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Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP Paris Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Hurkacz to prevail in big R1 showdown

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Sun. 01 Nov. 2026 23:17

Hubert Hurkacz is tipped to beat Lorenzo Musetti in the first round of the Paris Masters, with the match expected to feature over 0.5 tiebreaks. Hurkacz has shown greater consistency on fast indoor courts and has won his last nine opening round matches. Musetti leads their head-to-head 3-2, but two of his wins came on clay, while Hurkacz has prevailed on quicker surfaces. Musetti has struggled recently at this tournament, losing in the first round in his last three appearances, while Hurkacz's form and surface preference give him the edge.

Andrew Hendrie 3 hours ago
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  • Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz predictions for Monday's ATP Paris R1
  • Hurkacz 16-4 in last 20 matches at all levels, showcasing more consistency
  • At least one tiebreak tipped, with Hurkacz holding the edge indoors
  • The match is scheduled to start at 9.00pm AEDT on Monday November 2
Musetti Hurkacz
Lorenzo Musetti v Hubert Hurkacz Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Paris. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.


Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP Paris Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Hubert Hurkacz is tipped to emerge victorious when he comes up against Lorenzo Musetti in the first round of the Paris Masters on Monday.

It's a heavyweight opening round at the Paris Masters, but I think Hurkacz has the slight edge indoors on a fast court. The Pole's two wins over Musetti have come on quick surfaces and he's showcased a little more sustained consistency with his resurgent form than the Italian, who has only really played well at one tournament over the last few months.

Musetti vs Hurkacz Predictions & Best Bets


Bet
Odds
Reasoning
Over 0.5 Tiebreaks$1.65 @ DabbleThree of the last four meetings between the pair have featured 1+ tiebreak, while Hurkacz has seen 1+ breaker in 10 of his last 15 completed matches
Hurkacz Win$1.90 @ BetRavenHurkacz has won his last nine R1 matches & three of his last four completed matches vs top 30 opponents - his game is more suited for these conditions & if he has a good serving day, he should be able to build pressure here. Musetti has lost in R1 in his last three appearances at this tournament

Musetti vs Hurkacz Head To Head

Musetti leads 3-2, but two of those wins came on clay.

YearTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026ATP Masters 1000 MadridRound of 64Outdoor ClayLorenzo Musetti6–4, 7–6(7–4)
2023WimbledonRound of 32Outdoor GrassHubert Hurkacz7–6(7–4), 6–4, 6–4
2022RotterdamRound of 16Indoor HardLorenzo Musetti6–3, 5–7, 6–3
2021WimbledonRound of 128Outdoor GrassHubert Hurkacz6–4, 7–6(7–5), 6–1
2021ATP Masters 1000 RomeRound of 64Outdoor ClayLorenzo Musetti6–4, 2–0 (retired)

Lorenzo Musetti Form Analysis

  • 2026 ATP Record: 25-12
  • ATP Paris Record: 4-5
  • Current Ranking: No. 26
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (Jan 2026)

Musetti's year has been largely plagued by injuries and physical issues, which has seen him fall from a career-high ranking of No. 5 at the start of the season to a current mark of No. 26.

The Italian appeared to have turned things around with a brilliant title run in Lyon a couple of weeks ago, beating the likes of Flavio Cobolli and Taylor Fritz on his way to the silverware - his first ATP title in three years.

However, Musetti couldn't keep the ball rolling in Basel last week. After an impressive opening round dispatch of Frances Tiafoe, the 24-year-old was outlasted 6-4 5-7 6-4 by Arthur Fery.

Musetti hasn't been able to produce his best tennis at the Paris Masters over the years and comes into this clash having lost in the first round of his last three appearances.

Hubert Hurkacz Form Analysis

  • 2026 ATP Record: 27-20
  • ATP Paris Record: 7-6
  • Current Ranking: No. 28
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2024)

It's been a consistent stretch of form for Hurkacz after an initial slow comeback from injury at the start of the year.

Hurkacz heads into this encounter having gone 16-4 in his last 20 matches at all levels, enjoying a fruitful Asian swing where he made the final of Chengdu, semis of Beijing and the R16 of the Shanghai Masters, beating Novak Djokovic along the way.

However, Hurkacz wasn't able to produce another deep run in Basel last week - after beating Zizou Bergs in three sets in his opening round, the Pole was edged out in a deciding set breaker by a resurgent Holger Rune.

The 29-year-old made the semi-finals of the Paris Masters in 2021 and the quarter-finals in 2023, but missed last year through injury.

Musetti vs Hurkacz Live Stream

Watch and bet on Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz live tennis from Paris.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Paris with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Hurkacz is tipped for the win in a match that sees 1+ tiebreak.

Best Bet1: Over 0.5 Total Tiebreaks $1.65 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Hurkacz Win H2H $1.90 at BetRaven - 2 Units
Over 0.5
Total Tiebreaks
$1.65 - 2 Units
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Hurkacz Win
H2H
$1.90 - 2 Units
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