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Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Elimination Final Tips - Battle of the Dark Horses

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 04 Sep 2025 14:16

Ryan Tucker 04 Sep 2025

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Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Saturday’s Elimination Final AFL game
The game will be played at Optus Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Fremantle tipped to win at home over Gold Coast in the Elimination Final
Both teams show strong recent form, but Fremantle has more finals experience
Expect a tight 1-39 margin, game total to go under, and standout performances from Noah Anderson & Luke Ryan

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Elimination Final Tips

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns, Elimination Final 2025 - Expert Prediction

Fremantle will take the win on home turf progressing to a semi final next week on the road against either Geelong or Brisbane.

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns, Elimination Final 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Fremantle Dockers Team News
Fremantle Dockers Team List
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final FAQ’s

The Dockers have had just the 1 finals appearance in the last 9 years while Gold Coast enter their first ever campaign. There are still a number of players for the Dockers with finals experience, 22 of them in fact with Nat Fyfe and Shai Bolton two of the older statesmen.

For the Suns though, only 3 players have played finals and as is normally the case in professional sports, a team has to take their licks. It will be an overwhelming occasion for Gold Coast having to travel to Perth and face a Dockers team hellbent on proving their worth to the league.

While I believe coach Damian Hardwick will have his players as ready as they can be, we saw cracks in preparation at times this season which provides a narrative of this game being a steep learning curve for a team that is destined to be in the finals race for years to come.

This game will come down to how good each team is at containing the strong forwards, the Dockers have the taller defensive unit. The midfield and ruck will also be important and while Jarrod Witts is as underrated as they come, the duo of Sean Darcy and Luke Jackson will definitely put him to the test both in the air and on the ground.

Take the Dockers to win 1-39 as has been the trend between these two sides since 2019. The Game Total to go Under following trends with this matchup and in the first week of AFL finals. Noah Anderson to get 30+ and Luke Ryan to get 20+.

All 7 games played between these teams since 2019 have finished with 1-39 margins. The Suns have not beaten Freo in Perth since 2016.
The majority of games in Week 1 of Finals since 2019 have gone Under the Game Total. 6 of the last 7 between these teams have also gone Under.
Noah Anderson had 39 disposals in this matchup back in Round 12 and is averaging 30.2 on the season.
Luke Ryan had 18 disposals in the previous matchup and will have his hands full with Gold Coast having the highest rate of Inside 50’s.

Head to Head

Freo have won 3 straight against the Suns including a 75-64 victory on the Gold Coast back in May of this season.

Since 2019 the ledger stands at 4-3 to the Dockers with all but one of those matchups staying Under the Game Total. The Winning Margin has been 1-39 in all 7 games.

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	1-4	4-1

Freo put a nervous first quarter against the Dogs behind them in the final regular season game of the season, busting out of the blocks late in the 2nd term to take control of the game.

They ended up winning 112-97 and despite a late comeback effort from the Dogs looked like they were in the box seat for the majority of the game. Pat Voss, Jye Amiss and Josh Treacy all kicked 3 goals while Caleb Serong did his work in the middle with a team high 24 disposals and 7 clearances.

The win capped a stunning season for the Dockers and put other finals teams on alert with just how deadly their attack can be when they get momentum rolling.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-12	11-12	12-4	4-3

Fremantle Dockers Team News

Sam Switkowski has been ruled out as has Corey Wagner. Nathan O'Driscoll and Isaiah Dudley come into the team.

Fremantle Dockers Team List

B: L.Ryan, B.Cox, A.Pearce - C

HB: H.Chapman, K.Worner, J.Clark

C: J.O’Meara, H.Young, N.Erasmus

HF: S.Bolton, P.Voss, M.Reid

F: J.Amiss, J.Treacy, M.Frederick

FOLL: L.Jackson, C.Serong, A.Brayshaw

I/C: N.Fyfe, N.O’Driscoll, I.Dudley, B.Banfield, S.Darcy

EMG: M.Johnson, B.Walker, O.McDonald

In: N.O’Driscoll, I.Dudley

Out: C.Wagner (Injured), S.Switkowski (Injured)

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

The Suns won their final game of the regular season against Essendon 153-58 to secure their first ever finals berth in an historic moment for the expansion club.

With the competition so tight this season they needed 15 wins to earn their spot, a win total that would have had them top 4 in 2 of the past 4 seasons. Ben King has been a dominant force up top all season long, he averaged 3 goals a game at 68% accuracy while his midfield colleagues Noah Anderson (30.2) and Matt Rowell (26.2) both received All-Australian selection following standout seasons.

The Suns led the league this year in Inside 50’s and also Hitout Win Percentage pointing to strength through the middle of the park.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-12	12-11	8-7	7-1

Gold Coast Suns Team News

Only the one change for the Suns with inaugural Sun David Swallow coming into the team at the expense of Jake Rogers.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: W.Powell, B.Uwland, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, M.Andrew, D.Rioli

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, B.Fiorini

HF: T.Miller, S.Flanders, B.Humphrey

F: B.Long, E.Read, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, A.Davies, N.Anderson - C

I/C: B.Ainsworth, D.Swallow, C.Budarick, J.Jeffrey, J.Farrar

EMG: N.Moyle, J.Rogers, O.Adams

In: D.Swallow

Out: J.Rogers (Omitted)

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final FAQ’s

How to watch Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final?

You can watch the Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final?

To buy tickets to the Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Elimination Final game check the AFL website or the official Fremantle Dockers site.

Verdict

Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns

Fremantle 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.00 - 3 Units

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Under 161.5

Game Total

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Noah Anderson 30+

Disposals

$2.15 - 2 Units

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Luke Ryan 20+

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