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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips - Broncos to hand Manly fourth straight loss at Brookie

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 29 May 2025 14:26

Andrew Hendrie 29 May 2025

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Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 13 game
Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at 4 Pines Park
Broncos playing at Brookvale for the first time since 2014
Manly have lost three straight at home & coming off 20-point loss to Eels
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 13 - Expert Prediction

Two desperate teams who should be much higher on the ladder collide in a crucial Saturday night fixture at Brookvale.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 13 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List

Incredibly, this will be the Broncos' first game at 4 Pines Park since 2014, with only three squad members having played at the venue. 4 Pines Park is typically a fortress for Manly, but not this season, with the hosts losing their last three games at the ground.

I'll preface this by admitting I have zero confidence in this tip, but I'm backing the Broncos to finally turn things around here. The Sea Eagles haven't been the same since DCE announced his intention to leave the club, which has caused a fracture in the playing group - not for the first time at Manly. Cherry-Evans' individual performances have also suffered and he was well below his best in Origin on Wednesday night. Now the oldest ever Origin representative for QLD has to back up a few days later. Throw in the absence of Tom and Jake Trbojevic and this Manly side look there for the taking.

Brisbane's attack has all the talent in the world, so I'm tipping it to finally click on Saturday night - backing Michael Maguire's side to cover a small line and score Over 24.5 team points. Jason Saab remains the main threat with his speed and aerial presence out wide for Manly and he hasn't gone back-to-back games without scoring since Round 22/23 last year. After failing to cross vs Eels last week, Saab can bag his eighth try of the season.

Broncos have won seven of the last 10 meetings between the teams
Sea Eagles have lost five of their last seven games
Sea Eagles have lost their last three games at 4 Pines
Broncos have scored 25+ points in four of their five wins this season
Sea Eagles have conceded 30 points in their last two defeats
Jason Saab has scored 70 tries in 95 career games & hasn't gone back-to-back games without scoring since Round 22/23 last year

Head To Head

Manly have only managed three wins over the Broncos since 2016, with Brisbane edging last year's Round 11 clash 13-12 courtesy of a Jock Madden field goal.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

Manly's form has fallen off a cliff and it's tough to see them having enough consistency to finish the season inside the top eight.

It's absolutely no coincidence that the Sea Eagles have lost five of their last seven games since Cherry-Evans announced he would be leaving the club on live television.

Anthony Seibold's side have lost five of their last seven games, including a most-recent 30-10 beatdown at the hands of an Eels side missing Mitch Moses.

If Parramatta without Moses can put 30 points on you, you're in deep trouble...

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-7	5-6	0-2	5-4

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

Cherry-Evans has been named to back up from Origin, but Tom and Jake Trbojevic are sidelined with a corked thigh and concussion respectively.

Lehi Hopoate moves to fullback and Tommy Talau returns on the wing. Josh Aloiai (shoulder) and Ben Trbojevic both come back into the forwards.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Lehi Hopoate

2. Jason Saab

3. Tolutau Koula

4. Reuben Garrick

5. Tommy Talau

6. Luke Brooks

7. Daly Cherry-Evans

8. Ethan Bullemor

9. Jake Simpkin

10. Josh Aloiai

11. Haumole Olakau’atu

12. Ben Trbojevic

13. Jazz Tevaga

Interchange

14. Lachlan Croker

15. Corey Waddell

16. Nathan Brown

17. Matthew Lodge

Reserves

18. Clayton Faulalo

19. Jakob Arthur

20. Michael Chee Kam

21. Toafofoa Sipley

22. Caleb Navale

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	2-3

It's been a shocking last couple of months for the Broncos, who come into this encounter having lost five of their last six games.

There wasn't really any indication this dip in form was coming after Brisbane opened the season by dropping 50 points on the Roosters and winning three straight games against the Dolphins, Tigers and Cowboys from Round 3-5.

However, despite a premiership-winning roster (and coach), the Broncos have slipped back into their old habits from last season - poor attitude and lack of intensity, especially in defence.

Before last week's bye, the Broncos were last seen losing 30-26 at home to the Dragons.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-8	5-6	2-5	3-1

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Pat Carrigan and Payne Haas have been named to back up from Origin, while Jesse Arthars (fullback) and Selwyn Cobbo (wing) switch positions.

Ben Te Kura joins the bench in place of Fletcher Baker, who has been dropped.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Jesse Arthars

2. Selwyn Cobbo

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Deine Mariner

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Billy Walters

15. Corey Jensen

16. Brendan Piakura

17. Benjamin Te Kura

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Josiah Karapani

20. Blake Mozer

21. Jaiyden Hunt

22. Fletcher Baker

23. Va’a Semu

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v Brisbane Broncos

The Broncos are backed to turn things around in their first game at Brookvale since 2014, with Manly currently on a three-game losing streak at home.

Jason Saab can still cross for the hosts to continue his prolific career strike-rate.

Broncos -1.5

Line

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