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Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL Tips- Pies to inflict further pain on old rivals
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 4 AFL game
- The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
- Can the Blues chalk up their first win of the season?
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
How good is Thursday night footy!! Top picks right here for Collingwood vs Carlton.
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Collingwood Magpies Team News
- Collingwood Magpies Team List
- Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Carlton Blues Team News
- Carlton Blues Team List
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
It is now or never for Carlton as they take on their arch-rivals, Collingwood, in an MCG blockbuster to kickstart Round 4.
The Blues are winless after three matches with last half fadeouts hurting them badly in their losses against Richmond, Hawthorn and the Western Bulldogs. They led those matches in the second half of each.
The task at hand doesn't get any easier, coming up against a Collingwood outfit that are fresh off the bye last weekend. After an Opening Round shocker, the Magpies responded with wins against Port Adelaide and the Western Bulldogs.
The Magpies can continue their momentum. Look for Nick Daicos to find plenty of the footy
- Collingwood have won five of the past six matches between the two sides.
- The past 16 matches between the arch-rivals have been decided by 39.5 points or less with 12 having gone the way of the Magpies
- Nick Daicos comes off a 39 disposal game against the Western Bulldogs
- Carlton have scored more than 75 points just once in their past seven matches
Head to Head
Collingwood have won five of the past six matches between the two sides, including the two encounters last season by three in Round 21 and six in Round 8. The past 16 matches have been decided by less than 39.5 points with 12 of those going the way of the black and white.
Carlton’s Sam Walsh has averaged 31 disposals from his past three against Collingwood, while Charlie Curnow has kicked 11 in his past four. Collingwood’s Nick Daicos averages 28 disposals from his past four against the Blues.
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
After a slow start against GWS, Collingwood have rebounded with two wins. They have now won six of their past eight. The Pies have featured in a stack of close games since the start of last season with 22 of their past 26 matches being decided by 39.5 points or less.
Craig McRae’s side have averaged 85 points in their last 10 matches and we can expect something around that figure for Thursday’s match.
Brody Mihocek, Tim Membrey, Bobby Hill and Jamie Elliott have booted five goals so far this year. Nick Daicos has averaged 29 disposals and comes off 39 against the Bulldogs. His brother, Josh, had 25 in the same match.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Brody Mihocek will be available for Collingwood after missing the Bulldogs game with general soreness. Reef McInness went down early in that match with a season ending injury. Billy Frampton is in the mix to come in. Dan Houston suffered a broken nose at training but is expected to play.
Collingwood Magpies Team List
B: B.Maynard, B.Frampton, J.Howe
HB: I.Quaynor, D.Moore - C, D.Houston
C: P.Lipinski, H.Perryman, S.Sidebottom
HF: B.Hill, B.Mihocek, J.De Goey
F: J.Elliott, D.McStay, L.Schultz
FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, N.Daicos
I/C: J.Daicos, S.Pendlebury, T.Membrey, B.McCreery, N.Long
EMG: E.Allan, W.Hoskin-Elliott, M.Cox
In: B.Frampton, B.Mihocek
Out: R.McInnes (Injured), M.Cox (Omitted)
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Carlton have now lost 10 of their past 12, a sequence that stretches back to Round 17 last season. They have covered the line just twice in that period and are yet to achieve that feat this season. Their three losses in 2025 have been by 20 points or less. Nine of their past 10 have been by 39.5 points or less.
Scoring has dried up for the Blues, managing to kick more than 75 points just once in their past seven. That was 99 points against West Coast in Round 23 last season. Charlie Curnow showed some signs last weekend with three goals, while Brodie Kemp kicked five.
On the disposal front, Patrick Cripps, Adam Cerra, George Hewett and Tom de Koning are all averaging 25+ this season and the Blues have held their own in the clearances and contested possessions. But their ball use heading forward has not led to winning scores.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Carlton Blues Team News
Zach Williams faces a fitness test after sustaining an achilles injury. Harry McKay has missed the past two matches for personal reasons. His inclusion would bolster the Blues forward line.
Carlton Blues Team List
B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, O.Hollands
HB: L.Young, M.McGovern, L.Cowan
C: B.Acres, P.Cripps - C, S.Walsh
HF: S.Docherty, B.Kemp, L.Fogarty
F: J.Silvagni, C.Curnow, J.Motlop
FOLL: T.De Koning, A.Cerra, G.Hewett
I/C: A.Moir, C.Lord, N.Haynes, Z.Williams, W.White
EMG: J.Binns, J.Boyd, F.Evans
In: A.Moir, C.Lord, W.White
Out: M.Cottrell (Injured), J.Boyd (Omitted), F.Evans (Omitted)
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s
How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4?
You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4?
To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.
Verdict
Collingwood to extend recent dominance over Carlton with victory between the 1-39 bracket. Nick Daicos to have a night out.
Collingwood 1-39
Winning Margin 1-39
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Nick Daicos
To Have 30+ disposals
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