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Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Tips - Broncos extinguish the Dolphins flat attack

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 25 Mar 2025 18:45

Jeremy Darke 25 Mar 2025

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Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Friday’s Round 4 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:05 PM (AEDT) at Suncorp Stadium
Dolphins have struggled in attack, expected to score under 18.5 points.
Jesse Arthurs continues his try-scoring streak, posing a significant threat.

Why big brother get the win.

Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction

Brisbane will make sure they do not slip up in this river city rivalry against the Dolphins, covering 4.5 points as the favourite in the first half and keeping the Dolphins under 18.5 points in the entire match.

Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Dolphins Team News
Dolphins Team List
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

Brisbane had a slip in Canberra but otherwise have looked the goods in their two victories this season with their defence being the key denominator in their wins. Michael Maguire demands perfection in defence and that will be the focus against the Dolphins who have struggled in attack to start the year.

The lads from Redcliff have not been firing, with their halves unable to unlock their electric backline in 2025. Brisbane forwards pack are going to make that tough again and it is not expected that the Dolphins will get their highest score of the season and crack over 18 points in this match.

Jesse Arthurs was primed and ready for 2025 and if he keeps up this form he will be pushing for an origin jersey this season. Arthurs has at least 1 try in each match this season and he will keep that going against the Dolphins.

Brisbane have led by 12 points or more at half time in both of their victories this season.
Dolphins are averaging 14.7 points per game in 2025, scoring 18 points or less in all 3 matches played.
Dolphins have scored under 18.5 points in 3 of 5 matches against Brisbane.
Jesse Arthurs has 5 tries in 3 games this season.

Head to Head

The Dolphins won the last match against Brisbane 40-6 in round 26 last season.

Since the Dolphins inception into the NRL, Brisbane have a 3-1 head to head lead.

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-3	1-2	0-3

The Dolphins are one of three teams that have started the season with a 0-3 record, but are the best of the bunch with a differential of -28.

It has been a tough start incharge for new head coach Kristian Woolf and the Wayne Bennett effect is in full-swing with the master coach leaving and the team falling apart behind him.

Conceding 72 points in defence is fifth worse in the league, but where it isn’t working is in attack for the Dolphins, who have failed to score over 18 points in any of their three matches this season.

The Dolphins had a better stick of possession in their opening two matches and over 60% of the territory but failed to make any real impact at their opponents line. Linebreaks are not being created, breaking the opponents line just 8 times this season compared to being split themselves 17 times.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
1-2	0-3	0-2	0-1

Dolphins Team News

Jack Bostock and Kulikefu Finefeuiaki were late inclusions in Round 3 and have both been named to start this weekend.

Josh Kerr and Jesse Bromwich are on the outside of the squad looking in and could be including in the Dolphins 17.

Dolphins Team List

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jake Averillo

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Jack Bostock

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Daniel Saifiti

9. Jeremy Marshall-King

10. Felise Kaufusi

11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

12. Max Plath

13. Tom Gilbert

Interchange

14. Kurt Donoghoe

15. Oryn Keeley

16. Mark Nicholls

17. Ray Stone

Reserves

18. Kenny Bromwich

19. Sean O'Sullivan

20. Josh Kerr

21. Max Feagai

22. Junior Tupou

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-1	1-2	2-1

Brisbane bounced back from their poor performance in the nation's capital to get their second win of the season, beating the Cowboys 26-16 in Round 3 to give them a 2-1 start to 2025.

Brisbane got themselves on the backfoot against the Raiders with some poor defence, but sorted it out against the Cowboys, showing more commitment and more intent to protect their line, which would have pleased new coach Michael Maguire. North Queensland had 70% of the territory and 18 tackles inside the Broncos 20m line and walked off the field at the break scoreless.

Payne Haas has been influential for Brisbane leading the league with 22 tackle busts while at the other end of the field having a 99% tackle efficiency. The NSW prop is leading the way for Brisbane and once his outside backs find their full potential and hit their rhythm, the Broncos attack is going to be a scary force.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
1-2	2-1	1-1	1-0

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Kotoni Staggs will play his first game of the NRL season, slotting into the centres with Deine Mariner being bumped out.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Selwyn Cobbo

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ben Hunt

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Jack Gosiewski

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Billy Walters

15. Corey Jensen

16. Xavier Willison

17. Brendan Piakura

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Deine Mariner

20. Martin Taupau

21. Jaiyden Hunt

22. Jock Madden

Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to watch Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4?

You can watch the Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Dolphins vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 4 game check the NRL website or the official Dolphins site.

Verdict

Dolphins v Brisbane Broncos

Jesse Arthurs keeps the try scoring coming in 2025 with another against the Dolphins. Brisbane will cover the 4.5 point margin at half time and hold the Dolphins under 18.5 points in the match.

Brisbane -4.5

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