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AFL Grand Final 2025 Preview – Geelong vs Brisbane Tips & Predictions

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 25 Sep 2025 16:39

The 2025 AFL Grand Final will see Geelong's potent attack square off against Brisbane's formidable midfield at the MCG. Geelong comes off a dominant preliminary win, spearheaded by Patrick Dangerfield, while Brisbane's resilience allowed them to outlast Collingwood. Key matchups include Cameron versus the Lions' defence and Brisbane’s midfield against Dangerfield. Momentum swings will be vital, and while Geelong are slight favorites, Brisbane's ability to defend their title is real. Expect thrilling play, pivotal individual performances, and a tightly contested decider.

Jeremy Darke 25 Sep 2025
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  • Geelong and Brisbane meet in the 2025 AFL Grand Final at the MCG.
  • Geelong’s attack vs Brisbane’s resilient midfield is the top storyline.
  • Key battles: Jeremy Cameron vs Lions defence; Dangerfield vs McCluggage & Rayner.
  • Momentum swings and scoring bursts could decide the contest.
AFL Grand Final 2025 Preview

AFL Grand Final 2025 Preview: Geelong vs Brisbane


The stage is set at the MCG as Geelong and Brisbane collide in the 2025 AFL Grand Final, a matchup that pits the competition’s best attack against one of its most resilient midfields. Both sides have the credentials to lift the cup, and the battlelines are drawn across every line of the field.
  • AFL Grand Final 2025 Preview: Geelong vs Brisbane
  • Prelim Recap – How They Got Here
  • Key Matchups to Watch
  • Norm Smith & First Goal Predictions
  • Can the Lions Go Back-to-Back?

For the full 2025 AFL Grand Final Game Preview, follow the link.

Prelim Recap – How They Got Here


Geelong dominated Hawthorn with clearance wins and inside-50 pressure, led by Patrick Dangerfield, who turned back the clock with a finals masterclass. Brisbane overcame Collingwood in a thriller, their depth of midfielders and defensive spread proving too much. The Lions showed again that when they build momentum, they are almost impossible to stop.

Key Matchups to Watch


Jeremy Cameron vs Brisbane Defence: Cameron has kicked 88 goals this season and remains the most dangerous forward on the ground. If Brisbane contain him, they’re halfway there.

Dangerfield vs McCluggage & Rayner: The Cats have thrived with Dangerfield pushing back into midfield, but Brisbane’s midfield depth with McCluggage and Rayner could turn the tide.

Momentum Control: Brisbane’s ability to score in bursts has crushed teams all year. If Geelong can weather those surges, they’ll be in the box seat.

Norm Smith & First Goal Predictions


Recent history suggests midfielders often open the scoring on the biggest stage. Expect names like Zach Bailey or Cam Rayner to be in the mix for the first goal. As for the Norm Smith Medal, Dangerfield looms as the favourite for Geelong, while McCluggage has the form and influence to claim it for the Lions.

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Can the Lions Go Back-to-Back?


Brisbane are aiming to become just the fifth team in the past 35 years to defend their premiership. Their record against Geelong this season suggests they can, having held the Cats to some of their lowest scores of the year. But Geelong’s efficiency inside 50 and finals experience mean the reigning champs won’t get it easy.
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Final Word


The predictive model leans Geelong by 20, but Brisbane’s depth, momentum, and proven big-game ability make them live contenders. Expect swings, controversy, and one of the most memorable AFL Grand Finals in years.

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