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Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints Tips - Saints rise in the city of churches

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 03 Apr 2025 12:09

Jeremy Darke 03 Apr 2025

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Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 4 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Jack Macrae is a key player, averaging 33.5 disposals per game this season.
Port Adelaide struggles with forward accuracy; expect a low-scoring game.

Saints are in with a shot to shock the Power.

Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Saints were awful in Round 1 at Adelaide Oval but they learnt their lesson and will stick it to the Power and will cover the 13.5 points as the underdog and don’t be surprised if they walk away from the city of churches with a winners grin.

Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Port Adelaide Power Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team List
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

St Kilda struggled in 2024 linking in transition between their collapse defence and countering to move the ball forward. Jack Macrae was that missing piece and his experience in the midfield with a league-leading 33 disposals per game has made the difference for the Saints.

Port Adelaide have plenty to worry about despite their strong record against St Kilda and the Saints poor form when traveling to South Australia. The Saints have done enough with their victory against Geelong and smashing of Richmond to give me confidence that they cover. The Power are doing it tough moving the ball forward and when they are getting chances they are missing the target.

The Saints will restrict quality shots on goal which is why the under is in play in this one and Macrae will be all over the ball as usual.

St Kilda have lost their last 5 against Port, however, they have been beaten by a margin of 13 points or less in their last 5 matches.
Port ranks 15th in inside 50’s this season.
The last 7 matches between Port and St Kilda have gone under the game total of 168.5 points.
Jack Macrae averages 33.5 disposals a game, leading the entire AFL.

Head to Head

Port Adelaide have won the last 6 matches against St Kilda and 7 of the last 8 since 2019.

The margin of victory has been by 13 points or less in the last 5 matches between Port and the Saints.

The last match at Adelaide oval was in Round 7 last season and was decided by 10 points. The pair faced each other in Round 16 at Marvel with Port getting up by the slimmest of margins 60-62.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-2	1-2	2-1

Port were tipped to be amongst the top-four again in 2025, however, losses to Richmond and Essendon have only been slightly softened by a win against Richmond.

Take away the gimme against Richmond and Port are in the same situation they have been in for a couple of seasons. Good against poor teams and poor against good teams.

Accuracy is once again killing the Power, ranking 6th for scoring shots per inside 50 but are 15th in the AFL in forward entries. Compiling to the few inside 50’s Port has had an accuracy of just 40% on scoring shots in their two losses.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
1-2	2-1	0-1	1-1

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Zak Butters has been sorely missed in the Power midfield and has been included in the starting 18 for Sunday’s clashy. Lachie Lord’s return is also looking promising and would be a big addition to a forward line that is struggling for health to start the 2025 season.

Port Adelaide Power Team List

B: J.Sinn, A.Aliir, M.Bergman

HB: L.Evans, E.Ratugolea, K.Farrell

C: C.Moraes, C.Rozee - C, J.Burgoyne

HF: J.Mead, M.Georgiades, W.Rioli

F: D.Byrne-Jones, S.Powell-Pepper, J.Richards

FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C (FROM): J.Berry, O.Wines, W.Drew, T.Cochrane, T.Boak, O.Lord, J.Finlayson, La.Jones

In: Z.Butters, O.Lord, J.Finlayson, La.Jones

Out: I.Soldo (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-1	2-1	3-0

St Kilda did it tough at Adelaide Oval in Round 1, handed a 63-point loss by the still undefeated Crows. Since then the Saints have been one of the positive surprises in 2025 with a 7-point win over the Cats and followed that up by blasting the Tigers out of the Docklands by 82 points last week.

It is the veterans leading the way for the Saints with new addition Jack Macrae leading the team with 33.3 disposals per game and doing it the hard way with an average of 19 uncontested possessions, 2 more than any other player in the AFL, all at the age of 31.

Jack Sinclair has also been heavily amongst the action with 29 disposals while the third Jack, Higgins, has 9 goals and leads the forwards.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-1	3-0	1-0	1-1

St Kilda Saints Team News

Saints captain Jack Steele injured his knee at training last week and missed the Saints win over Richmond. He has been named to return for Sunday’s match.

Max King is still one week away while we could see the first appearance for Dan Butler.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: I.Keeler, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: R.Byrnes, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: D.Wilson, J.Steele - C, M.Windhager

HF: J.Higgins, B.Hill, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, M.Wood

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, H.Garcia

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, L.Stocker, A.Hastie, H.Boyd, H.Boxshall, M.Hall

In: J.Steele, L.Stocker, H.Boyd, H.Boxshall

Out: L.O’Connell (Injured)

Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4?

You can watch the Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide Power site.

Verdict

Port Adelaide v St Kilda

Port’s inaccuracy and the tight St Kilda defence will keep this game under the game total. The 13.5 points is too generous for the Power and the Saints will cover with Jack Macrae getting another 30+ disposals.

St Kilda +13.5

Handicap/Line

$1.92 - 2 Units

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Under 168.5

Team Total

$1.91 - 2 Units

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Jack Macrae

30+ Disposals

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