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2025 State of Origin Game 2 First Try Scorer Tips - Who will get the first try in Origin Game 2
In the upcoming 2025 Women's State of Origin Game 2 at Allianz Stadium, historical data suggests that the left wing position, known for a higher try-scoring rate, could dominate the scoreboard. Jayme Fressard from NSW, with her strong performance in recent matches, is a top pick alongside Julia Robinson from QLD and Kezie Apps from NSW. NSW has been consistent in scoring the first try, making these players key contenders for the first try scorer title. This analysis provides insights into betting strategies based on player positions and recent performance trends.
- State of Origin Game 2 takes place on Thursday 15th May.
- Kick off is at 7:45 PM (AEST) at Allianz Stadium.
- NSW's Jayme Fressard is a top pick for first try scorer.
- Left wingers have historically scored the most tries.
- NSW has scored first in 4 of the last 5 games.
NSW Blues vs QLD Maroons - State of Origin Game 2
2025 State of Origin Game 2 First Try Scorer
NSW were dominant in Game 1 despite a number of changes to the side. The Blues right centre Jessica Sergis was the first player to cross the line for a try in Game 1 which takes her total to 3 tries in her last 10 Origin matches. Historically the right centre hasn’t had a great deal of tryscoring form for any team having the fewest tries scored across the back 5 of each team in the past 3 years.
The Left Wing position has seen the most tries for any position on the park with Jayme Fressard scoring a double in Game 1 for NSW and Julia Robinson having scored 2 tries in the 3 game series last year for QLD.
It will be the first time that a Women’s Origin game will be played at Allianz Stadium so there is not a lot of trends to back in regards to venue but looking back to the recent history of these matchups we can see that the Blues have scored the first try in 4 of the last 5 games.
- The Left Wing position has scored 27% of all Origin tries over the past 6 Origin Matchups.
- NSW have scored first in 4 of the last 5 games.
- Since 2023 when Origin became a series, only backs have been First Tryscorers.
- Both Left Centres have recent tryscoring form, Rory Owen scored in Game 1 for QLD and has scored in 5 of her last 6 matchups. Isabelle Kelly is the leading Origin Tryscorer after taking her 5th try in 11 games for NSW.
Based on these trends and their current try scoring form, here are our top 3 picks for the first try scorer in State of Origin Game 2.
Jayme Fressard - NSW
NSW have regularly been the team to score first and more often than not when a try is scored it is the left winger. Simple mathematics! The backline plays that NSW have looked extremely difficult to stop which makes this all the more appealing.
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Julia Robinson - QLD
Similar to above, left wingers have a 30% higher chance to score than any other position on the park and Julia is a weapon for QLD. She was kept quiet in Game 1 and will need to score if QLD are a chance.
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Kezie Apps - NSW
Kezie was at her barnstorming best in Game 1 with a mountain of metres and 3 tackle breaks. If NSW are to change anything up to keep QLD guessing while attacking the line, Apps might be in for a chance running a sweet outside line.
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