

Join with code BETSAU

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet

C Cameron 3+

Goals

$3.20 - 1 Unit

Download the dabble app

with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble

C Cameron 2+

Goals

$1.70 - 1 Unit

Take it to the Neds Level

The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Neds