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Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL Tips - Dogs to bite back at the GABBA but will it be enough?

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu. 17 Jul. 2025 10:54

Adam Cusworth 17 Jul. 2025

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Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs expert predictions for Friday’s Round 19 AFL game
The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Can the Bulldogs overcome poor record against top sides?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Adam's Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL Tips

Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction

Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Brisbane Lions Team News
Brisbane Lions Team List
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Western Bulldogs Team News
Western Bulldogs Team List
Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

It is now or never for the Western Bulldogs, who can serve it up to the Lions, despite their poor record against sides in the top half of the ladder this season.

Brisbane have been impressive in recent weeks and have won their past three, but this matchup won’t be a walkover.

The Bulldogs' midfield, led by Marcus Bontempelli and supported by the ultra-consistent Ed Richards, has the firepower to match Brisbane at the coalface. Richards, in particular, is expected to continue his outstanding form and gather plenty of the ball, while the Bulldogs' ability to control possession and rack up disposals could limit the Lions’ transition game. Brisbane’s pressure and home-ground advantage give them the edge, but expect the Bulldogs to stay within striking distance throughout.

The key question heading into this clash is whether the Bulldogs' vulnerable defence can hold up under Brisbane’s forward-half pressure. With Eric Hipwood and Charlie Cameron both in strong form and the Lions ranking top five for inside 50s and scores over the past month, the Dogs' backline will be under siege.

If they can hold firm, the Bulldogs' elite ball movement and efficient forward duo of Aaron Naughton and Sam Darcy can keep them in the contest.

Take the Bulldogs with the start. Ed Richards will be prominent in the disposal count, while Eric Hipwood looks a solid play for multiple goals for the home side.

The Bulldogs top the competition for points per game this season.
The Bulldogs led Brisbane by 50 points the last time the two sides met before being run down late.
Eric Hipwood has kicked 11 goals in the past two matches between these two sides.
Ed Richards has had 25+ disposals in 10 of his past 11 matches.

Head to Head

Brisbane have won the past two between the two sides. They produced a 50-point turnaround in the Gather Round clash earlier this season, turning a 39-point deficit into a 21-point victory. Eric Hipwood and Logan Morris combined for nine goals, while Hugh McCluggage and Will Ashcroft both had over 30 disposals. Ed Richards had 29 disposals for the Dogs.

The Lions were victorious the last time these two sides met at the GABBA, which was back in 2022. Lachie Neale has averaged 32.5 disposals from his past four matches against the Bulldogs. Tom Liberatore and Bailey Dale have averaged 27 for the Dogs. Eric Hipwood has kicked 11 goals in the past two matches between these two sides.

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	4-1	2-3

Brisbane have won their past three matches and chalked up victories over Geelong and Port Adelaide prior to the Carlton win. They have won five of their past seven, with inaccuracy costing them in the two losses in that period.

In the past five rounds, the Lions rank in the top five in the competition for disposals and clearances, inside 50s and scoring. Their win over Carlton was highlighted by their efficiency after winning clearance, while they bought a high pressure game that forced the Blues into costly turnovers.

Charlie Cameron cashed in up forward with three goals and has kicked six in the past two rounds. Five Lions had 25+ disposals, including Will Ashcroft, who has had 25+ in nine of his past 11 as well as Lachie Neale and Dayne Zorko, who have both had 25+ in three of their past four.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-9	6-11	10-3	2-1

Brisbane Lions Team News

Noah Answerth went down with a serious achilles tendon injury against Carlton and has been ruled out for the season. The Lions have few players on the injury list with just Jack Payne and Lincoln McCarthy unavailable. Kaedean Coleman is a likely inclusion for the Lions.

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Zorko, D.Gardiner, R.Lester

HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews, B.Starcevich

C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, J.Berry

HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, W.Ashcroft

F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, K.Lohmann

FOLL: D.Fort, J.Dunkley, L.Neale - C

I/C: C.Ah Chee, L.Ashcroft, S.Marshall, B.Reville, O.McInerney

EMG: S.Day, C.McKenna, D.Joyce

In: - S.Marshall, B.Reville

Out: - N.Answerth (Injured), Z.Bailey (Suspension)

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	2-3	5-0

The Western Bulldogs have won four of their past five matches but those wins were against sides in the bottom half of the ladder. Against sides in the top half they have a win-loss record of 1-7 in 2025.

The Bulldogs top the competition for points per game this season and have kicked over 100 points in five of their past six, while they had 98 in the other, which was against Adelaide last weekend.

Aaron Naughton booted five goals last week, while Sam Darcy kicked two. Naughton has kicked 10 in the past two rounds and 17 in his past five. Darcy has 17 in his past five since returning from injury.

The Bulldogs top the competition for disposals in the past five rounds. Marcus Bontempelli had 37 disposals last weekend, while Ed Richards had 29. Richards has had 25+ in 10 of his past 11.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-9	12-5	4-7	6-0

Western Bulldogs Team News

No injuries for the Bulldogs to come out of the loss to Adelaide. The Bulldogs VFL side had a bye last weekend. Liam Jones and James Harmes are among a couple that might be considered to come in, should the Bulldogs selection committee decide to make changes.

Western Bulldogs Team List

B: L.Bramble, L.Jones, J.O’Donnell

HB: J.Johannisen, R.Lobb, B.Dale

C: S.Davidson, E.Richards, J.Freijah

HF: R.Sanders, A.Naughton, M.Kennedy

F: L.Vandermeer, S.Darcy, R.West

FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, T.Liberatore

I/C: L.Cleary, R.Garcia, L.McNeil, C.Poulter, B.Williams

EMG: T.Duryea, B.Khamis, O.Baker

In: - L.Jones, L.Cleary, L.McNeil

Out: - N.Coffield (Omitted), J.Dolan (Managed), C.Hynes (Omitted)

Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 19 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs

Bulldogs to go close. Richards to find 25+ disposals, Hipwood amongst the goals for home side

Western Bulldogs +10.5

Handicap -10.5

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