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Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Tips - Crows to defend fortress and hold rising Suns at bay

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 17 Jul 2025 11:03

Adam Cusworth 17 Jul 2025

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Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 19 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 4:40 PM (AEST)
Can the Suns chalk up first win against Adelaide in Adelaide?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Adam's Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Tips

Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction

Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

Adelaide will extend their fortress-like home form when they host the surging Gold Coast Suns in what looms as one of the most compelling matchups of Round 19.

The Crows have won six of their last seven and are undefeated in their past six at Adelaide Oval, while they are yet to concede defeat to the Suns in six matches at the Adelaide Oval.

But this is the best Gold Coast side we have seen and the Suns outfit should be full of belief after toppling Collingwood last weekend by six points in a Friday night thriller.

That win showcased their growing resilience, but they'll need to lift again against a red-hot Adelaide forward line led by Riley Thilthorpe, who booted a career-best six goals last weekend.

Despite the loss of Touk Miller, the Suns’ midfield remains in formidable touch, with Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson combining for 64 disposals in Round 18.

With the Suns never having won at Adelaide Oval, and the Crows looking settled and dangerous, expect a tight contest — but Adelaide in the 1-39 point range looks the play here. Jordan Dawson will lead the way for the home side, while Darcy Fogarty looks good for the 2+.

11 of Gold Coast’s past 12 matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less.
Adelaide have never lost to the Gold Coast at the Adelaide Oval
The Crows have won their past six at the venue.
Jordan Dawson has hit the 25+ in his past three matches and averages 27 in his past four against the Suns

Head to Head

The two sides featured in a classic earlier this season at the Gold Coast with the Suns getting the upper hand in a one-point thriller. Sam Flanders and Daniel Rioli had 26 disposals apiece for the Suns, while Riley Thilthorpe booted five goals for Adelaide. Jordan Dawson had 31 disposals.

Gold Coast have won four of the past five between the two sides but none of those were at the Adelaide Oval. They are yet to defeat the Crows at the venue in six attempts. Sam Flanders has averaged 29 disposals from his past four against the Crows, while Noah Anderson has averaged 27. Adelaide’s Jordan Dawson has averaged 27 from his past four against the Suns. Darcy Fogarty has kicked nine goals from his past four.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	2-3

Adelaide have won six of their past seven matches. Two of those five wins have been against sides in the top half of the ladder. They are 3-5 against sides in the top half in 2025. They have won their past six at the Adelaide Oval and are eight from nine at the venue in 2025.

The Crows rank just 16th for disposals in their past five matches but are 4th for inside 50s and 6th for scoring. They rank 3rd for fewest points conceded in the past five rounds.

Riley Thilthorpe booted six goals against the Western Bulldogs, while Darcy Fogarty chimed in with three. Thithorpe has been a bit hit and miss and went goalless against Melbourne a fortnight ago but booted five prior to that against Richmond.

Jordan Dawson had 27 disposals in the match against the Western Bulldogs. Dawson has had 25+ in his past three matches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-6	6-11	6-5	6-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Jordon Butts sustained a punctured lung in the win over the Western Bulldogs and will miss, while Brayden Cook went down with concussion in the same match. Matt Crouch and Toby Murray are nearing a return from injury. Lachlan Sholl and Lachlan Murphy have some solid form in the SANFL and will be considered.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, N.Murray, R.Laird

HB: M.Hinge, M.Keane, M.Michalanney

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, Z.Taylor

F: I.Rankine, D.Fogarty, T.Walker

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Soligo, S.Berry

I/C (FROM): L.Nankervis, A.Neal-Bullen, C.Jones, W.Milera, J.Peatling, H.Bond, L.Pedlar, C.Burgess

In: - N.Murray, L.Nankervis, H.Bond, L.Pedlar, C.Burgess

Out: - J.Butts (Injured), B.Cook (Injured)

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	3-2

Gold Coast have won four of eight against sides in the top half of the ladder this season. They have won four of eight matches as the away side this season. 11 of their past 12 matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less and they are 7-4 in those games.

The Suns top the competition for clearances over the past five rounds and prefer not to over-use the ball, ranking 15th for disposals but 6th for inside 50s and goals scored. Ben King kicked two goals last weekend in a low scoring game and has hit the 2+ in seven of his past nine.

Noah Anderson, Matt Rowell and John Noble all had 30+ disposals against Collingwood. Anderson is averaging just under 33 from his past eight matches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-8	9-7	7-5	4-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

Gold Coast lose one of their key playmakers, Touk Miller, due to a hamstring injury. Alex Sexton and Leo Lombard are among a couple of replacements. Their vice-captain, Sam Collins, should be available for a return from a calf injury.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: B.Uwland, M.Andrew, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, D.Rioli

C: S.Clohesy, B.Humphrey, B.Fiorini

HF: B.Ainsworth, S.Flanders, L.Weller

F: B.Long, J.Walter, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, M.Rowell, N.Anderson - C

I/C (FROM): E.Read, N.Moyle, D.Swallow, L.Lombard, C.Budarick, J.Jeffrey, B.Jepson, O.Adams

In: - S.Collins, N.Moyle, L.Lombard, B.Jepson

Out: - T.Miller (Injured)

Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.