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Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL Round 11 Tips - Blues connection gives Parra a spark

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 13 May 2025 18:20

Jeremy Darke 13 May 2025

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Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Friday’s Round 11 NRL game
Kick off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) at McDonald Jones Stadium
Zac Lomax returns to Parramatta, boosting their attack lineup alongside Mitch Moses.
Newcastle Knights' attack is the weakest, averaging just 13.6 points per game.

Will the Eels pay this week?

Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction

The first sign of insanity is doing the same thing and expecting a different result. I guess I’m crazy, backing the Eels once again to cover the line for the third week in a row, failing in the last two.

Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Newcastle Knights Team News
Newcastle Knights Team List
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

But here we are again backing Parramatta and the return of Zac Lomax to give them the spark they need to get another win. The Eels centre will hook up with the 2024 NSW halfback Mitch Moses, this time in dark blue and gold, with a dream of reigniting the connection they had that won the Blues the Origin series.

The Knights attack has been awful as well, the worst in the comp, and this game will come down to which team takes their chances in attack. I’m not expecting the scoreboard to blow up in this match, with the Knights defence generally being a tough beat, but Parramatta will be able to do enough to neutralize the Knights scoring and the Eels will cover with a 2.5 point start.

Fletcher Sharpe has been electric for the Knights and has scored in 4 of his last 5 games and will be a danger to the result for the Eels if he cannot be contained for the majority of the match.

Parramatta have won 6 of their last 7 games against Newcastle.
The Knights attack is the worst in the comp, averaging just 13.6 points per game
14 of 18 matches involving the Eels and Knights in 2024 have hit the Under.
Fletcher Sharpe has 6 tries in his last 5 games for the Knights.

Head to Head

The Knights won the only match against the Eels in 2024, beating Parramatta 34-26 at McDonald Jones Stadium.

The win for Newcastle was the first against the blue & gold in 7 matches.

The previous 4 matches between the Knights and Eels has gone over the game total.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	1-4

The Knights gave up a 20-point lead to the Gold Coast to lose their sixth game in 7 matches in a disappointing display that saw them lose their first game to the Titans at home in 8 matches 24-20.

It was a tale of two halves with the knights having 59% possession and 63% of the territory at half time, however that got turned on its head after the break with the Titans completing 21/25 sets with 68% of the ball and 60% of the territory.

After looking sharp in attack over the last 3 halves of footy, Newcastle fell back into their bad habits and didn’t score against the Titans which has been their biggest crux all season, ranked 17th in the league, averaging just 13.6 points per game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-7	1-8	1-1	2-5

Newcastle Knights Team News

Fletcher Hunt comes in on the wing due to an injury to Greg Marzhew in the only change for Adam O’Brien this week.

Adam Elliot will move into the starting lock position with Thomas Cant moving to the bench.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. James Schiller

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best

5. Fletcher Hunt

6. Fletcher Sharpe

7. Jack Cogger

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Tyson Frizell

11. Dylan Lucas

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Adam Elliott

Interchange

14. Jayden Brailey

15. Mat Croker

16. Thomas Cant

17. Brodie Jones

Reserves

18. Jack Hetherington

19. Tyson Gamble

20. Matthew Arthur

21. Kyle McCarthy

22. Paul Bryan

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

Parramatta did a lot right against the Dolphins last week in their 20-16 loss at Commbank last Thursday night, however, there is plenty of improvement needed.

I have been on the Eels to start getting better results but it just hasn’t eventuated, even with the addition of Mitch Moses into the team over the last couple of weeks. The Eels still don’t have enough strike power in attack to be dangerous in their redzone and that is once again what hurt them against the Dolphins.

The Eels looked good when they through the ball around late, playing low percentage plays, however, they do not have the defensive capabilities to make that work long term. With Zac Lomax returning this week, they should see a boost in attack.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-5	3-6	1-3	1-4

Parramatta Eels Team News

Zac Lomax returns just in time to be given one shot to prove his worth for the Blues Squad after an outstanding debut campaign in 2024. Lomax will replace Bailey Simonsson who left the field with a foot injury.

Charlie Guymer has been dropped and Matt Doorey takes his place in the second row with Toni Mataele given the chance to make his NRL debut.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Zac Lomax

3. Will Penisini

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Mitch Moses

8. Jack Williams

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Matt Doorey

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J'maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Dylan Walker

15. Luca Moretti

16. Jordan Samrani

17. Toni Mataele

Reserves

18. Joash Papalii

19. Ryan Matterson

20. Dean Hawkins

21. Jake Tago

22. Brendan Hands

Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11?

You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 11 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.

Verdict

Newcastle Knights v Parramatta Eels

Parramatta will cover as the away underdog in a low-scoring match that goes under the game total.

Fletcher Sharpe will score his 7th try in 6 matches.

Parramatta +2.5

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