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New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips - Broncos to cover across the ditch
- New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 7 game
- Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at Go Media Stadium
- Broncos backed to cover a -7.5 line for their fifth win of the season
- Jesse Arthars can also continue his blistering try-scoring form
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips
New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
Both the Warriors and Broncos will be aiming to bounce back from last-start defeats when they square off at Go Media Stadium on Saturday.
- New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos, NRL Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- New Zealand Warriors Team News
- New Zealand Warriors Team List
- Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Brisbane Broncos Team News
- Brisbane Broncos Team List
The Broncos suffered a shock loss at home against the Roosters, while the Warriors were absolutely battered at the hands of the Storm, going down 36-0 after just 31 minutes and never recovering.
I'm backing Brisbane to return to the winners circle across the ditch. Michael Maguire will demand an immediate response after signs of complacency against a Roosters side they dropped 50 points on back in Round 1. The Broncos have won three of their last four games in New Zealand and can take advantage of a Warriors side who are missing three key players through injury.
The Broncos are tipped to cover a -7.5 line, while I'm also liking Over 47.5 total points, which has landed in the last three meetings between the teams and in three of the Warriors' last four outings. Jesse Arthars is the NRL's leading try scorer for the season, with the Broncos winger scoring at least one try in six of his last seven matches - he's a strong chance for another meat pie here.
- Broncos have covered a -7.5 line in all four of their wins this season
- Warriors' last four defeats have been by 8+ points
- Over 47.5 points has landed in three of the Warriors' last four games
- Over 47.5 points has landed in the last three meetings between the teams
- Jesse Arthars has scored eight tries in 2025 & crossed for at least one try in six of his last seven games
Head To Head
The Warriors won the only clash between the teams in 2024 by a 32-16 score. The Broncos were victorious in both meetings in 2023 as they went on to make the Grand Final that year.
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
It's been a solid start to the season for the Warriors, but their first and last matches of the year so far have left a lot to be desired.
The Warriors launched the season poorly in Vegas with a disappointing 30-8 defeat to the Raiders before bouncing back and putting together a three-game winning streak, toppling the Sea Eagles, Roosters and Tigers.
However, the Warriors were no match for Melbourne last week, suffering their 17th consecutive defeat against Craig Bellamy's troops in emphatic fashion, copping a 42-14 hiding.
Andrew Webster's side will be hoping a return to Go Media Stadium will spark a change of fortunes, with the Warriors 2-0 in Auckland so far in 2025.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
New Zealand Warriors Team News
Big loss for the Warriors, with James Fisher-Harris sidelined with a pectoral injury, while Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad has entered concussion protocols and Rocco Berry is serving a one-game suspension.
Taine Tuaupiki moves to fullback, Ed Kosi comes onto the wing and Kurt Capewell shifts to centre. Jackson Ford moves into the starting front row, with Jacob Laban the new name on the bench.
New Zealand Warriors Team List
1. Taine Tuaupiki
2. Edward Kosi
3. Kurt Capewell
4. Ali Leiataua
5. Adam Pompey
6. Chanel Harris-Tavita
7. Luke Metcalf
8. Jackson Ford
9. Wayde Egan
10. Mitchell Barnett
11. Leka Halasima
12. Marata Niukore
13. Erin Clark
Interchange
14. Bunty Afoa
15. Jacob Laban
16. Demitric Vaimauga
17. Te Maire Martin
Reserves
18. Tanah Boyd
20. Tanner Stowers-Smith
21. Samuel Healey
22. Freddy Lussick
23. Morgan Harper
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
The Broncos have won four of their six games to start the season, but apart from a 50-14 crushing of the Roosters in Round 1, they haven't been entirely convincing.
Brisbane followed that up with a shock loss to the Raiders in the nation's capital before bouncing back with victories over out-of-form Cowboys and Dolphins sides, while they also took advantage of a depleted Tigers outfit at home.
Expected to double down on their opening round pummelling of the Roosters last week, the Broncos were flat and outmuscled in all areas as they went down 26-16.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-0 |
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Jack Gosiewski is out for the next two months after suffering a broken arm at training, with Jordan Riki coming back into the side after serving a one-match suspension.
Tyson Smoothy replaces Martin Taupau on the bench.
Brisbane Broncos Team List
1. Reece Walsh
2. Selwyn Cobbo
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Gehamat Shibasaki
5. Jesse Arthars
6. Ben Hunt
7. Adam Reynolds
8. Patrick Carrigan
9. Cory Paix
10. Payne Haas
11. Jaiyden Hunt
12. Jordan Riki
13. Kobe Hetherington
Interchange
14. Billy Walters
15. Corey Jensen
16. Xavier Willison
17. Tyson Smoothy
Reserves
18. Deine Mariner
19. Martin Taupau
20. Jock Madden
21. Benjamin Te Kura
22. Blake Mozer
Verdict
The Broncos are backed to cover a -7.5 line in a game that produces Over 47.5 total points.
Jesse Arthars can continue his red-hot tryscoring form by crossing for a ninth meat pie of the season.
Jesse Arthars can continue his red-hot tryscoring form by crossing for a ninth meat pie of the season.
Broncos -7.5
Line
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Over 47.5
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