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Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Round 6 Tips - Pies to Heap More Pressure on Blues

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: Wed 15 Apr 2026 10:03

In the AFL 2026 Round 6 clash, experts forecast a victory for Collingwood Magpies over the struggling Carlton Blues. Collingwood, having won their last four games against Carlton, looks to rebound after recent setbacks. The article highlights the teams' current form, with Carlton's defense notably allowing high opponent scores. Key players like Jamie Elliott and Dan Houston are expected to perform well for Collingwood. The expert prediction recommends backing Collingwood to cover the -14.5 line and suggests Jamie Elliott and Dan Houston as players to watch in this matchup.

Ryan Tucker 15 Apr 2026
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  • Collingwood is predicted to win against Carlton, covering the -14.5 line.
  • Carlton's defense struggles, allowing high points in recent games.
  • Jamie Elliott and Dan Houston are key players for Collingwood.
  • The game will be played at MCG on Thursday, 16th April, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEDT)
Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies

Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 6 2026 - Expert Prediction


Carlton were already in big trouble. Somehow they are now deeper into that. Unfortunately things are not looking better this weekend with Collingwood tipped to win and cover at the MCG.
The Pies have won 4 straight over Carlton and will be looking to steady the ship following 2 straight losses. In reality they should have beaten the Dockers by 3 goals last weekend but struggled to convert in front of the sticks under the almighty defensive pressure that Freo produced.

That type of pressure will be non-existent this week against Carlton who allow the most Inside 50’s to their opponents of any team in the league and are allowing an average of 102.6 pts in their games so far this season.

The Blues are also allowing 58 pts per game from Turnovers while Collingwood are scoring 47.6 from those extra possessions. If Carlton struggle to keep possession of the ball, the score could balloon quickly away from them which we have seen is the dagger to the chest.

Take Collingwood to cover the -14.5 line as the favourite while rectifying their scoring mishaps from last week and going Over their 88.5 Team Total. Jamie Elliott has good scoring history against the Blues, get him for 2+ goals as well as Dan Houston to have 25+ touches.

  • The Pies have won and covered in 4 straight games against the Blues.
  • Collingwood have had low scores this season but have played against good defences and put 115 past Carlton last time they played.
  • Jamie Elliott has scored 28 goals in 20 career games against Carlton including 4 majors last time they met.
  • Dan Houston has cleared 25 disposals in 3 of 5 games this season and has more usage in open games which this is expected to be.

Head to Head Stats


Collingwood have won 4 straight and 10 of the last 12 meetings with Carlton since the start of the 2019 season. The Blues last victory against the Pies was in July of 2023. 

The most recent outing last season was a 115-59 Collingwood win at the MCG.

Collingwood have covered in 4 straight wins and have an 8-4 ATS record over the span. The most recent game went Over the Game Total but 3 straight prior to that went Under.

Carlton Blues Form Analysis


Carlton have now lost 4 of their 5 games to kick off the year and things are not looking good. Once again they had a strong start, even leading at quarter time against the Crows in their Gather Round matchup.

But in true 2026 Carlton form, they were unable to quash opportunistic moments from their opponent which kept them in the game and then allowed them to gain momentum on their home track.

Sam Walsh and Patrick Cripps both had 29 touches with Cripps also having 7 clearances but those two cannot carry the load of a team down on confidence and ultimately counting the days until their coach gets the boot.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis


The Pies are on a 2 game skid following a 6 pt loss to the Dockers at Gather Round. Collingwood led for most of the game and had multiple opportunities to put the game away in the 4th quarter but kept missing the goal. 

Angus Anderson put on a mighty effort in his first ever AFL game kicking 1 goal to go along with 16 possessions and 2 clearances. Nick Daicos topped all on ground with 31 disposals while also having 5 clearances. 

Collingwood will rue their missed chances with 61 Inside 50’s converting to just 14 scoring shots and just the 5 goals. 

Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies Team List & News


Carlton: Jacob Weitering, Harry Dean and Will Hayward all return in a major boost. Wade Derksen, Jordan Boyd and Hudson O’Keeffe drop out.

Collingwood: The Magpies lose Jordan De Goey and Steele Sidebottom to injury, with Ed Allan and Will Hayes called up.

CarltonPOSCollingwood
L. Cowan, J. Weitering, N. HaynesBB. Frampton, J. Howe, B. Maynard
O. Florent, M. McGovern, N. NewmanHBI. Quaynor, H. Perryman, J. Daicos
O. Hollands, P. Cripps, M. CarrollCR. Steele, S. Pendlebury, E. Allan
J. Smith, E. Hollands, B. AinsworthHFB. McCreery, W. Hayes, L. Schultz
W. Hayward, H. McKay, B. KempFD. McStay, J. Elliott, T. Membrey
M. Pittonet, Z. Williams, S. WalshFOLLO. Steene, N. Long, A. Anderson
H. Dean, F. Evans, T. Byrne, L. Young, A. CerraI/CP. Lipinski, D. Houston, D. Cameron, J. Crisp, N. Daicos


Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 6?

You can watch the Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton Blues site.

Verdict

Take Collingwood to cover the -14.5 line as the favourite while rectifying their scoring mishaps from last week and going Over their 88.5 Team Total. Jamie Elliott has good scoring history against the Blues, get him for 2+ goals as well as Dan Houston to have 25+ touches.
Best Bet1: Collingwood -14.5 Line $1.90 at Betfocus - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Pies Over 88.5 Team Total $1.90 at Ladbrokes Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet3: J Elliott 2+ Goals $1.62 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet4: D Houston 25+ Disposals $2.15 at Neds - 2 Units
Collingwood -14.5
Line
$1.90 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 16 Apr 2026

Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies