Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo ATP Paris Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Jodar begins last push for ATP Finals spot
Rafael Jodar is tipped to beat Alejandro Tabilo in the first round of the ATP Paris Masters, with the main selection being Jodar to win and under 24.5 games. Jodar has dominated their recent head-to-head, winning the last three matches, including one-sided victories in Basel and Cincinnati, and dropping just nine games in the last two. He is in strong form with an 18-5 record in his last 23 Masters 1000 matches and is close to qualifying for the ATP Finals. Tabilo, meanwhile, has lost six of his last seven matches and is struggling to end the season.
- Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo predictions for Monday's ATP Paris R1
- Jodar has won the last three meetings between the pair, including in Basel last week
- Tabilo in poor form; has lost six of last seven matches
- The match is scheduled to start around 11.00pm AEDT on Monday November 2
Rafael Jodar v Alejandro Tabilo Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Paris. T&Cs apply.
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Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo ATP Paris Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Rafael Jodar is tipped to beat Alejandro Tabilo for the fourth time in 2026 when the pair square off in the first round of the Paris Masters on Monday.
It's safe to say Jodar has Tabilo's number, coming into this clash having won their last three meetings and dropping just a combined nine games in the last two. The young Spaniard is looking to secure a ticket to the ATP Finals in his first full season on tour and should be far too strong again here.
Jodar vs Tabilo Predictions & Best Bets
| Bet | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Jodar Win & Under 24.5 Games | $1.75 @ Picklebet | Jodar has won the last three meetings between the pair, including one-sided 6-2 6-1 & 6-4 6-2 victories in Cincy & last week in Basel. Tabilo has lost six of his last seven matches, struggling to end the year. Jodar has gone 18-5 in his last 23 Masters 1000 matches & shouldn't have much trouble claiming another win here |
Jodar vs Tabilo Head To Head
Jodar leads 3-1. Tabilo won the first encounter at Indian Wells, but the Spaniard has turned the tables, winning the last three.
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Basel | Round of 32 | Indoor Hard | Rafael Jodar | 6–4, 6–2 |
| 2026 | ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati | Round of 32 | Outdoor Hard | Rafael Jodar | 6–2, 6–1 |
| 2026 | Washington | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | Rafael Jodar | 6–7(6–8), 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2026 | ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells | Round of 128 | Outdoor Hard | Alejandro Tabilo | 6–1, 6–2 |
Rafael Jodar Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 43-17
- ATP Paris Record: 0-0
- Current Ranking: No. 11
- Career-High Ranking: No. 11 (Aug 2026)
It's been one of the best breakout seasons of all time, with Jodar beginning the year well outside the top 100 and ending it on the cusp of the top 10.
The 20-year-old has ticked off various milestones in 2026, including winning his maiden ATP title in Marrakech, reaching his first Grand Slam quarter-final at Roland Garros and making his first Masters 1000 final in Shanghai.
Those results have helped Jodar propel himself into the ATP Finals conversation - he's incredibly just one point behind Alex De Minaur in the last spot heading into Paris, while he can also chase down Frances Tiafoe, Flavio Cobolli and Arthur Fils.
Jodar beat Tabilo for the third time this year in his Basel opener last week before running into eventual champion Valentin Vacherot.
Alejandro Tabilo Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 26-26
- ATP Paris Record: 1-1
- Current Ranking: No. 30
- Career-High Ranking: No. 19 (2024)
It's been a decent season for Tabilo - his highlights include making the ATP 500 Rio Open final, the semi-finals in Washington and the R16 and third round at Roland Garros and the US Open respectively.
However, the Chilean has been struggling to end the year, winning just one of his last seven matches coming into this tournament.
Tabilo went 1-3 across the Asian swing and then had the misfortune of running into Jodar again in his Basel opener last week.
The 29-year-old is playing the Paris Masters for just the second time after making the second round in 2024.
Jodar vs Tabilo Live Stream
Watch and bet on Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo live tennis from Paris.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Paris with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
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Verdict
Jodar has Tabilo's number & is tipped for another relatively routine win in Paris.
Jodar & Under 24.5
H2H/Total Games
$1.75 - 2 Units
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