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Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL Round 17 Tips - Doggies out grind the masters

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 24 Jun 2025 14:56

Jeremy Darke 24 Jun 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 17 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) at CommBank Stadium
The match is predicted to be a possession battle with a low-scoring first half.
Thomas Jenkins of Panthers remains a key scoring threat amidst defensive challenges.

Jez's Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs Tips

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction

This game will be about the grind with the new masters the Canterbury Bulldogs outplaying the old dog, the Penrith Panthers.

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs, Round 17 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

Check out the Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs Cheat Sheet

Canterbury sit on top of the ladder and for one simple reason, they control the game and make sure that it is played in their opposition half. A tactic that Cameron Ciraldo took with him from his time in Penrith.

I expect this match to be a battle of possession and territory with the first half being a game of force ‘em back, with both teams trying to pin their opponent in their own end and make them do the work with the ball to get out of trouble. This will result in a low-scoring first half.

With Nathan Cleary being underdone with a groin injury it is expected that the Bulldogs will win the kicking battle and eventually take control of the match and get the win against the Panthers.

You can’t ignore the try scoring form of Thomas Jenkins at the moment, crossing the line 5 times in his last 3 games and 8 times in his past six matches. Getting over double your money feels like a steal.

Penrith have a 2-3 record at CommBank Stadium in 2025.
Canterbury concedes an average of 17.8 points per game, the least of any team in the NRL.
The last 3 Penrith Panthers matches have had a halftime total under 21.5 points.
Thomas Jenkins has scored in 3 straight games for Penrith Panthers.

Head to Head

Penrith have won the last 7 matches against Canterbury, dating back to the 2020 season.

The pair played each other just once last season with Penrith getting up 16-10.

Three of the last 4 matches between the Panthers and Bulldogs have gone over the game total.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

The Panthers have found some form with three consecutive wins that has pushed them back into the top eight after being on the bottom of the ladder just over one month ago.

I’m not sold though. The Panthers beat Parramatta and Wests before getting a surprising 28-18 victory last weekend in New Zealand. The competition on this three-game run hasn’t been great, yes they beat the Warriors but still conceded 18 points and that is where the concern lies.

The Penrith defence has been their downfall this season, where throughout their dynasty it has been their strength. Despite still managing to rank third in territory, the Panthers have been giving up points with poor defence in their own half.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-8	6-8	4-4	2-3

Penrith Panthers Team News

Despite playing through a groin injury in Origin 2, Nathan Cleary has been named to start at halfback for the Panthers. Dylan Edwards, Brian To’o , Liam Martin and Isiah Yeo have also been named to return after representative duties.

Daine Laurie and Paul Alamoti have been dropped out of the backline while Trent Toelau and Matthew Eisenhuth have also been forced to make way.

Scott Sorensen was influential for the Panthers last week, but will now have a stint on the sideline after being charged with a hip-drop.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Isaiah Papalii

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Brad Schneider

15. Liam Henry

16. Luron Patea

17. Luke Garner

Reserves

18. Paul Alamoti

19. Matthew Eisenhuth

20. Daine Laurie

21. Trent Toelau

22. Luke Sommerton

Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	2-3	2-3

Canterbury steadied the ship once again in between their byes with a couple of wins over Parramatta 30-12 and Souths 24-18.

With all of their Origin players returning it is expected that Canterbury will return to the machine they are and fall back to their grind out style of footy this weekend.

The Dogs rank first in plenty of the key stats indicators with both their attack and defence being built on their ability to control where the game is being played, leading the comp in possession and territory and also tackles inside 20m in both attack and defence.

This results in Canterbury controlling the game and it is why they leak the least amount of points (17.8/G) of any team in the NRL

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
8-5	6-7	5-0	6-2

Canterbury Bulldogs Team News

Stephen Crichton and Matt Burton return after Origin which moves Jacob Kiraz to the wing and Lachie Galvin to the bench with Balke Wilson dropping out.

Max King also returns to prop with Josh Curran moving to the bench, joining Kurt Mann who will start the match in the No. 14.

Canterbury Bulldogs Team List

1. Connor Tracey

2. Jacob Kiraz

3. Bronson Xerri

4. Stephen Crichton

5. Marcelo Montoya

6. Matt Burton

7. Toby Sexton

8. Max King

9. Reed Mahoney

10. Daniel Suluka-Fifita

11. Viliame Kikau

12. Jacob Preston

13. Bailey Hayward

Interchange

14. Kurt Mann

15. Harry Hayes

16. Josh Curran

17. Lachlan Galvin

Reserves

19. Kurtis Morrin

20. Mitch Woods

21. Sam Hughes

22. Jethro Rinakama

23. Blake Taaffe

Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Canterbury Bulldogs NRL 2025 Round 17 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Canterbury Bulldogs

The first half of this match will be a stalemate with the total staying under. The Dogs will get on top in the end, however the Panthers’ Thomas Jenkins will cross.

Canterbury -1.5

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