- Monday 23
- Tuesday 24
- Wednesday 25
- Thursday 26
- Friday 27
- Saturday 28
- Sunday 29
- Monday 30
- Tuesday 1
- Wednesday 2
- Thursday 3
Canberra Raiders vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Tips - Sticky's Green Machine to break down again in humid Townsville
- North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 4 game
- Kick off is at 5.35pm AEDT at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
- Cowboys to open their account for 2025; have won last six meetings vs Raiders
- Jaxon Purdue tipped for ATS after Canberra conceded 4 tries to Garrick last week
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
The Cowboys get a lift at home in Townsville.
North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Cowboys are tipped to win their first game of the season in Townsville, continuing their strong record against a Raiders side who shipped 40 points to Manly on the road last week.
- North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- North Queensland Cowboys Team News
- North Queensland Cowboys Team List
- Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Canberra Raiders Team News
- Canberra Raiders Team List
Anchored near the bottom of the ladder after a horror 0-3 start, it's time the Cowboys lifted and this looms as a great opportunity for Todd Payten's side to register their first victory of the season.
North Queensland showcased some improvement in last week's loss to the Broncos and were arguably the better side in the opening half - they just couldn't convert their chances, missing the experience of Chad Townsend for those fifth-tackle options. However, I'm backing them to bounce back in Townsville, where they've won their last four meetings with the Raiders.
The Cowboys have also conquered the Green Machine in their last six meetings, so they clearly enjoy this matchup with Ricky Stuart's troops. I'm backing the Cowboys' attack to click in the hot and humid conditions they so dearly love, while Jaxon Purdue looks good value for Anytime/First Tryscorer, with Canberra leaking multiple tries down their left edge against Manly last week.
- Cowboys have won the last six meetings between the teams
- Cowboys have won their last four games vs Raiders in Townsville
- Cowboys have won five of their last seven games in Townsville
- Raiders have lost eight of their last 12 away games
- Cowboys have scored 23+ points in four of their last six games in Townsville
- Cowboys scored 76 points in their two wins over Raiders last year
- Raiders leaked 40 points on the road to Manly last week
- Raiders conceded four tries to Reuben Garrick last week - right centre for the Cowboys Jaxon Purdue can further expose Canberra's left edge
- Jaxon Purdue has scored a try in four of his last five games when starting
Head To Head
This has been a successful matchup for the Cowboys in recent times, winning the last six meetings and the last four at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. North Queensland throttled Canberra in their two meetings in 2024, prevailing 34-16 in the nation's capital before a 42-4 blowout up north in Round 24.
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
It's been a dreadful start to the season for the Cowboys and if it wasn't for Parramatta's equally poor start, they would be rock bottom on the ladder.
North Queensland were blown off the park by Manly 42-12 in their season opener, while they had no answers for the Sharks at home, losing 36-12.
Todd Payten's side were always going to lift for the Queensland derby last week against Brisbane and although they went down 26-16, there were a couple of encouraging signs to take into this clash with the Raiders.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
Payten has named an unchanged lineup from the team that went down to Brisbane, showing faith after their improved performance. Zac Laybutt is listed in the reserves as he continues his comeback from an ACL injury sustained in Round 5 last year.
North Queensland Cowboys Team List
1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Robert Derby
3. Jaxon Purdue
4. Viliami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden
7. Jake Clifford
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Jason Taumalolo
11. John Bateman
12. Kai O’Donnell
13. Reuben Cotter
Interchange
14. Sam McIntyre
15. Jeremiah Nanai
16. Griffin Neame
17. Coen Hess
Reserves
18. Harrison Edwards
19. Zac Laybutt
20. Thomas Duffy
21. Karl Lawton
22. Thomas Mikaele
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
The Raiders were excellent as they launched the season in Vegas, dismantling the Warriors 30-8 as Xavier Savage and Seb Kris scored doubles.
Canberra backed up that display with a brilliant 32-22 home victory over the Broncos, who had dropped 50 points on the Roosters the previous week.
However, Ricky Stuart's side have been guilty of Jekyll & Hyde performances over the years and that was the case last week, with the Green Machine leaking 30 first-half points against the Sea Eagles at Brookie and never recovering as they went down 40-12.
If Jamal Fogarty's kicking game isn't firing, the Raiders can look devoid of ideas in attack and that's what happened after they were wrongly denied the opening try by the video ref.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Canberra Raiders Team News
Big boost for the Raiders as Joseph Tapine returns from suspension, pushing Trey Mooney to the bench and Corey Horsburgh to lock. Morgan Smithies will miss this game due to concussion.
Canberra Raiders Team List
1. Kaeo Weekes
2. Savelio Tamale
3. Matthew Timoko
4. Sebastian Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Jamal Fogarty
8. Josh Papali’i
9. Tom Starling
10. Joseph Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Matt Nicholson
13. Corey Horsburgh
Interchange
14. Owen Pattie
15. Simi Sasagi
16. Trey Mooney
17. Ata Mariota
Reserves
18. Danny Levi
19. Jed Stuart
20. Pasami Saulo
21. Albert Hopoate
22. Adam Cook
Verdict
The Cowboys are backed to win their first game of the season, picking up a seventh straight win over the Raiders.
Canberra leaked 40 points on the road last week, including four tries to their opposing right centre, so Jaxon Purdue is the pick for Anytime/First Tryscorer.
Cowboys Win
H2H
$1.90 - 2 Units
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU
Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.
Cowboys Over 22.5
Total Team Points
$1.88 - 2 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"
The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose. Set a deposit limit.
Jaxon Purdue
Anytime Tryscorer
$3.00 - 1 Unit
Same Game & Race Multis
Use affiliate code BETSAU
Exciting new betting app now live. Use code BETSAU on sign-up. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.
Jaxon Purdue
First Tryscorer
$17.00 - 1 Unit
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU
18+. T&Cs apply
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
24 June 2025
28 June 2025
30 June 2025
Load More
