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Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Tips - 4 Wins at 4 Pines Park for Manly

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue. 15 Apr. 2025 08:50

Ryan Tucker 15 Apr. 2025

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Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 7 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEDT) at 4 Pines Park
Manly Sea Eagles have a strong 64% win rate at home.
St George Illawarra Dragons show improving attack but struggle in defense.
Jason Saab returns, expected to contribute significantly to the Sea Eagles' offense.

We are backing the Sea Eagles to get up on Thursday night footy!

Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Sea Eagles will make it 4 wins at 4 Pines Park this Thursday as they take advantage of a favourable early season draw.

Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

Manly are one of the strongest teams in the NRL on their home turf with a 64% win percentage at Brookvale oval over the past 4 and a bit years of footy. They have taken 3 of 4 wins there already this season and the last two against the Dragons at the ground.

St George roared back to life last weekend against the Titans and the attack is clicking on all fronts. The defence is still worrying though as they rank 16th in the league in allowing their opposition to get inside the 20m Red Zone. The Dragons average 36.8 tackles Inside 20m to opponents while Manly score on average every 6.8 tackles in their attacking zone.

My expectation in this matchup is that there will be plenty of tryscoring opportunities and the conversion rate of the Sea Eagles will be the determining factor, especially in front of their home crowd.

Take Manly to cover the line, the Game Total to go Over with a big regression needed to even out the numbers on the season. Jason Saab is back on deck and our pick for first tryscorer. Lehi Hopoate is also a good choice.

Manly have a 64% win record at home over the past 4 seasons, the best number in the NRL.
The Over has hit in just 38% of games so far this season, the bookies want that number to get to 50% which offers us great value.
The Sea Eagles have scored the first try in 4 straight games.
Jason Saab has scored in 3 of 4 games for Manly so far this season and dating back to round 14 last year has scored in 12 of 16 games for a total of 14 tries.

Head to Head

Since the beginning of the 2019 season these two teams have matched up on 9 occasions with with St George holding a slim 5-4 advantage in the win column. The wins were split 1-1 last season with each team taking the W on their home turf.

The Under has hit in 4 straight games between these teams and 5 of the last 9. The winning margin has been 13+ in 6 of the last 9 but only 1 of the last 3.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	1-4	3-2

Manly will play their 5th home game in the first 7 rounds of football this weekend with a 3-1 record heading into the matchup at 4 Pines Park. Since the start of the 2021 season the Sea Eagles have won 25 of 39 matches played at Brookvale Oval for a 64% win percentage.

In Perth last weekend they were beaten comfortably by the Sharks 24-18 with the score looking closer thanks to a DCE try in the 79th minute. Manly won the territory battle and racked up 1536 Run Metres in the game, almost 200 metres more than their season average of 1360m. They had trouble converting that into points though with only 3 tries from their 37 tackles Inside 20m of their opponent.

The team is still 3rd in linebreaks and 2nd in Possession on the season while being in the top 7 rankings in defensive measures in all but opposition Territory.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-4	4-2	0-1	3-2

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

Jason Saab returns to the lineup pushing Clayton Faulalo to 18th man in the only change from the team that lost to Cronulla in Perth.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Lehi Hopoate

2. Jason Saab

3. Tolu Koula

4. Reuben Garrick

5. Tommy Talau

6. Luke Brooks

7. Daly Cherry-Evans

8. Josh Aloiai

9. Jazz Tevaga

10. Siosiua Taukeiaho

11. Haumole Olakau’atu

12. Ben Trbojevic

13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange

14. Jake Simpkin

15. Nathan Brown

16. Ethan Bullemor

17. Tof Sipley

Reserves

18. Clayton Faulalo

19. Aaron Schoupp

20. Jake Arthur

21. Caleb Navale

22. Michael Chee Kam

St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

The Dragons returned to winning form at WIN stadium over the weekend, laying waste to the Titans 38-16 to take their third straight 13+ point victory at the ground against Gold Coast. The win broke a 2 game losing streak at the stadium and pushes their season record to 2-3 with the team already having their first bye.

St Georges left edge of Christian Tuipulotu and Val Holmes had a field day scoring 3 tries between them with Holmes also kicking 5 goals. They also combined for 3 Linebreaks and 1 linebreak assist in the game with a combined total of 290 run metres between them.

It was the best performance of the season so far in attack for the Dragons scoring 38 points and running for 1616 Metres on the day. Defensively they still allowed their opponent to get inside the red zone at an alarming rate with Gold Coast having 39 tackles inside their attacking 20m. St George are ranked 16th in the NRL allowing 36.8 tackles inside their own 20m per game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-3	2-3	1-3	1-0

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News

Christian Tuipulotu limped off with a hamstring injury in last weekend's game, he will miss this matchup and is replaced by Matt Feagai.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clint Gutherson

2. Tyrell Sloan

3. Moses Suli

4. Valentine Holmes

5. Mathew Feagai

6. Kyle Flanagan

7. Lachlan Ilias

8. Toby Couchman

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Luciano Leilua

12. Jaydn Su'A

13. Jack de Belin

Interchange

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Blake Lawrie

16. Hamish Stewart

17. Dylan Egan

Reserves

18. Sione Finau

19. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

20. Finau Latu

21. Lyhkan King-Togia

22. Loko Pasifiki Tonga

Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to watch Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7?

You can watch the Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 7 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v St George Illawarra Dragons

Manly -3.5

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Lehi Hopoate

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