2025 AFL Round 4

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Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL Tips - Suns too bright for Crows in high scoring matchup

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 03 Apr 2025

Ryan Tucker 03 Apr 2025

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Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 4 AFL game
The game will be played at People First Stadium, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEDT)
Gold Coast Suns are looking to go 3-0 for only the second time in history with a win over Adelaide Crows.
Matt Rowell and other key Suns players are expected to deliver standout performances.
Predictions favor the Suns winning with a 1-39 point margin; look out for a dynamic showdown.

Top picks for Suns vs Crows this Saturday!

Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction

Gold Coast will go 3-0 for only the second time in their history with a win in their home opener against a strong Adelaide Crows team.

Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

Who would have thought we would be previewing a top of the table clash between two undefeated teams in Gold Coast and Adelaide 4 weeks into the season!! But that is the reality as both teams have gotten off to a flier to start 2025.

The Suns have started 3-0 only once in their short history, back in 2016. They then proceeded to lose 10 straight games before chalking up another victory, but this team is different. Matt Rowell, Noah Anderson, Touk Miller are just some of the names of players that are already putting up career numbers and look impossible to stop.

The Crows are also impressive with Izak Rankine, Rory Laird and veteran Tex Walker all contributing to a complete team effort over their first 3 wins of the season. Adelaide have been ruthless in their scoring with their opposition unable to restrict their ball movement as they rank 2nd in metres gained to start the year.

There is only 1 team better and it is the Suns, given they have played one less game but the resounding victory over the Demons at the G last weekend is not to be taken lightly. My expectation in this game is that Adelaide will try their best to move the ball by foot while the Suns by hand, creating some dynamic matchups and back and forth footy.

There will be momentum shifts in the game and it will come down to who can keep the pressure on the longest, who can win the ball out of the middle and put their team on the front foot. That team for me is Gold Coast.

Take the Suns to win with a 1-39 margin, also to go Over their team total and Matt Rowell to rack up 30 touches once again.

Gold Coast won 7 of 9 at People First Stadium last year with 6 of those wins being 1-39.
Adelaide won just 3 of 11 games away from home last season and have not beaten the Suns at home since 2019.
Gold Coast have scored 120+ in their first two games, the Crows allowed 100 to the Bombers two weeks ago.
Matt Rowell is averaging 33 disposals at 70% efficiency so far this season.

Head to Head

It’s a dead heat 4-4 in the head to head record between Gold Coast and Adelaide since the beginning of the 2019 season. The Suns have though won 3 of the last 4 matchups with all three wins as the home team.

The Under has hit in the last two games played but was only 1-5 in the 6 games prior. The winning margin has been between 1-39 points in 4 of the last 5 matchups.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-0	2-0	2-0

The Suns have completely turned their road form around this year having won 2 straight to start the season after taking 10 games last season to get their first win as the away team.

Their 120-62 demolition of the Demons last weekend at the MCG was highlighted by Matt Rowell’s career best numbers of 36 disposals, 19 contested possessions, 13 clearances, 8 Inside 50’s and 7 tackles. Noah Anderson continues to stake his claim as a Brownlow smokey with 35 touches on the day with the Suns dominating the middle against an All-Australian opposition team.

Gold Coast won the clearance battle 40-24 despite being on the tail end of the hitouts 29-35. They also had more turnovers than their opponent but the skill and pressure on defence negated the advantage to the Demons. The Suns lead the league in Inside 50’s with an average of 66 per game so far this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-0	2-0	0-0	2-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

Ben Ainsworth will need to pass a fitness test but is likely to be available for selection. With Adelaide sporting a very tall forward line, there will be some tough decisions for coach Hardwick this week.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: W.Powell, S.Collins, B.Uwland

HB: J.Noble, M.Andrew, D.Rioli

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, C.Budarick

HF: B.Ainsworth, T.Miller, S.Flanders

F: B.King, B.Humphrey, E.Read

FOLL: J.Witts, W.Graham, N.Anderson - C

I/C: J.Walter, B.Long, J.Rogers, S.Clohesy, J.Jeffrey

EMG: N.Holman, N.Moyle, C.Graham

In: B.Ainsworth

Out: N.Holman (Omitted)

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-0	2-1	2-1

The Crows have been the surprise packet of the AFL so far this season winning all three of their games convincingly to kick off the year. Their 161-100 win over Essendon two weeks ago was the best of the three but a 114-78 drubbing of a much improved North Melbourne last weekend is also impressive.

Adelaide have been super accurate in front of the sticks across their three games, hitting at a 60% rate, the 2nd best number in the AFL. They kicked 17 goals from 29 scoring shots last week against the Kangaroos with a 58.2% efficiency rate Inside 50. They are ranked 3rd in the league in average number of forward entries behind only Gold Coast and Brisbane.

Veteran Tex Walker kicked 4 goals last weekend with Riley Thilthorpe adding 3 to his already growing tally bringing him up to 9 goals for the year, equal 3rd in the league. Rory Laird and Izak Rankine both hit 30+ disposals in the game with Rankine adding 8 clearances to the stats sheet.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-1	2-1	1-0	2-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Josh Rachele will miss at least a month of footy with a rib injury, Karl Gallagher could be up for selection as early as next week while Nick Murray is listed as 2-3 weeks with a knee complaint.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, J.Borlase, R.Laird

HB: W.Milera, M.Keane, M.Michalanney

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, L.Sholl

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, I.Rankine

F: D.Fogarty, T.Walker, A.Neal-Bullen

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Soligo, J.Peatling

I/C: D.Curtin, L.Nankervis, L.Murphy, M.Hinge, S.Draper

EMG: S.Berry, H.Bond, T.Murray

In: L.Nankervis, L.Murphy

Out: J.Rachele (Injured), M.Crouch (Managed)

Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4?

You can watch the Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast Suns site.

Verdict

Gold Coast v Adelaide

Take the Suns to win with a 1-39 margin, also to go Over their team total and Matt Rowell to rack up 30 touches once again.

Suns 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.33 - 3 Units

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Gold Coast Over 93.5

Team Total

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Matt Rowell 30+

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