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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels NRL Tips - Dragons breathe fire back into season

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 26 Jun 2025 14:33

Andrew Hendrie 26 Jun 2025

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St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 17 game
Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at WIN Stadium
Dragons to bounce back and cover vs Eels without Moses
King Gutho to add to the double he scored vs Eels back in Round 5
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels NRL Tips

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels, NRL Round 17 - Expert Prediction

The Dragons are backed to secure their first win since Round 13, with King Gutho set to lift once more against his former club.

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels, NRL Round 17 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List

Clint Gutherson was shown the door at Parramatta, despite being one of the club's most consistent performers and he no doubt had revenge on his mind when he crossed for a double against the Eels earlier this season. With the Dragons aiming to snap a two-game losing skid, I'm tipping the veteran fullback to lead his side to victory at WIN Stadium on Saturday.

Dragons vs Eels Rd 17 Cheat Sheet

Yes, the Eels got the job done without Mitch Moses last week, but it was against the Titans at home, so does that really count? There's just been too many instances over the last few years where Parramatta have been absolutely devoid of ideas in attack without Moses, so I have to favour the Dragons at home and Under 47.5 total points for this clash.

Eels have lost five of their last seven away games
Dragons have won four of their last five vs Eels at WIN Stadium
Dragons have won three of their last four home games
Eels have failed to cover a -3.5 line in all nine of their defeats this season
Eels have seen Under 47.5 points in six of their last seven games
Two of the last three meetings have seen Under 47.5 points
Clint Gutherson scored a double vs Eels earlier this season & has scored four tries in his last five games

Head To Head

The Eels have enjoyed success in recent times against the Dragons, winning the last four meetings between the teams - including a 23-22 golden point triumph back in Round 5 this season, with former Dragon Zac Lomax kicking the winning field goal.

St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	3-2

It was an encouraging start to the season for the Dragons - they won half of their opening six games, with two defeats coming by a single point.

However, things have gone downhill since, with the Dragons winning just two games since Round 7 - and they were against horrifically out-of-form teams at the time in the Knights and Broncos.

There's much conjecture surrounding coach Shane Flanagan continuing to play son Kyle in the halves instead of Lachlan Ilias, who has been impressing in NSW Cup.

St George Illawarra head into this showdown following a crushing 56-6 loss to the Dolphins and 30-18 defeat to the Sharks before last week's bye.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-7	8-5	3-6	2-2

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News

Wingers Corey Allan and Christian Tuipuloto make their returns from hamstring injuries, while centre Val Holmes is also back after missing the Sharks' defeat on Origin duty.

Jaydn Su'A returns from an ankle injury, while Viliami Fifita plays his first game of 2025 on the bench, with Loko Pasifiki Tonga dropping out.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clinton Gutherson

2. Corey Allan

3. Moses Suli

4. Valentine Holmes

5. Christian Tuipulotu

6. Lyhkan King-Togia

7. Kyle Flanagan

8. Emre Guler

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Toby Couchman

12. Jaydn Su’A

13. Jack de Belin

Interchange

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Hamish Stewart

16. Viliami Fifita

17. Luciano Leilua

Reserves

18. Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga

19. Lachlan Ilias

20. Blake Lawrie

21. Nicholas Tsougranis

22. Nathan Lawson

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

It's been another rough season for the Eels, with their success basically depending on the fitness of Mitch Moses.

Unfortunately, Moses has been missing for the majority of the season, with his latest setback coming when he injured his calf during training for NSW ahead of Origin Game 2.

Parramatta were able to find enough spark to take care of a terrible Titans side at home last week, prevailing 36-20 as Will Penisini scored a late double.

Zac Lomax once again produced a monster performance, running for 211 metres from 25 carries, consistently getting the Eels on the front foot early in sets.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
7-7	4-10	1-4	4-5

Parramatta Eels Team News

Dylan Brown returns from suspension, but Will Penisini is banned for the next three games following his dangerous throw last week.

Ryley Smith is also suspended for the next two games, with Joash Papalii reverting to the bench and Jordan Samrani starting in the centres.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Zac Lomax

3. Jordan Samrani

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Dean Hawkins

8. Jack Williams

9. Joey Lussick

10. Junior Paulo

11. Kelma Tuilagi

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J’maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Dylan Walker

15. Matt Doorey

16. Charlie Guymer

17. Joash Papali’i

Reserves

18. Dan Keir

19. Toni Mataele

20. Brendan Hands

21. Ronald Volkman

22. Samuel Loizou

Verdict

St George Illawarra Dragons v Parramatta Eels

The Dragons should have just enough to topple the Eels without Moses at home, with King Gutho popping up for another meat pie against his former club.

Dragons -3.5

Line

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Under 47.5

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