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Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power Round 19 AFL Tips - Hawks to get back on track with big win

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: Thu 17 Jul 2025 10:55

The expert prediction for the AFL Round 19 showdown between Hawthorn Hawks and Port Adelaide Power suggests a close game, with the Hawks expected to leverage their strong pressure and superior attacking efficiency to secure a win. Hawthorn's recent form is strong, ranking high in defense and attack, while Port Adelaide's recent struggles with goal accuracy could be a problem. Key players like Mabior Chol and Karl Amon are highlighted for their anticipated impact. A margin of victory between 1-39 points is suggested as the trend between these two teams.

Ryan Tucker 17 Jul 2025
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  • Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 19 AFL game
  • The game will be played at UTAS Stadium, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
  • Hawthorn Hawks expected to win by 1-39 points over Port Adelaide Power.
  • Port Adelaide struggles with goal accuracy could prove costly.
  • Key players to watch: Mabior Chol and Karl Amon for their anticipated performance.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power Round 19 AFL Tips

Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction


Port definitely have the manpower to overcome the Hawks, as we saw back in Round 5. But with Hawthorn’s pressure and the Power’s inefficiencies in front of goal, the expectation is that the Hawks will take the victory, stepping closer to a finals berth.
  • Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2025 Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Hawks Team News
  • Hawthorn Hawks Team List
  • Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2025 Betting Trends
  • Port Adelaide Power Team News
  • Port Adelaide Power Team List
  • Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

Port Adelaide were almost found out by the worst team in the comp last weekend. It took a heroic final quarter effort to wrestle back momentum and take the win. Whilst they have kicked more goals than behinds in 3 of their last 5, you never know what team will turn up on the day.

Hawthorn showed against the Dockers last weekend that they are up for any type of fight. The pressure rating was off the charts and Hawks tackles Inside 50m were elite. They are 2nd or 3rd in most of the major defensive categories all while still outranking Port in attacking efficiency and stoppages.

Take Hawthorn to win 1-39 as is the trend between these teams. Mabior Chol went goalless for the first time in 4 games last weekend, he will bounce back with at least 2 majors. Karl Amon has had 30+ in 2 of his last 3, let’s pick him up on 25+ in this one.

  • 5 of the last 7 regular season matchups have finished with 1-39 win margins.
  • A combined 70% of games played by these two teams this season have finished with 1-39 margins.
  • Mabior Chol is averaging 1.9 goals per game at 67% accuracy
  • Karl Amon is averaging 24.1 disposals this season and has had 30+ in 2 of his last 3 games.

Head to Head 


Port Adelaide have won 5 of the last 7 regular season meetings between these teams dating back to the 2019 season. They have won 4 on the trot including the most recent matchup earlier this season 121-91 at Adelaide Oval and the lone finals game played in 2024. 

Hawthorn won the last matchup played at UTAS 80-49 in 2019. The Game total has gone Over in 4 of 7 games while the winning margin has stayed between 1-39 on all but 2 occasions.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-22-3

The Hawks played like it was finals but couldn’t do enough to stop a 4th quarter onslaught from their opponents as they went down 77-64 to the Dockers last weekend.

The pressure was immense all game long with a combined 181 tackles from both teams, 25 of those in the Hawks forward 50. The momentum swayed numerous times but some wayward goalkicking hampered Hawks efforts to put any meaningful distance between themselves and their fellow finals contenders. 

Hawthorn had 156 contested possessions and 11 centre clearances, Jai Newcombe playing a large role. He finished with 24 disposals and 7 clearances on the day. Calsher Dear had 3 goals for the Hawks as he continues to improve in a staggered season.

2025 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-3940+
10-77-108-53-1

Hawthorn Hawks Team News


No major injury news for the Hawks but they are still looking for that perfect rotation after struggling for form across the board.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List


B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, K.Amon
HB: J.Impey, J.Sicily - C, B.Hardwick
C: M.D’Ambrosio, J.Worpel, H.Morrison
HF: C.Macdonald, J.Gunston, N.Watson
F: C.Dear, M.Lewis, D.Moore
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Ward

I/C: J.Scrimshaw, J.Ginnivan, C.Nash, B.Macdonald, F.Maginness
EMG: M.Ramsden, C.Mackenzie, C.Jiath

In: - M.Lewis, J.Scrimshaw, B.Macdonald
Out: - M.Chol (Injured), C.Jiath (Omitted), C.Mackenzie (Omitted)

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-22-33-2

Port Adelaide needed to come from behind against a plucky Eagles team to take an 87-61 victory and keep finals hopes (mathematically) alive last weekend. They kicked the first goal but were then overrun by their opponents, inaccuracy in front of the sticks once again proving to be a sticking point for Port. 

It wasn’t until the final term where they managed to kick 5 unanswered goals that they regained the lead and held on until the siren. Jason Horne-Francis led all on field with 3 goals while also having 27 touches and 6 tackles. Zak Butters played bully ball with 38 disposals, 14 in first quarter while Ollie Wines had 10 clearances.

Port Adelaide need to essentially go undefeated and hope for favourable results with Sydney and the Bulldogs to have any chance of making finals. 5 of their remaining 6 games are against top 8 opponents.

2025 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-3940+
7-107-106-52-4

Port Adelaide Power Team News


Jason Horne-Francis is set for a stint on the sidelines after fracturing his foot in the win over the Eagles. Connor Rozee broke his hand in the same game and is also likely to be out. 

Port Adelaide Power Team List


B: K.Farrell, B.Zerk-Thatcher, M.Bergman
HB: L.Evans, A.Aliir, La.Jones
C: J.Burgoyne, W.Drew, M.Liddy
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, J.Lukosius, T.Boak
F: O.Lord, M.Georgiades, J.Richards
FOLL: J.Sweet, O.Wines, Z.Butters - C

I/C: H.Jackson, J.Mead, D.Williams, W.Lorenz, J.Sinn
EMG: R.Atkins, J.McEntee, I.Soldo

In: - L.Evans, J.Mead, D.Williams
Out: - C.Rozee (Injured), J.Horne-Francis (Injured), W.Rioli (Omitted)

Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 19 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.

Verdict

Take Hawthorn to win 1-39 as is the trend between these teams. Mabior Chol went goalless for the first time in 4 games last weekend, he will bounce back with at least 2 majors. Karl Amon has had 30+ in 2 of his last 3, let’s pick him up on 25+ in this one.
Best Bet1: Hawthorn 1-39 Winning Margin $2.05 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Mabior Chol 2+ Goals $1.77 at Neds - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Karl Amon 25+ Disposals $2.15 at Playup - 2 Units
Hawthorn 1-39
Winning Margin
$2.05 - 3 Units
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Mabior Chol 2+
Goals
$1.77 - 2 Units
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Karl Amon 25+
Disposals
$2.15 - 2 Units
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