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Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Hurkacz to make Chengdu final
Hubert Hurkacz will face Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open semi-final, with Hurkacz holding a dominant 5-1 head-to-head lead. Both players have faced inconsistencies this season, but their renewed form in Chengdu sets the stage for a tight contest. Hurkacz's strong record against left-handers (36-12) and previous successes over Shapovalov make him the favorite. Expect a closely-fought match likely to include a tiebreak, as has happened in their last three encounters. The key recommendation is to back Hurkacz to progress to the final.
- Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov predictions for Monday's ATP Chengdu SF
- Hurkacz leads the H2H 5-1 & tipped for another win
- At least one tiebreak backed, with the last three meetings seeing 1+ breaker
- The match is scheduled to start around 9.00pm AEST on Monday September 28
Expired
Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Hubert Hurkacz has won five of his six previous encounters with Denis Shapovalov and the big-serving Pole is tipped to extend that record to reach the Chengdu Open final on Monday night in a match featuring at least one tiebreak.
Both players have struggled with consistency and overall form throughout the season and not much separates the pair in the current rankings, with Hurkacz No. 46 and Shapovalov No. 50.
But Hurkacz and Shapovalov have both found some good tennis in Chengdu and now have their sights set on an ATP 250 title. Incredibly, Hurkacz hadn't been to a quarter-final all year before this tournament, while Shapovalov is aiming for his second final of the season after finishing runner-up in Los Cabos.
As mentioned, there's not much between these two at the moment, which means the H2H comes into play and as a result, you can't bet against Hurkacz here.
The Pole has won five of the six previous meetings, with the last three featuring at least one tiebreak.
Another aspect of this matchup that favours Hurkacz is his record against left-handers, which currently stands at 36-12 at tour-level throughout his career.
This just feels like Hurkcaz' time to break back into the champions corner and I'm backing him to come through this challenge.
Hurkcaz vs Shapovalov Stats & Trends
- Hurkacz has seen 1+ tiebreak in 10 of his last 14 matches
- Shapovalov has seen 1+ tiebreak in four of his last five matches
- The last three meetings have seen 1+ tiebreak
- Hurkacz has won five of the six previous meetings
- Hurkacz has won eight of his last 10 semi-finals
- Shapovalov has a 10-17 record in tour-level semi-finals
- Shapovalov has a 7-7 record vs top 50 players this season
Hurkacz vs Shapovalov Head To Head
As mentioned, Hurkacz has a dominant 5-1 record in this matchup, although this is their first meeting since 2024.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Hubert Hurkacz | Roland Garros | Round of 32 | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 7-6(0), 4-6, 6-1 |
| 2023 | Hubert Hurkacz | Australian Open | Round of 32 | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(3), 6-4, 1-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 2021 | Hubert Hurkacz | ATP Masters 1000 Miami | Round of 32 | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 7-6(6) |
| 2021 | Denis Shapovalov | Dubai | Round of 16 | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 2019 | Hubert Hurkacz | Winston-Salem | Semifinal | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 2019 | Hubert Hurkacz | ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells | Round of 16 | Outdoor Hard | 7-6(3), 2-6, 6-3 |
Hubert Hurkacz Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 20-17
- ATP Chengdu Record: 3-0
- Current Ranking: No. 46
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2024)
It hasn't been a great overall season for Hurkacz.
The Pole looked like he was going to be in for a big year upon his return from a knee injury when he beat two top 10 players during the United Cup.
However, Hurkacz went on a six-match losing streak after the Australian Open and didn't win back-to-back matches until Wimbledon, where he advanced into the fourth round, beating Tommy Paul and Casper Ruud along the way.
Hurkacz was unlucky to run into eventual US Open finalist Ben Shelton in the second round, but he's looking strong this week in Chengdu, making his first quarter-final of the season and converting that into a semi-final. He's defeated Alexander Shevchenko (6-3 7-6(10)), Martin Damm (4-6 6-3 6-4) and Lloyd Harris (7-6(10) 6-4) on his way to the final four.
Denis Shapovalov Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 19-18
- ATP Chengdu Record: 6-1
- Current Ranking: No. 50
- Career-High Ranking: No. 10 (2020)
Shapovalov remains a far cry from the sort of form that propelled him into the top 10 six years ago.
Until this week, Shapovalov had a negative win-loss record at tour-level for the year and was in danger of dropping out of the top 50.
The Canadian made the Dallas Open semi-finals in February, but went on a five-match losing run during the clay season and finished with a 1-3 record on grass.
A return to hardcourt has seen Shapovalov regain some form, making the final in Los Cabos before a third round run at the US Open, where he also ran into Shelton.
Shapovalov has dropped just one set in advancing to his second Chengdu Open semi-final, taking care of Tallon Griekspoor (6-4 7-6(3)), Vit Kopriva (6-2 6-3) and Adrian Mannarino (6-7(6) 6-3 6-2).
Hurkacz vs Shapovalov Live Stream
Watch and bet on Hurbert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov live tennis from Chengdu.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Chengdu with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Hurkacz is backed for a sixth win over Shapovalov, with a fourth straight tiebreak also tipped in this matchup.
Over 0.5
Total Tiebreaks
$1.60 - 2 Units
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Hurkacz Win
H2H
$1.68 - 2 Units
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