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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Round 25 Tips - Bunnies bounce to third straight win

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue 19 Aug 2025 11:31

The upcoming NRL Round 25 match between the South Sydney Rabbitohs and the St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a low-scoring affair with both teams facing injury challenges. The Rabbitohs have shown recent defensive improvements and have a strong record against the Dragons, winning 8 of their last 11 meetings. Despite the Dragons' formidable recent performances, their mounting injuries could give the Rabbitohs an edge. In this game, betting on the under total points seems wise, as both teams focus on amplifying their defensive strength.

Jeremy Darke 19 Aug 2025
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  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 25 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) at Accor Stadium
  • South Sydney have won 8 of their last 11 games vs Dragons, and look to continue this streak.
  • Betting on the under seems wise given both teams' defensive focus and recent match stats.
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Round 25 Tips

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 25 2025 - Expert Prediction


The defensive resurgence of Wayne Bennett’s Bunnies will continue as they lock out the Dragons and win this battle of the wounded in what is shaping up to be a pretty unexciting match.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 25 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25 FAQ’s
Rabbitohs vs Dragons Rd. 25 Cheat Sheet
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There will be no blockbuster on Thursday night with NRL fans having to wait for an epic double-header on Friday before feeling any finals buzz. However, there is money to be made on the duds as well and the big pick in this match will be the under on the game total. 

Both the Rabbits and the Dragons are struggling with injury as they close out their 2025 seasons which should see two lacklustre attacking sides going up against two improving defensive units. The Bunnies and the Dragons are in a good defensive patch both conceding 14 points or less in their last 2 games. That, compiled with strong records to the under makes this the pick of the game. 

The Rabbits have gotten a couple of their troops back this week and have a strong record against the Dragons, so I am picking the Bunnies in a  match that the bookies can’t split and taking the value of the 1.5-point handicap.

Tries can come from anywhere here with new combinations on both sides of the field. We like to ride tryscoring trends and Mat Feagai has crossed the line 4 times in the last 3 games since returning to the centres after being out of the side since Round 7.

  • South Sydney have won 8 of the last 11 matches against St George. 
  • South Sydney have conceded an average of 17 points in their last 2 matches.
  • 17 of 22 South Sydney matches have hit the under the game total this season.
  • 3 of the last 4 St George matches have hit under the game total.
  • Mat Feagai has scored in 4 tries in his last 3 matches.

Head to Head 


The Rabbits snagged a 1-point win against the Dragons back in Round 2 this season with Jamie Humphreys breaking the 24-24 deadlock with a 75th minute field goal, after coming back from a 12-point deficit with 30 minutes to play.

The win was South Sydney’s eight victory over St George in their last 11 meetings.

6 of the last 7 matches between Souths and St George have gone under the game total. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis


Something has shifted over the last fortnights in Redfern with the Rabbits snagging 2 consecutive wins, breaking their 9-game losing streak. A 20-18 victory over the Titans almost guaranteed that the Bunnies would avoid the Wooden Spoon this season, while their 20-16 victory last week over the Eels has removed them completely from the fight at the bottom. 

The Bunnies have suffered injury and have lacked chemistry in both attack and defence this season, however, over the last 2 weeks they have been able to defend their line and keep their defence intact, conceding under 20 points in consecutive games for just the second time this season. 

With the return of some troops this week, Wayne Bennet and the Rabbitohs will want to build on that defensive performance, while rekindling combinations in attack. 

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News


Latrell Mitchell was a late withdrawal last week prior to the Rabbits match against the Eels and will also miss this weekend with a back complaint. Jye Gray will wear the No.1 after an inspiring performance at the back last week.

Bayleigh Bentley-Hape is under concussion protocol with Tyrone Munro starting on the wing.

Cody Walker is still named to come off the bench with Ashton Ward holding onto the No. 6 jumper.

Keaon Koloamatangi returns to the front row ahead of time with Siliva Havili moving to hooker and Peter Mamouzelos moving to the bench.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List


1. Jye Gray  
2. Alex Johnston 
3. Isaiah Tass  
4. Tallis Duncan 
5. Tyrone Munro 
6. Ashton Ward 
7. Jamie Humphreys  
8. Sean Keppie 
9. Siliva Havili
10. Keaon Koloamatangi 
11. Jacob Host
12. Jai Arrow
13. Lachlan Hubner 

Interchange
14. Peter Mamouzelos
15. Brandon Smith 
16. Cody Walker 
17. Thomas Fletcher

Reserves
18. Shaq Mitchell 
19. Fletcher Myers 
20. Salesi Ataata
21. Haizyn Mellars
22. Lewis Dodd

St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis


The Saints were giant killers in Rounds 22 and 23, taking down league leaders the Canberra Raiders 18-12 and following it up with a 22-14 victory over the Sharks. However, a three-peat was too much to ask, throwing away a 10-point lead to go down 14-10 to the Warriors last weekend. 

It was a gallant effort despite the result with a culture change appearing to take place at St George. The impressive part of the mini run for the Dragons has been their defence, conceding an average of 13.33 points per game in their last 3 matches, which were against top eight sides. 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News


There is plenty happening at St George with the injury list growing by the week. 

Jack de Belin, Hamish Stewart and Hame Sele all suffered concussion last week and will miss the match against the Rabbitohs. 

Jacob Halangahu will make his NRL debut in the second row with Ben Murdoch-Masila will start at lock. Blake Lawrie will come onto the bench.

Christian Tuipulotu comes back in on the wing with Corey Allan on the other side. 

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List


1. Clint Gutherson 
2. Christian Tuipulotu
3. Hayden Buchanan
4. Mathew Feagai
5. Corey Allan 
6. Lyhkan King-Togia
7. Kyle Flanagan
8. Emre Guler
9. Damien Cook
10. David Klemmer
11. Luciano Leilua 
12. Jacob Halangahu
13. Ben Murdoch-Masila

Interchange
14. Jacob Liddle
15. Blake Lawrie 
16. Loko Pasifiki Tonga
17. Tyrell Sloan 

Reserves
18. Raymond Faitala-Mariner
19. Viliami Fifita
20. Nathan Lawson 
21. Lachlan Ilias

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25 FAQ’s

How to watch South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25?

You can watch the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25?

To buy tickets to the South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 25 game check the NRL website or the official South Sydney Rabbitohs site.

Verdict

The Rabbits will get a tough-fought victory in a low scoring match that stays under the game total. Mat Feagai will continue his try scoring run and cross the line for the Dragons.
Best Bet1: South Sydney -1.5 Handicap/Line $2.10 at Pandabet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 41.5 Game Total $1.91 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Mat Feagai Anytime Tryscorer $3.75 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Mat Feagai First Tryscorer $17.00 at betr - 1 Unit
South Sydney -1.5
Handicap/Line
$2.10 - 2 Units
Pandabet
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Under 41.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 3 Units
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Mat Feagai
Anytime Tryscorer
$3.75 - 1 Unit
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Mat Feagai
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