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North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Tips - Manly's struggles to continue in Townsville
- North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 11 game
- Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
- Cowboys to avenge R1 loss to Manly & cover a small -2.5 line in victory
- Cowboys have scored 28+ points in six of their last seven games in Townsville
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Tips
North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles, NRL Round 11 - Expert Prediction
The Cowboys will pile more misery (and points) on the embattled Sea Eagles as the two teams square off in Townsville in the second game on Super Saturday.
- North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles, NRL Round 11 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- North Queensland Cowboys Team News
- Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Manly Sea Eagles Team News
- Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Manly are in all sorts right now. There's no two ways around it - Daly Cherry-Evans has derailed their start to the season by announcing he would be leaving the club at the end of the year, with the Sea Eagles losing four of their last five games. Senior players are reportedly filthy with DCE (not for the first time in his Manly career) and it's fairly obvious to tell on the field. Normally unflappable on the field, Cherry-Evans' individual performances have been poor - especially last week against the Sharks - and it's tough to see how Manly will turn things around with a fractured playing group.
With this in mind, it's a fantastic opportunity for the Cowboys to continue their great form and further cement their top eight status. North Queensland have lost just one game since Round 3 and will be full of confidence following their comeback against the Panthers last week, recovering from 18-30 down to score two tries in the last nine minutes, forcing golden point and ultimately earning a draw with the resurgent four-time defending premiers.
It's time for the Cowboys to register their first win over Manly in Townsville since 2016 (and they can continue their recent trend of scoring 26+ points at home), while Jaxon Purdue should thrive in his preferred position of five-eighth against a vulnerable Sea Eagles' defence - expect the boom youngster to pop up with some support play and cross for what would be an eighth try of the season.
- Cowboys have lost just one game since Round 3, winning four & drawing one of their last six games
- Sea Eagles have lost four of their last five games
- Cowboys have scored 28+ points in six of their last seven home games
- Sea Eagles leaked 30 points vs Sharks at home last week
- Jaxon Purdue has scored seven tries in his last eight games
Head To Head
Manly crushed North Queensland 42-12 back in Round 1 at Brookvale, but these two sides have gone in opposite directions since. The Sea Eagles haven't lost to the Cowboys in Townsville since 2016.
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
It was a slow start to the season for the Cowboys, but Todd Payten put his foot down, gave some key players a spray and it's been smooth sailing ever since.
North Queensland have tasted defeat just once since Round 3 and that was a close 30-26 Magic Round defeat to the second-placed Warriors, where they were unlucky not to complete a second-half comeback.
The Cowboys weren't to be denied another comeback last week, with Robert Derby and Tom Dearden scoring in the last 10 minutes to force golden point against a Panthers side that had seemingly returned to form.
Despite failing to score a try, Jaxon Purdue was again dangerous, running for 199 metres, making another line break and registering 50 post-contact metres - which is his most for the season to date.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | 5-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
As mentioned, Purdue slots into five-eighth for the first time in his NRL career, with Tom Dearden moving to halfback and Jake Clifford dropping out.
Zac Laybutt comes into the centres for his first NRL match since tearing his ACL in Round 5 last year.
1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Robert Derby
3. Zac Laybutt
4. Viliami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Jaxon Purdue
7. Tom Dearden
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Coen Hess
11. John Bateman
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Sam McIntyre
Interchange
14. Harrison Edwards
15. Thomas Mikaele
16. Griffin Neame
17. Kai O’Donnell
Reserves
18. Jake Clifford
19. Thomas Duffy
20. Semi Valemei
21. Karl Lawton
22. Kaiden Lahrs
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
Manly are heading in the opposite direction to that of the Cowboys and come into this encounter having lost four of their last five games.
It's clear as day that Cherry-Evans' announcement has fractured the playing group and it's also affecting the halfback's individual performances. The veteran is in a battle here against opposite number Tom Dearden for a Queensland Origin spot in the halves alongside Cameron Munster.
The Sea Eagles were flat and lacklustre in a 30-14 defeat to the Sharks last week - and if they're losing by 13+ margins and leaking 30 points at Brookvale, it doesn't bode well for their upcoming performances on the road, where they struggle at the best of times.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 |
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Caleb Navale joins the interchange in place of Clayton Faulalo while prop Matthew Lodge is listed amongst the reserves as he looks to return from injury. Jake Trbojevic moves to lock as he looks to stake his claim for a NSW jersey.
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
1. Tom Trbojevic
2. Jason Saab
3. Tolutau Koula
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Lehi Hopoate
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Ethan Bullemor
9. Jazz Tevaga
10. Siosiua Taukeiaho
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic
Interchange
14. Jake Simpkin
15. Corey Waddell
16. Caleb Navale
17. Nathan Brown
Reserves
18. Michael Chee Kam
19. Clayton Faulalo
20. Jakob Arthur
21. Joey Walsh
22. Matthew Lodge
Verdict
The Cowboys will condemn Manly to a fifth defeat from six matches, continuing their recent trend of scoring Over 25.5 points in Townsville (30+ in their last three this season).
Jaxon Purdue has been in electric try-scoring form and can pop up with another four-pointer as he returns to his more natural position of five-eighth.
Cowboys -2.5
Line
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