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Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL Round 20 Tips - No surprises here

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 15 Jul 2025 18:04

Jeremy Darke 15 Jul 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs expert predictions for Friday’s Round 20 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEST) at CommBank Stadium
Panthers boast strong defence, conceding only 11.6 points in their last 5.
Rabbitohs struggle with injuries, losing last 6 games by 12.8 points avg.

Jez's tips for Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction

Despite resting a couple of Origin stars this will be another routine win for the Panthers, or maybe better said, a routine loss for Souths. Either way, Penrith will cover the line with their defensive holding strong.

Panthers vs Rabbitohs Round 20 NRL Cheat Sheet

Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

Nathan Cleary and Isiah Yeo will miss this match with the Panthers in the capable hands of Brad Schneider who has steered the ship through Origin. It is no surprise that Ivan Cleary feels comfortable resting his son and captain with South in all sorts of injury trouble that has them as the worst defensive team in the comp over the last 5 matches.

The Panthers defensive line on the other hand is back to its dynasty best if you look at the raw number of points conceded, leading the comp with an opposition average of just 11.6 points in their last 5 games.

That will be the difference in this match, so expect the Rabbits to stay under 18.5 points, which is a common trend against Penrith in their head to head record.

The right side defence of Souths is the worst of the two and Tom Jenkins has continued to be a try scoring threat for the Panthers on the left and will be in for a big night again against Souths.

The Rabbitohs have lost their last 6 matches by an average margin of 12.8 points.
Penrith have conceded an average of 11.6 points in their last 5 matches.
Souths have scored 18 points or less in 12 of their last 15 games against Penrith.
Souths concede 47% of their tries on the right-hand side

Head to Head

Souths got up 28-18 against the Panthers back in Round 4 with Keaon Koloamatangi crossing for a double in that match.

The head to head record is very lopsided though with the Panthers winning 12 of 16 matches since the 2019 season.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis

The Panthers are on a five-game roll and have slotted back into 6th on the ladder, recovering from their horrid start to the season.

It is all about defence for the Panthers who have held their opponents to just 11.6 points per game in their last 5 matches, obviously first in the comp in that stat during the short timeframe. It is exactly what the Panthers have built their dynasty on over the last 5 years so it is a huge warning sign for the rest of the comp.

The Panthers will rest Cleary and Yeo this week which will put some pressure on their match, however, they have survived the Origin period with 5 wins and things should be pretty routine this week.

Penrith Panthers Team News

Ivan Cleary has decided to rest his son Nathan for this match along with team captain Isiah Yeo after they both backed up for the Panthers after Origin.

Penrith will welcome back a couple of their Origin stars with Dylan Edwards slotting back in at fullback and Brian To’o resuming on the wing.

Dain Laurie will come off the bench, Paul Alamoti will slot into the centres with Izack Tago suspended. Brad Schneider will remain at halfback in Cleary’s absence. Isaiah Papalii will start at lock for Yeo, while Scott Sorensen will come into the back row.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Paul Alamoti

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Brad Schneider

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Luke Garner

13. Isaiah Papalii

Interchange

14. Daine Laurie

15. Liam Henry

16. Luron Patea

17. Matthew Eisenhuth

Reserves

18. Jack Cole

19. Luke Sommerton

20. Mavrik Geyer

21. Harrison Hassett

22. Preston Riki

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis

It is unusual for teams that are steered by Wayne Bennet to be so poor defensively as the 2025 Rabbitohs are, but they do have their excuses for their 0-6 run as they look to be set in the battle for the spoon.

The simple fact is they have been terrorised with outs all season, struggling with injuries and constantly needing to reshuffle to try and survive. It hasn’t worked and they are ranked last in the NRL in run metres, linebreaks and territory which are all stats we weight heavily in our predictions.

Ranking so low, the Rabbits have leaked 33 points per game in their last 5 matches which is the most of any team in the comp.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News

Latrell Mitchell returns to fullback after Origin with Alex Johnston returning to the wing.

Unfortunately, Souths will be without Cody Walker again and Campbell Graham was once again added to the injury list and will be covered by Isiah Tass with Tallis Duncan remains in the centres.

Siliva Havili comes back into No. 9 while Jack Wighton stays at five-eighth.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List

1. Latrell Mitchell

2. Alex Johnston

3. Isaiah Tass

4. Tallis Duncan

5. Tyrone Munro

6. Jack Wighton

7. Jamie Humphreys

8. Tevita Tatola

9. Siliva Havili

10. Keaon Koloamatangi

11. Euan Aitken

12. Jacob Host

13. Jai Arrow

Interchange

14. Peter Mamouzelos

15. Lachlan Hubner

16. Sean Keppie

17. Lewis Dodd

Reserves

18. Liam Le Blanc

19. Thomas Fletcher

20. Ryan Gray

21. Shaq Mitchell

22. Ammaron Gudgeon

Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 20 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Penrith’s defence will be the difference holding south under 18.5 points which will see them cover as the favourite. Tom Jenkins will attack the weaker right side of the Rabbits line and he will cross.

Penrith Panthers -8.5

Handicap/Line

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