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Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL Tips - Port buckle under pressure in the 57th Showdown

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu. 08 May 2025 13:41

Jeremy Darke 08 May 2025

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Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 9 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 8:10 PM (AEST)
Adelaide Crows are favorites in the Showdown with strong recent form.
Port Adelaide struggles with inconsistency, particularly in goal-kicking.

Jez's tips for the Showdown.

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction

The 57th edition of the Showdown in Adelaide will see the Crows regain command in the head-to-head battle in a typical scrap of a match that will show plenty of emotion.

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Port Adelaide Power Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team List
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

Port are once again on a yo-yo string and you never know if they are up or down, while the Crows have been overachieving on their expectation this season and are showing good signs of making the Finals come September.

I am certainly warming to the Crows this season and have more faith in them than the inconsistency of the Power, who tend to fall off the wagon when there is any kind of pressure. There is no bigger stage in Adelaide than the Showdown and this will shake the Power and we will see them miss the target as they tend to do.

Expect Adelaide to kick on with Izak Rankine leading the charge as he did in the Crows two matches against the Power last season, with the versatile half-forward kicking a couple of goals for the second match in a row.

Adelaide have won 3 of the last 4 matches against Port Adelaide.
Adelaide have an average winning margin of 47 points in 2025.
8 of the last 11 matches between Adelaide and Port have gone under the match total of 175.5 points.
Izak Rankine kicked 5 goals in two matches against the Power last season.

Head to Head

Port took a 22-point victory over Adelaide in the 56th edition of the Showdown, however, the Crows won by 30 in Round 8, 2024.

The Crows have been the dominant side of late in the rivalry of the City of Churches, winning 4 of the last 6 matches, with their last 3 victories by 30+ margins.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

Port’s win-loss form is just as easy to follow as their goal kicking accuracy and funny enough it is basically the difference between them getting a victory or not. If the Power can hit the target they win, they don't and they lose.

What a woeful showing it was in their most recent loss to the Bulldogs last weekend. Port kicked just 5 goals from 16 scoring shots which resulted in a 131-41 loss, because they forgot how to defend at the same time.

After a 30-point win against the Hawks at Gather Round it felt like the Power had turned a page on their poor accuracy problems, but apparently not and it is a roll of the dice from week to week if they are kicking with blindfold on or not.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-5	4-4	3-2	1-2

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Josh Sinn and Travis Boak could be welcome returns for Port heading into the Showdown, but will have to pass the late fitness test before the weekend.

Port Adelaide Power Team List

B: La.Jones, A.Aliir, M.Bergman

HB: C.Rozee - C, E.Ratugolea, K.Farrell

C: W.Drew, O.Wines, J.Burgoyne

HF: D.Byrne-Jones, M.Georgiades, J.Mead

F: S.Powell-Pepper, O.Lord, J.Richards

FOLL: D.Visentini, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C: J.Sinn, J.Finlayson, C.Moraes, J.McEntee, R.Burton

EMG: J.Sweet, W.Lorenz, L.Evans

In: - D.Visentini, J.Sinn, C.Moraes, J.McEntee, R.Burton

Out: - W.Lorenz (Omitted), W.Rioli (Personal Reason), J.Sweet (Omitted), L.Evans (Omitted), J.Berry (Omitted)

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	1-4

The Crows took their third 60-point win of the 2025 season, beating Carlton 110-50 at Adelaide Oval last weekend giving them a 5-3 record this season, placing them fifth on the ladder heading into Round 9.

Adelaide had 6 multi-goal scorers with Jordan Dawson leading the pack with 3 majors as the Crows kicked 16 goals and 30 scoring shots in the match. Adelaide had 69 more possessions than the Blues and a disposal efficiency of 80% and converted 53.4% of the forward entries into points.

Linking up the midfield with their forward line was the Crows issue in 2024, but they have rectified that, having more potent options up front, with the match against Carlton being a perfect example of that where all of their attacking options were utilised.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-3	3-5	2-3	3-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Mitch Hinge will return from his suspension and will come into the side. The big question is what Matt Nicks does with Brodie Smith, who performed well against Carlton last weekend.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, J.Butts, R.Laird

HB: W.Milera, M.Keane, M.Michalanney

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, M.Hinge

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, J.Rachele

F: D.Fogarty, T.Walker, A.Neal-Bullen

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Soligo, I.Rankine

I/C: J.Peatling, D.Curtin, S.Berry, L.Nankervis, Z.Taylor

EMG: S.Draper, C.Burgess, B.Smith

In: - M.Hinge

Out: - B.Smith (Omitted)

Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9?

You can watch the Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide Power site.

Verdict

Port Adelaide v Adelaide

The match will be a scrap fight and stay under the game total of 175.5 points. The Crows will cover and get a double-digit victory with Jordan Rankine kicking 2+ goals.

Adelaide -9.5

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Under 175.5

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