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Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL Round 11 Tips - Time to back the Home Dog trends

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Fri 16 May 2025 07:18

Ryan Tucker 16 May 2025

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Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 11 NRL game
Kick off is at 6:15 PM (AEST) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Wests Tigers enter as slight underdogs but are predicted to win against the Rabbitohs.
Souths struggle defensively, allowing the most Run Metres and 5th most Points.
Experts suggest betting on the Tigers to win on the moneyline or consider a draw.

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL Round 11 Tips

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Tigers are slight home Underdogs in their Sunday evening matchup with the Rabbitohs and are tipped to take the victory after being blown off the park last weekend against Melbourne.

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Wests Tigers Team News
Wests Tigers Team List
South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News
South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List
Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

The Home Dog is covering at 62.5% so far this season, the Tigers are 2-0 in that spot already while going 1-1 straight up in those matchups. They were embarrassed by the Storm last weekend and failed to cross for a try for the first time in 42 matches. They have though been averaging 23 pts per game prior to that which says they have the skill in them to produce points.

Souths have so far this year allowed their opponents to march up the field almost at will and put points on the scoreboard. They rank last in opposition Run Metres and rank 13th in opposition points which Wests have been shown to exploit against teams that are weaker in these metrics.

It is likely to be a close game and from my perspective Wests have more players that are able to break a game open on one play to seal a victory than Souths do, but that guy is also Latrell Mitchell.

Take Wests to win on the moneyline, a draw could also be on the cards so why not have a flutter there. Any time you get Alex Johnston to score at $1.80 or better you need to take it.

Home Underdogs are covering at a 62.5% rate this year, the Tigers are 2-0 ATS in this spot in 2025.
Wests have covered in 5 of their last 8 games as Underdogs at Campbelltown Stadium.
South Sydney allow the most Run Metres and the 5th most Points to opponents this season.
Wests have allowed the first try in 3 of their last 4 games.
Alex Johnston has scored 5 tries in his last 2 games against the Tigers.
In 7 of the 10 games where Johnston has scored a try against Wests, he has gone on to score multiple times.

Head to Head

Souths own the recent head to head record against Wests 9-3 but it was the Tigers who tasted success last with an 18-16 win in their Round 24 matchup last season.

The Under/Over is split evenly at 6-6 but the Under has hit in 3 of the last 4 clashes. The Winning margin has been 13+ in 4 of the last 5 but it too is an even 6-6 since the start of the 2019 season.

The Tigers are slightly ahead 7-5 in the ATS record, the entered all 12 games since 2019 as Underdogs.

Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	4-1

The Wests Tigers were absolutely humiliated by Melbourne last weekend 64-0 with the Tigers lucky it didn’t hit 70 (or more). After starting the year allowing just 15 points per game to their opponents through their first 4 matches, the Tigers have fallen off a cliff defensively, allowing 33 pts per game in their last 6 and that average is including just 4 points to the Knights.

Wests have still won 5 games to date which equals their highest rd 10 win total since 2020 and should be seen as a positive move in the right direction. Whilst they failed to put any points past Melbourne, their attack has improved vastly this year with the new additions to the line up.

Terrell May, Jarome Luai, Sunia Turuva amongst others are all helping change the mentality and culture of this club. It is naive to think it will happen quicker and that the Tigers will make the 8 this year but the improvements are there.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-4	6-4	3-2	2-3

Wests Tigers Team News

Starford To’a returns from injury which pushes Brent Naden to the bench, forcing Tallyn Da Silver to the reserves. Fonua Pole is out with a knee injury with Royce Hunt taking his spot in the starting lineup and Jack Bird coming onto the bench.

Wests Tigers Team List

1. Jahream Bula

2. Sunia Turuva

3. Adam Doueihi

4. Starford To'a

5. Charlie Staines

6. Lachlan Galvin

7. Jarome Luai

8. Terrell May

9. Api Koroisau

10. Royce Hunt

11. Samuela Fainu

12. Alex Seyfarth

13. Alex Twal

Interchange

14. Brent Naden

15. Tony Sukkar

16. Jack Bird

17. Sione Fainu

Reserves

18. Heath Mason

19. Tallyn Da Silva

20. Solomona Faataape

21. Reuben Porter

22. Tristan Hope

South Sydney Rabbitohs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	0-5

The Rabbitohs, or should we just say Latrell Mitchell, had a stunning win over the Brisbane Broncos last weekend with a massive 48m, 2pt field goal to seal the deal before a try on the siren extended the margin.

Souths have struggled with injuries and suspensions all season long and are still without 4 players from their backline, 3 of them starters. They were confident though in their attack against the Broncos despite being 14-0 down at the break.

Defensively they are the team that allows the most Run Metres to their opposition per game and have also given up the 5th most points but as they start to regain their troops, the structures are returning and the precision is there.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-4	0-10	5-2	0-3

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team News

Fletcher Myers drops out of the team with Alex Johnston returning to his usual wing spot.

Wayne Bennett has otherwise retained the lineup which saw a dramatic win over the Broncos last weekend.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Team List

1. Latrell Mitchell

2. Alex Johnston

3. Isaiah Tass

4. Campbell Graham

5. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape

6. Jayden Sullivan

7. Jamie Humphreys

8. Jai Arrow

9. Siliva Havili

10. Keaon Koloamatangi

11. Euan Aitken

12. Tallis Duncan

13. Lachlan Hubner

Interchange

14. Jye Gray

15. Sean Keppie

16. Davvy Moale

17. Liam Le Blanc

Reserves

18. Tevita Tatola

19. Lewis Dodd

20. Josh Schuster

21. Fletcher Myers

22. Jacob Host

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11?

You can watch the Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs NRL 2025 Round 11 game check the NRL website or the official Wests Tigers site.

Verdict

Wests Tigers v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Take Wests to win on the moneyline, a draw could also be on the cards so why not have a flutter there. Any time you get Alex Johnston to score at $1.80 or better you need to take it.

Wests Tigers

Moneyline

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