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Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL Tips - Cats to claw back into form with victory over plucky St Kilda

Adam Cusworth

Editor

Last updated: Thu 17 Jul 2025 11:00

Adam Cusworth 17 Jul 2025

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Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 19 AFL game
The game will be played at GMHBA Stadium, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
Can the Saints break 25-year hoodoo down at Geelong?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Adam's Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL Tips

Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction

Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Geelong Cats Team News
Geelong Cats Team List
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

Geelong will be looking to rebound at home when they host St Kilda on Sunday at GMHBA Stadium, where they've dominated the Saints for over two decades, winning the past 12 encounters there.

St Kilda have been a bit of a bogey side for the Cats, having taken out the last two matches between the two sides, including the Round 2 meeting, but recent form suggests that this will be a tough task.

Despite a stumble against GWS last weekend that saw them go down by 26, the Cats remain one of the league’s top sides for inside 50s and metres gained, and sit in 4th spot on the ladder with a win-loss record of 11-6.

Shannon Neale and Jeremy Cameron loom as key threats, while Bailey Smith is a strong chance for 30+ disposals in a midfield group that should bounce back strongly.

The Saints have dropped eight of their last nine games and are struggling to make an impact against top-half teams, with limited scoring options continuing to hurt them.

Max Hall has emerged with six goals in two weeks, and the likes of Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, Jack Steele and Marcus Windhager will keep the Saints in the game but expect the home side to get the job done in the 1-39 point range.

Eight of St Kilda’s past nine matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less
The Saints have not won at the venue since 1999
Bailey Smith has had 30+ disposals in six of his past eight matches
Marcus Windhager had 36 disposals last weekend and had 25 the last time the two sides met

Head to Head

St Kilda have won the past two matches between the two sides and were seven point winners at Marvel Stadium in Round 2 this season. But the Cats have won the past 12 at GMHBA Stadium, a sequence that stretches back to 1999. Seven of the past eight matches between the two sides have been decided by between 1-39 points.

St Kilda’s Jack Sinclair has averaged 30 disposals from his past three matches against the Cats. Jack Higgins has kicked nine goals from his past four. Jack Macrae had 35 disposals in the Round 2 match this season. Bailey Smith did not play for the Cats.

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	2-3

Geelong won five matches in a row from Round 10 to 14 but have since lost two of their past three. They were inaccurate when rolled at this venue by Brisbane back in Round 15 by 41 points then were too good for Richmond, prior to their loss to GWS. At GMHBA in 2025, the Cats are five from seven.

The Cats have kicked over 100 points in six of their past nine games. Shannon Neale booted five goals in the loss to GWS. Jeremy Cameron booted just one goal but has 33 from his past eight.

Chris Scott's lacked efficiency going forward last weekend and were beaten at the clearances by the Giants. But they rank 5th for disposals, 2nd for metres gained and top the competition for inside 50s in the past five rounds.

Bailey Smith had 26 disposals against the Giants, his lowest haul since Round 2. He has had 30+ in six of his past eight matches. Tom Stewart had 29 against GWS, his best return in what has been an injury-interrupted season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-6	9-8	6-5	5-1

Geelong Cats Team News

No injuries to come out of the match against GWS. Tyson Stengle missed due to personal reasons and a decision on his availability will be made during the week. Ted Clohesy and Mitch Knevitt starred in the VFL and will be considered.

Geelong Cats Team List

B: T.Stewart, J.Henry, C.O’Sullivan

HB: L.Humphries, M.O’Connor, Z.Guthrie

C: M.Blicavs, M.Holmes, O.Dempsey

HF: B.Close, S.Mannagh, G.Miers

F: P.Dangerfield - C, J.Cameron, S.Neale

FOLL: R.Stanley, T.Atkins, B.Smith

I/C (FROM): G.Stevens, J.Bowes, O.Mullin, J.Martin, O.Henry, S.De Koning, T.Stengle, M.Knevitt

In: - S.De Koning, T.Stengle, M.Knevitt

Out: -

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	2-3	4-1

St Kilda have lost eight of their past nine matches. Eight of their past nine matches have been decided by 39.5 points or less. St Kilda are 2-9 against sides in the top half of the ladder this season.

They have found it hard to consistently pressure their opposition when heading forward, ranking 17th for inside 50s in the past five rounds and 14th for goals. They have lacked a tall focal point up forward. Max Hall booted three goals last weekend and has booted six in his past two matches.

Marcus Windhager had 36 disposals against the Swans. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera picked up 24 disposals, well down on his massive effort of 43 the week prior. He has hit the 25+ in all but two of his matches this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
7-10	11-6	3-8	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

Dan Butler injured his elbow against Sydney and will be assessed at training. Darcy Wilson, Paddy Dow and Arie Schoenmaker are among possible replacements, while the young ruckman, Alex Dodson, might be considered for a debut after starring in the VFL last weekend.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: M.Windhager, C.Wilkie, L.Stocker

HB: A.Hastie, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: M.Wood, L.Henry, B.Hill

HF: M.Owens, M.Hall, J.Higgins

F: A.Caminiti, M.Heath, C.Sharman

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, H.Clark, R.Byrnes, D.Wilson, A.Tauru, A.Schoenmaker, H.Garcia, H.Boxshall

In: - Z.Jones, R.Byrnes, D.Wilson, A.Schoenmaker

Out: - D.Butler (Injured)

Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Geelong Cats vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 19 game check the AFL website or the official Geelong Cats site.

Verdict

Geelong Cats v St Kilda Saints

St Kilda to be competitive but lack the big guns to cause an upset. Smith and Windhager in the frame for large disposal hauls for respective sides

Geelong 1-39

Winning Margin 1-39

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