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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 13 Tips - A clear UNDER play

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 29 May 2025 07:43

Jeremy Darke 29 May 2025

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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 13 NRL game
Kick off is at 2:00 PM (AEST) at Accor Stadium
The Warriors are slightly favored with key players returning.
All games for the Rabbitohs in 2025 have gone under the point total.

Jez's South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 13 Tips

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors, Round 13 2025 - Expert Prediction

First thing is first, this game screams UNDER with every Bunnies match hitting under the game total this season and surprisingly the total is still sitting at a comfortable 44.5 points.

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors, Round 13 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
New Zealand Warriors Team News
New Zealand Warriors Team List
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13 FAQ’s

Two teams that have success when they play tight defensively. A simple tactic but hard to execute. The Warriors are mirroring their defensive commitment of a couple of years back, while Wayne Bennet is starting to instill the same basic theory at Redfern.

I can see why the line is at just 1.5 to the Warriors, but I see them being the more complete side, especially with the return of both Mitch Barnett and James Fisher-Harris in the front row. The Warriors ability to win the territory and create chances for themselves will see them get past the Rabbits, in a low-scoring contest of course.

Luke Metcalf has been the orchestrator and also the finisher for the Warriors and he will find some space around the tired Souths forwards and cross for his 8th try of the season.

Warriors have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
All 11 matches played by South Sydney have gone under the game total in 2025.
5 of the last 6 Warriors games have gone Under the game total.
Luke Metcalf has 6 tries in his last 8 games.

Head to Head

The Warriors got a comfortable 34-4 victory last season against the Bunnies, breaking an 8-game losing streak to Souths.

The last two matches between Souths and New Zealand have gone under the game total.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	0-5

Since the return of Latrell Mitchell two matches ago, the success of the Bunnies has returned, with their fearless leader inspiring the group, especially in defence. The Rabbits got a grinding 8-point victory over Brisbane in their captain’s return and backed it up with a 10-point victory over the Tigers before their bye.

It is not a coincidence that South’s are winning with Latrell in their side and losing without him. Mitchell inspires his side and demands a standard on the field, just as coach Wayne Bennett craves it off the field.

In the matches where the Rabbits have won, it is in defence that the difference is, averaging just 16 points against in their 6 victories, beating teams by a 1-12 margin in each occurrence.

Another wild stat is that all 11 South Sydney matches have hit under the game total.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
7-4	0-11	6-2	0-3

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News

Latrell Mitchell is scheduled to back up after NSW’s Origin win.

Sean Keppie comes back onto the bench at the expense of Liam Le Blanc.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List

1. Latrell Mitchell

2. Alex Johnston

3. Isaiah Tass

4. Campbell Graham

5. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape

6. Jayden Sullivan

7. Jamie Humphreys

8. Jai Arrow

9. Siliva Havili

10. Keaon Koloamatangi

11. Euan Aitken

12. Tallis Duncan

13. Lachlan Hubner

Interchange

14. Jye Gray

15. Sean Keppie

16. Davvy Moale

17. Tevita Tatola

Reserves

18. Liam Le Blanc

19. Fletcher Myers

20. Shaq Mitchell

21. Lewis Dodd

22. Jacob Host

New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	1-4

The Warriors missed the front row duo of Mitch Barnett (Origin) and James Fisher-Harris (suspension) last week against Canberra, going down to the Raiders in a nailbiter, 16-10.

The Warriors had just 45% of the ball and 38% of the territory in the first half which really took the gas out of them in attack. They got their chances after the break but couldn’t put it together against a stifling Raiders goalline defence.

The Warriors defence also stood up against the league’s second-best attacking side, allowing just 16 points in the match. The defensive structure of the Warriors has been the cornerstone of their success in 2025 with Andrew Webster’s side starting to look like the group that were premiership contenders back in 2023.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
7-4	4-7	6-1	2-2

New Zealand Warriors Team News

Mitch Barnett will back up for origin and will be joined in his return to the 17 by James Fisher-Harris who also missed last week’s clash with the Raiders.

Rocco Berry also returns in the centres with Ali Leiataua dropping out.

New Zealand Warriors Team List

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak

3. Adam Pompey

4. Rocco Berry

5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Luke Metcalf

8. James Fisher-Harris

9. Wayde Egan

10. Mitch Barnett

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Marata Niukore

13. Erin Clark

Interchange

14. Te Maire Martin

15. Leka Halasima

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Jackson Ford

Reserves

18. Jacob Laban

20. Sam Healey

21. Tanah Boyd

22. Tanner Stowers-Smith

23. Taine Tuaupiki

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13 FAQ’s

How to watch South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13?

You can watch the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13?

To buy tickets to the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors NRL 2025 Round 13 game check the NRL website or the official South Sydney Rabbitohs site.

Verdict

South Sydney Rabbitohs v New Zealand Warriors

Luke Metcalf will score and the Warriors will cover as the slight favourites in a match that goes under the match total.

New Zealand -1.5

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Under 44.5

Game Total

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