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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips - Broncos to hand Manly fourth straight loss at Brookie
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 13 game
- Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at 4 Pines Park
- Broncos playing at Brookvale for the first time since 2014
- Manly have lost three straight at home & coming off 20-point loss to Eels
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips
Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 13 - Expert Prediction
Two desperate teams who should be much higher on the ladder collide in a crucial Saturday night fixture at Brookvale.
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 13 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Manly Sea Eagles Team News
- Manly Sea Eagles Team List
- Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Brisbane Broncos Team News
- Brisbane Broncos Team List
Incredibly, this will be the Broncos' first game at 4 Pines Park since 2014, with only three squad members having played at the venue. 4 Pines Park is typically a fortress for Manly, but not this season, with the hosts losing their last three games at the ground.
I'll preface this by admitting I have zero confidence in this tip, but I'm backing the Broncos to finally turn things around here. The Sea Eagles haven't been the same since DCE announced his intention to leave the club, which has caused a fracture in the playing group - not for the first time at Manly. Cherry-Evans' individual performances have also suffered and he was well below his best in Origin on Wednesday night. Now the oldest ever Origin representative for QLD has to back up a few days later. Throw in the absence of Tom and Jake Trbojevic and this Manly side look there for the taking.
Brisbane's attack has all the talent in the world, so I'm tipping it to finally click on Saturday night - backing Michael Maguire's side to cover a small line and score Over 24.5 team points. Jason Saab remains the main threat with his speed and aerial presence out wide for Manly and he hasn't gone back-to-back games without scoring since Round 22/23 last year. After failing to cross vs Eels last week, Saab can bag his eighth try of the season.
- Broncos have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams
- Sea Eagles have lost five of their last seven games
- Sea Eagles have lost their last three games at 4 Pines
- Broncos have scored 25+ points in four of their five wins this season
- Sea Eagles have conceded 30 points in their last two defeats
- Jason Saab has scored 70 tries in 95 career games & hasn't gone back-to-back games without scoring since Round 22/23 last year
Head To Head
Manly have only managed three wins over the Broncos since 2016, with Brisbane edging last year's Round 11 clash 13-12 courtesy of a Jock Madden field goal.
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
Manly's form has fallen off a cliff and it's tough to see them having enough consistency to finish the season inside the top eight.
It's absolutely no coincidence that the Sea Eagles have lost five of their last seven games since Cherry-Evans announced he would be leaving the club on live television.
Anthony Seibold's side have lost five of their last seven games, including a most-recent 30-10 beatdown at the hands of an Eels side missing Mitch Moses.
If Parramatta without Moses can put 30 points on you, you're in deep trouble...
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | 5-6 | 0-2 | 5-4 |
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Cherry-Evans has been named to back up from Origin, but Tom and Jake Trbojevic are sidelined with a corked thigh and concussion respectively.
Lehi Hopoate moves to fullback and Tommy Talau returns on the wing. Josh Aloiai (shoulder) and Ben Trbojevic both come back into the forwards.
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
1. Lehi Hopoate
2. Jason Saab
3. Tolutau Koula
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Tommy Talau
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Ethan Bullemor
9. Jake Simpkin
10. Josh Aloiai
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jazz Tevaga
Interchange
14. Lachlan Croker
15. Corey Waddell
16. Nathan Brown
17. Matthew Lodge
Reserves
18. Clayton Faulalo
19. Jakob Arthur
20. Michael Chee Kam
21. Toafofoa Sipley
22. Caleb Navale
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
It's been a shocking last couple of months for the Broncos, who come into this encounter having lost five of their last six games.
There wasn't really any indication this dip in form was coming after Brisbane opened the season by dropping 50 points on the Roosters and winning three straight games against the Dolphins, Tigers and Cowboys from Round 3-5.
However, despite a premiership-winning roster (and coach), the Broncos have slipped back into their old habits from last season - poor attitude and lack of intensity, especially in defence.
Before last week's bye, the Broncos were last seen losing 30-26 at home to the Dragons.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 3-1 |
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Pat Carrigan and Payne Haas have been named to back up from Origin, while Jesse Arthars (fullback) and Selwyn Cobbo (wing) switch positions.
Ben Te Kura joins the bench in place of Fletcher Baker, who has been dropped.
Brisbane Broncos Team List
1. Jesse Arthars
2. Selwyn Cobbo
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Gehamat Shibasaki
5. Deine Mariner
6. Ezra Mam
7. Adam Reynolds
8. Patrick Carrigan
9. Cory Paix
10. Payne Haas
11. Xavier Willison
12. Jordan Riki
13. Kobe Hetherington
Interchange
14. Billy Walters
15. Corey Jensen
16. Brendan Piakura
17. Benjamin Te Kura
Reserves
18. Tyson Smoothy
19. Josiah Karapani
20. Blake Mozer
21. Jaiyden Hunt
22. Fletcher Baker
23. Va’a Semu
Verdict
The Broncos are backed to turn things around in their first game at Brookvale since 2014, with Manly currently on a three-game losing streak at home.
Jason Saab can still cross for the hosts to continue his prolific career strike-rate.
Broncos -1.5
Line
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