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AFL Round 6 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Jesse Mclure

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Last updated: Tue 14 Apr 2026 14:03

Jesse Mclure 14 Apr 2026

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Jesse from True Footy gives his tips and margins for every AFL Round 6 match.
Collingwood predicted to win over Carlton by 6 points.
Geelong expected to outperform Western Bulldogs by 20 points.
Sydney tipped to win the derby against GWS Giants by 25 points.

True Footy's Just the Tips (Photo by James Wiltshire/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

AFL Round 6 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Round 6 is where the AFL season starts to separate contenders from pretenders.

AFL Round 6 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match
Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs Prediction
Sydney vs GWS Giants Prediction
Gold Coast vs Essendon Prediction
Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide Prediction
Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction
Melbourne vs Brisbane Prediction
West Coast vs Fremantle Prediction
North Melbourne vs Richmond Prediction

Form lines are becoming clearer, pressure is building on struggling clubs, and a few sides are beginning to emerge as genuine threats. With rivalries, derbies and key matchups across the board, this round shapes as another crucial checkpoint.

Here are Jesse’s tips and predicted margins for every AFL Round 6 game.

Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction

Carlton continue to show glimpses of strong midfield play through Sam Walsh and Patrick Cripps, particularly around stoppages. However, their inability to sustain pressure across four quarters remains a major issue.

Collingwood, despite missing key personnel, remain one of the hardest teams to break down defensively. With Nick Daicos driving ball movement and Darcy Cameron supporting behind the ball, the Magpies’ structure should hold up in a tight contest.

Jesse’s Tip: Collingwood by 6 points

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Geelong vs Western Bulldogs Prediction

This shapes as one of the best games of the round. The Bulldogs have been strong this season but are dealing with key injuries, including Tim English, which impacts their midfield dominance.

Geelong, led by Tom Stewart and supported by emerging players like Tanner Bruhn, remain extremely difficult to beat at GMHBA. With their system intact and fewer injury concerns, the Cats should have the edge.

Jesse’s Tip: Geelong by 20 points

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Sydney vs GWS Giants Prediction

The Sydney Derby gains added intrigue with GWS regaining some key players, including Brent Daniels and Toby Bedford, though injuries remain an issue.

Sydney’s transition game continues to be elite, with Chad Warner and Errol Gulden driving ball movement. Against an inconsistent Giants side, the Swans’ class should shine through.

Jesse’s Tip: Sydney by 25 points

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Gold Coast vs Essendon Prediction

Gold Coast have cooled slightly after a hot start, but their midfield core of Christian Petracca, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson remains one of the best in the competition.

Essendon are coming off a surprising win and will take confidence into this game, but their young list may struggle to match the Suns’ maturity and physicality at home.

Jesse’s Tip: Gold Coast by 55 points

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Hawthorn vs Port Adelaide Prediction

Hawthorn look like one of the most complete teams in the competition, with strong performances against top sides highlighting their balance across the ground.

Port Adelaide have struggled for consistency, with Zak Butters and Connor Rozee among the few shining lights. Against a well-drilled Hawks outfit, they may struggle to keep pace.

Jesse’s Tip: Hawthorn by 49 points

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Adelaide vs St Kilda Prediction

Adelaide have been competitive against strong opposition and now return home, where they are particularly dangerous. Players like Riley Thilthorpe and Jordan Dawson provide key scoring and midfield drive.

St Kilda showed resilience against Port Adelaide but face a tougher challenge here. Adelaide’s depth and home-ground advantage should prove decisive.

Jesse’s Tip: Adelaide by 36 points

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Melbourne vs Brisbane Prediction

Melbourne remain one of the hardest teams to read, capable of both dominant wins and disappointing losses. Max Gawn and Kozzy Pickett provide star power, but consistency remains an issue.

Brisbane are beginning to build momentum, with Lachie Neale leading a deep midfield group. If they play to their level, they should be too strong.

Jesse’s Tip: Brisbane by 28 points

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West Coast vs Fremantle Prediction

The Western Derby always carries added intensity, but Fremantle enter this clash in far stronger form. Caleb Serong and Andrew Brayshaw continue to lead a midfield that has been consistent all season.

West Coast have shown improvement but are heavily impacted by injuries. Even with home support, Fremantle’s class should be too much.

Jesse’s Tip: Fremantle by 45 points

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North Melbourne vs Richmond Prediction

North Melbourne have taken clear steps forward this season, with Luke Davies-Uniacke leading a midfield that looks increasingly competitive.

Richmond have shown effort in patches but lack the consistency to close out games. Against a more mature North side, they may struggle to keep up across four quarters.

Jesse’s Tip: North Melbourne by 31 points