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Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL Tips - Giant task in store for undermanned Bombers in Thursday night AFL

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 16 Jul 2025 13:05

An in-depth preview of the upcoming AFL match between Essendon Bombers and GWS Giants, predicting a strong performance from GWS due to Essendon's injury struggles. Key players like Aaron Cadman and Jesse Hogan are expected to lead GWS, while Essendon might struggle to keep up despite efforts from Zach Merrett. A potential win for GWS with efficient ball movement and defensive strategies, continuing their recent form. Betting trends favor Giants covering the spread, reflecting their current dominance over injury-hit Essendon.

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Adam Cusworth 16 Jul 2025
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  • Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 19 AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Can the injury depleted Bombers produce a miracle at Marvel?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Adam's Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL Tips

 Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction

  • Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Essendon Bombers Team News
  • Essendon Bombers Team List
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • GWS Giants Team List
  • Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

GWS will cash in against an Essendon side that have been ravaged by injury in 2025. 

The Giants dispatched 2nd ranked Geelong by 26 points last weekend, led by a career-best six-goal performance from emerging forward Aaron Cadman and are now 6-1 from their past seven matches. 

They have built that record around elite defensive transition, sharp ball use, and midfield dominance. Key contributors like Tom Green, Finn Callaghan, Lachie Ash, and Lachie Whitfield are consistently winning the ball and creating scoring chains, while Jesse Hogan looms as a major threat up forward against a depleted Essendon defence.

The Bombers have averaged just 60 points per game, losing their past six matches. They managed only four goals in a dire showing against Richmond last week. 

With a brutal injury toll, they will find it hard to stick with GWS in this match up. Zach Merrett remains a beacon of consistency and the 30+ looks within reach for the Bombers skipper. Take your pick from a number of Giants in player props, who will cover the line in this match. 

  • Essendon are averaging just 60 points over their past five games and managed only four goals last week.
  • The Bombers copped more injuries last week and up to 14 players will be unavailable. 
  • Jake Stringer booted four goals last weekend
  • Tom Green has averaged 32 disposals from his past four matches against Essendon. He had 34 disposals the last time the two sides met

Head to Head 


Essendon were 20-point winners the last time these two sides met, which was back in Round 9 last season. They have won their past three against the Giants at the venue. GWS were 126 point winners in Sydney back in Round 23 of 2023. Jesse Hogan booted nine goals in that match. 

Tom Green has averaged 32 disposals from his past four matches against Essendon. He had 34 disposals the last time the two sides met. 

Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-43-2

Essendon have lost their past six matches. They have been by an average margin of 35. Scoring has been a massive issue for the Bombers, who have averaged just 60 points per game in their past five matches. They could only manage four goals in the loss to the Tigers last weekend. 

Archer May and Nate Caddy kicked one goal apiece against Richmond. May has kicked six in his past three matches. Peter Wright has kicked 2+ goals in four of his past seven. 

Essendon rank 15th for inside 50s in the past five rounds, despite ranking 2nd the competition for disposals. Archie Roberts and Zach Merrett both had 30+ disposals last weekend. Merrett has had 71 disposals in his past two matches. Roberts has hit the 25+ in three of his past four. 

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
5-116-106-40-6

Essendon Bombers Team News


It has been a disastrous 2025 campaign for Essendon on the injury front. Nic Martin and Will Setterfield are the latest casualties and up to 14 players are expected to be unavailable with most of those normally in their starting 23. Their young gun, Nate Caddy, is also in some doubt. Archie Perkins and Dylan Shiel are among those in the VFL that could come in to replace Martin and Setterfield. 

Essendon Bombers Team List


B: A.McGrath, J.Laverde, A.Roberts
HB: M.Redman, J.Ridley, A.Clarke
C: X.Duursma, Z.Merrett - C, L.Lual
HF: A.Perkins, P.Wright, J.Gresham
F: A.May, L.McMahon, I.Kako
FOLL: V.Visentini, D.Shiel, S.Durham

I/C: J.Prior, M.Guelfi, Z.Johnson, L.Blakiston, O.Smartt
EMG: J.Menzie, S.El-Hawli, A.Day-Wicks

In: - A.Perkins, J.Gresham, L.McMahon, V.Visentini, D.Shiel, M.Guelfi
Out: - W.Setterfield (Injured), N.Caddy (Managed), N.Martin (Injured), T.Goldstein (Managed), E.Tsatas (Injured), B.Hobbs (Injured)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-14-13-2

GWS have won six of their past seven. Three of their past four have been against sides that could potentially finish top four with those coming against Gold Coast, Brisbane and Geelong last weekend, while they were 59 point winners against West Coast are fortnight ago.  

They have won their past four away matches, including a 28-point win over Carlton at Marvel Stadium, the only time they have ventured to the venue this season. 

Those wins have been built on some slick ball movement from defensive 50, ranking 2nd for defensive 50 to scores in the past five rounds. They are 4th for disposals in that period. 

Lachie Whitfield had 32 disposals against Geelong, while Lachie Ash had 27. Ash has had 25+ in his past 11 matches and 30+ in four of his past six. Finn Callaghan has averaged over 30 in his four matches since returning from injury. 

Aaron Cadman starred with six goals against Geelong and has kicked 16 from his past four matches. Jake Stringer kicked four goals and has hit the 2+ in four of his past five. 

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
9-88-98-63-0

GWS Giants Team News


Brent Daniels and Sam Taylor remain on the injury list for GWS. The Giants are unlikely to make too many changes to the side that knocked over Geelong but Jesse Hogan and Josh Kelly are in doubt. Max Gruzewski and Stephen Coniglio are among possible replacements. 

GWS Giants Team List


B: C.Idun, J.Buckley, J.Fonti
HB: L.Whitfield, L.Aleer, L.Ash
C: R.Angwin, S.Coniglio, X.O’Halloran
HF: T.Bedford, A.Cadman, D.Jones
F: J.Stringer, J.Riccardi, T.Greene - C
FOLL: K.Briggs, F.Callaghan, T.Green

I/C: H.Himmelberg, M.Gruzewski, H.Rowston, C.Brown, T.McMullin
EMG: J.Leake, H.Thomas, N.Madden

In: - S.Coniglio, M.Gruzewski, T.McMullin
Out: - J.Kelly (Managed), J.Hogan (Managed), H.Thomas (Omitted)

Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 19 game check the AFL website or the official Essendon Bombers site.

Verdict

Giants to win big with Hogan kicking a bag. Green and Merrett solid for 30+ disposals
Best Bet1: GWS -43.5 Handicap +43.5 $1.90 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Jake Stringer To Score 3+ goals $2.40 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Tom Green To Have 30+ disposals $1.57 at OnlyBets - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Zach Merrett To Have 30+ disposals $1.75 at dabble - 1 Unit
GWS -43.5
Handicap +43.5
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