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Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Round 14 Tips - Dolphins attack flames the Dragons

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Tue. 03 Jun. 2025 16:36

The Round 14 NRL match between the Dolphins and St George Illawarra Dragons predicts a continued winning streak for the home team Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium. Having dominated the Bulldogs in a previous match, the Dolphins are expected to exhibit robust offensive prowess, thanks to key player Herbie Farnworth who has scored consistently in recent matches. Despite the Dragons' position in the top 8, their victories come against teams struggling in form, indicating potential vulnerabilities.

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Jeremy Darke 03 Jun. 2025
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  • Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Friday’s Round 14 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
  • Dolphins to maintain home winning trend against Dragons.
  • Herbie Farnworth in form, scoring in 6 straight games.
Jez's Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Round 14 Tips

Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 14 2025 - Expert Prediction


The winning trend of the home team will continue between the Dolphins and the Dragons with the North-East Brisbane club getting the victory at Suncorp on Friday night.
  • Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 14 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head
  • Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Dolphins Team News
  • Dolphins Team List
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
  • St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
  • Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14 FAQ’s

It is hard to look past the performance that the Dolphins had before their bye, blowing the Bulldogs out of the water with a 44-6 victory. Kristian Woolf’s side do need to discover their consistency from week-to-week and they will build on that against the Dragons. 

St George sit in the top 8, albeit with a negative 5-6 record which is not so flattering. They have put together two consecutive wins, however that has been against two opponents that are well out of form. 

We have seen a few times now what the Dolphins attack can do when it is on song and I expect another fiery performance this week in Brisbane. The edges on both sides have been striking but getting over double your money for Herbie Farnworth to score, considering he hasn’t been stopped in 7 matches feels like a steal.

  • The home team has won 13+ in all 4 matches between the Dolphins and Dragons
  • 4 of 5 Dolphins victories have been by a 13+ margin in 2025.
  • The Dolphins have averaged 29.75 points in their last 8 matches
  • Herbie Farnworth has scored in 6 straight games.

Head to Head

 
Each team had a 13+ win against the other in both 2024 and 2023 winning their matches on their home turf. 

The last 3 matches between the Dolphins and Saints have gone under the game total. 

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-33-2

The Dolphins put on a show, racking up 44 points on the league-leading Bulldogs before their bye, getting a 36-point win against Canterbury, even without their biggest attacking weapon Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow in the line up.

It was a dominant first half performance of the Dolphins, who won 61% of the territory which led to a 14-6 halftime lead. However all the hard work that Canterbury had to do in the match before the break opened up their defence in the second half with the Dolphins breaking the Bulldogs line 5 times and scoring 5 tries.

All of the Dolphins wins have been on the back of quality territory (4th in NRL) which has played to their strengths in defence. 

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-1213+
7-54-81-64-1

Dolphins Team News


Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow returns at the back with Max Feagai dropping out and Jake Averillo moving back into the centres.

Jeremy Marshall-King and Max Plath lurk in the reserves and could be late additions to the side.

Dolphins Team List


1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Francis Molo 
9. Kurt Donoghoe
10. Felise Kaufusi  
11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
12. Oryn Keeley 
13. Ray Stone

Interchange
14. Harrison Graham 
15. Connelly Lemuelu
16. Mark Nicholls
17. Josh Kerr 

Reserves
18. Sean O'Sullivan 
19. Aublix Tawha
20. Max Feagai
21. Jeremy Marshall-King
​​​​​​​22. Max Plath

St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-33-2

The Dragons find themselves in the top 8 after a commanding win against Newcastle 20-6 in Round 13. Three tries in the first half was enough to get on top of the comps worst attacking team, with the Knights only breaking the Saints line in the 70th minute.

Despite the flattery of being in finals contention at the moment, the Dragons have a lot to work on and are not likely to be sitting in the eight come September. 

St George ranks 10th or worse in all key statistical aspects in attack, besides linebreaks and those stats mirror exactly on the defensive side of the ball. 

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-1213+
6-56-53-52-1

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News


Christian Tuipulotu will finally make his return on the wing for the Dragons with Tyrell Sloan dropping out of the side.

Luciano Leilua will start in the backrow with Jayden Su’A injuring his ankle. Raymond Faitala-Mariner joins the bench.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List


1. Clint Gutherson 
2. Nathan Lawson 
3. Moses Suli
4. Valentine Holmes
5. Christian Tuipulotu
6. Lyhkan King-Togia
7. Kyle Flanagan
8. Jack de Belin 
9. Damien Cook
10. David Klemmer 
11. Luciano Leilua 
12. Toby Couchman 
13. Hamish Stewart 

Interchange
14. Jacob Liddle
15. Loko Pasifiki Tonga
16. Blake Lawrie 
17. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 

Reserves
18. Emre Guler
19. Lachlan Ilias 
20. Hame Sele
21. Tyrell Sloan 
​​​​​​​22. Michael Molo

Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14?

You can watch the Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 14 game check the NRL website or the official Dolphins site.

Verdict

Herbie Farnworth will score as the Dolphins bank up over 26.5 points against the Dragons and cover as 4.5-point favourites.
Best Bet1: Dolphins -4.5 Handicap/Line $1.92 at picklebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Dolphins Over 26.5 Team Total $1.90 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Herbie Farnworth Anytime Tryscorer $2.25 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Herbie Farnworth First Tryscorer $12.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Dolphins -4.5
Handicap/Line
$1.92 - 3 Units
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