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Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Serving to dominate first round Montpellier clash
Hubert Hurkacz will face Martin Damm in the first round of the Open Occitanie in Montpellier. Despite a promising start to the season, Hurkacz experienced an unexpected defeat in the second round of the Australian Open. Both players are known for their strong serves, contributing to predictions of lengthy matches. Damm enters the match after an impressive qualifying campaign, serving 36 aces in his last match. Betting markets suggest focusing on total games, with over 22.5 games and potential for Damm to take the first set in a tiebreak.
- Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm predictions for Tuesday's ATP Montpellier Round 1
- Both players equipped with big serves which should dominate indoors
- Tipping Over 22.5 total games and Over 10.5 games in the first set
- The match is scheduled to start around 12.30am AEDT on Wednesday February 4
Expired
Hubert Hurkacz (Photo by Getty Images)
Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Seventh seed Hubert Hurkacz gets his Open Occitanie campaign underway when he meets qualifier Martin Damm in the first round in Montpellier on Tuesday.
Hurkacz put together a promising start to the season during the Aussie summer, but it was soured somewhat by a disappointing second round exit at the Australian Open to Ethan Quinn. Can the big-serving Pole get back on track in favourable conditions in Montpellier? He's got a challenging opening round opponent in Martin Damm, who is equipped with a big lefty serve and dangerous in these sorts of situations.
Indeed, Damm fired down a whopping 36 aces in his final round of qualifying, striking 75 per cent of first serves. If the American can replicate those numbers, he will prove very difficult to break against any opponent indoors. Hurkacz, as we know, is also one of the best servers on tour. With this in mind, I'm heading to the Total Games markets for the best bets. Take Over 22.5 total games and Over 10.5 games for the first set. There's value to be had for Damm to snatch the opening set in a tiebreak.
Hurkacz vs Damm Stats & Trends
- Damm has seen Over 22.5 games in 10 of his last 11 best-of-three set matches
- Damm has seen Over 10.5 games in the first set of in his last four best-of-three set matches
- Damm has won the first set in a tiebreak in both of his Montpelllier qualifying matches
- Hurkacz has seen Over 22.5 games in his last six best-of-three set matches
- Hurkacz has seen Over 10.5 games in the first set in two of his last four best-of-three set matches
Hurkacz vs Damm Head To Head
This will be the first career meeting between the pair.
Hubert Hurkacz Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 5-2
- ATP Montpellier Record: 0-2
- Current Ranking: No. 52
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2024)
Hurkacz endured an injury-ravaged 2025 campaign and was forced to shut down his year during the grass swing after undergoing knee surgery.
It was an encouraging return for Hurkacz down under, producing some spectacular tennis at the United Cup as he helped lead Poland to the title.
The 28-year-old won four of his five matches, including taking the top 10 scalps of Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz.
Such was his form, many were talking about Hurkacz being a dark horse at the Australian Open, but the Pole was lacklustre, coming through a tough opening round against Zizou Bergs before falling in straight sets to Ethan Quinn.
This will be Hurkacz's first appearance in Montpellier since 2021 - he is yet to win a match at the tournament.
Martin Damm Form Analysis
- 2026 Tour-Level Record: 0-1
- 2026 Overall Record: 6-3
- ATP Montpellier Record: 0-0
- Current Ranking: No. 160
- Career-High Ranking: No. 160 (February 2026)
Damm is currently operating at a career-high ranking of No. 160 and his goal for the remainder of 2026 would be to break into the top 100.
The 22-year-old certainly has the firepower to make an impact on tour. Damm successfully qualified for the Australian Open, dropping just one set in his three victories, but he was no match for Shanghai Masters champion Valentin Vacherot in the first round of the main draw, going down 6-4 6-4 6-4.
The American was bundled out in the first round of a Challenger in Oeiras last week, but has bounced back strongly in Montpelllier, qualifying for the main draw with wins over Matteo Martineau and Clement Tabur.
As mentioned, Damm was unstoppable on serve during the 7-6 6-7 7-6 win over Tabur, firing down 36 aces and saving all break points faced. He also saved a match point in the deciding set tiebreak.
Hurkacz vs Damm Live Stream
Watch and bet on Hubert Hurkacz vs Martin Damm live Open Occitanie tennis from Montpellier.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Montpellier with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Serving is tipped to dictate proceedings - backing Over 22.5 games and 10.5 in the first set, with value on Damm taking the opener in a tiebreak.
Over 22.5
Total Games
$1.83 - 2 Units
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Over 10.5
1st Set Total Games
$2.70 - 2 Units
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Ahead of the Game.
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Damm 7-6
1st Set Correct Score
$7.50 - 1 Unit
Same Game & Race Multis
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