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Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL Round 25 Tips - Panthers Push for Top 4

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue. 19 Aug. 2025 15:08

Ryan Tucker 19 Aug. 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders expert predictions for Friday’s Round 25 NRL game
Kick off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) at Glen Willow Oval
Panthers are favorites to win by controlling game tempo.
Predicting game total to exceed 40.5 points.
Bet on Casey McLean as a key tryscorer for Penrith.

Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL Round 25 Tips

Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders, Round 25 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Panthers are expected to control the tempo of this blockbuster matchup leading them to a slight victory over the Raiders.

Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders, Round 25 2025 - Expert Prediction
Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders Round 25 NRL Cheat Sheet
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders Team News
Canberra Raiders Team List
Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25 FAQ’s

The Game Total Under is hitting at 57% this season but we are seeing some of the lowest totals of the season offered by the bookies this week which presents value for us to take the Over with those numbers likely to even out as the season draws to a close.

Penrith were unlucky to not extend their win streak to 10 last weekend and put themselves in a top 4 position. They were the better team for most of the contest but some costly errors in bad field position allowed their opponent back into the game.

Canberra have had the luxury of the bye last weekend and will come into this one full of energy and purpose as they aim to lock up another minor premiership. Their scoring this season has been inconsistent and at times just plain lucky. They are not expected to receive the same types of chances from the Panthers which will keep the game close for much of the contest.

Expect Penrith to control the tempo through their defence and their structured sets, building pressure and converting into points despite the Raiders good goalline defence. Canberra will also get their chances and will likely jag a couple tries pushing the total up.

Take Penrith on the line, Game Total to go Over and Casey McLean to score for Penrith.

Penrith have won 4 of the last 5 vs Canberra
The Panthers average the most Tackles Inside opposition 20m zone. Canberra allows the 6th most Tackles Inside 20m but have the best Opposition Tryscoring Efficiency rate pointing to good tryline defence.
The Game Total Under is underrepresented this season at just 43%. This is the 2nd lowest total offered on any game this season by bookies.
Casey McLean has scored in 4 of his last 5 games for the Panthers.
Penrith have scored first in 3 straight games.

Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders Round 25 NRL Cheat Sheet

Panthers vs Raiders Rd 25 Cheat Sheet

Head to Head

Canberra won the most recent matchup, the one game played between these teams last season, 22-18. Penrith own the H2H record 5-3 in all games played since the start of the 2019 season.

The Game Total has been evenly split 4-4 but 3 of the last 4 have gone Under. The winning margin has been 13+ on all but 2 occasions, notably last year’s game.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis

The Panthers 9 game win streak came to an end last weekend in what was their third Golden Point game and 2nd Golden Point loss of the 2025 season, going down 22-18 against Melbourne.

Penrith led at half time and have been almost unbeatable in that situation over the past 5-6 years. 6 second half errors gave the Storm the opportunity to attack and the Panthers defence cracked.

They still lead the league in Run Metres and are 2nd in Linebreaks while having the highest number of average tackles inside the opposition 20m zone.

Penrith Panthers Team News

No changes for Penrith this weekend with a timeline on Isaah Yeo’s return still unclear.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Luke Garner

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaiah Papali'i

Interchange

14. Brad Schneider

15. Liam Henry

16. Matthew Eisenhuth

17. Scott Sorensen

Reserves

18. Paul Alamoti

19. Isaah Yeo

20. Mavrik Geyer

21. Daine Laurie

22. Luke Sommerton

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

The Raiders were on the Bye last weekend, a scheduling anomaly seeing them have all three rest weeks between rds 15 and 24.

Their most recent outing was a 28-12 win over the Manly Sea-Eagles in Rd 23. The win was their 6th in a row at home where they have lost just the one game all season. It was also the 4th time in 5 matches the Raiders played at GIO, an important factor in their rest and recuperation efforts.

The Raiders have lost just 1 of 7 games played this season against current top 8 opponents. They hold opponents to the lowest Tryscoring Efficiency while also ranking 3rd in attack for Run Metres and Linebreaks.

Canberra Raiders Team News

Canberra have not made any changes from the team that beat Manly in their most recent outing before the bye.

Canberra Raiders Team List

1. Kaeo Weekes

2. Jed Stuart

3. Matt Timoko

4. Sebastian Kris

5. Xavier Savage

6. Ethan Strange

7. Jamal Fogarty

8. Josh Papalii

9. Tom Starling

10. Joe Tapine

11. Hudson Young

12. Zac Hosking

13. Corey Horsburgh

Interchange

14. Owen Pattie

15. Simi Sasagi

16. Morgan Smithies

17. Ata Mariota

Reserves

18. Noah Martin

19. Manaia Waitere

20. Danny Levi

21. Trey Mooney

22. Ethan Sanders

Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Canberra Raiders NRL 2025 Round 25 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Canberra Raiders

Take Penrith on the line, Game Total to go Over and Casey McLean to score for Penrith.

Penrith -3.5

Line

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