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Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels Tips - Eels to cover against the Sea Eagles

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 28 Mar 2025 13:59

Jeremy Darke 28 Mar 2025

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Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 4 NRL game
Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEDT) at 4 Pines Park
Manly tipped to win but 18.5 points spread concerns experts.
Reuben Garrick has a solid try scoring record against the Eels

Jez is backing the Eels to cover as the underdog and he tells you why.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction

Manly will likely get away with the win against Parramatta, but the 18.5-point margin is a little thick considering the Eels have been a tough opponent for the Eels in recent years.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels, Round 4 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

I am certainly not weighing in too much that the Eels were better last week against Canterbury, but there was some improvement. Add in the turmoil week for the Sea Eagles with all of the Cherry-Evans drama and the Eels could benefit from that.

The danger is that Manly have been clinical when playing at home, but the Eels haven’t been that bad in every other statistic besides linebreaks and inside 20m conversions. Three converted tries is a big line and Parra can cover if they play the type of defence they did in the second half against Canterbury last weekend. If so, the game will stay under the huge total of 54.5 points.

Reuben Garrick picked up 4 tries last week against the Raiders and crossed in both games against Parramatta last season. Anytime try scorer pick complete.

Parramatta have not lost to Manly by more than 16 points since Round 2, 2018
Parramatta have won 4 of the last 6 matches against Manly.
6 of the last 9 matches between Manly and Parramatta have had a game total of under 54.5 points.
Reuben Garrick scored 3 tries in two games against Parramatta last season.

Head to Head

Manly took the latest win back in Round 8 last season at Four Pines Park, getting up comfortably 32-18 with a couple of tries from Reuben Garrick. The two also played in Round 3, where Parra got home 28-24 at Commbank.

The Eels have been a tough beat for the Sea Eagles with Parramatta leading the recent head to head encounters 4-2 since the 2022 season.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-1	2-1	3-0

The difference between Manly at Brookvale and Manly on the road is like night and day. In theri wins against North Queensland and Canberra at Four Pines Park, they have put on 40+ points in both and given up just 12 points to their opponents. Against the Warriors in New Zealand it was the opposite, a 36-16 loss.

Unfortunately, this week has all been about the Cherry-Evans drama and how the team performs with this negative publicity will play a big part in the result on Sunday.

At Brookvale, Manly’s attack has been unstoppable, as it was last season. They have racked up 16 linebreaks in 2 games at home this season and also run for 985 more metres than their opposition in total.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-1	3-0	0-0	2-1

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

Lehi Hopoate returns to the wing with Tom Trbojevic returning from some hamstring tightness. Clayton Faulalo drops out of the 17.

Taniela Paseka is set to miss the remainder of the season after suffering a suspected Achilles rupture in Round 3. Paseka’s absence will see Josh Aloiai move into the starting side and Nathan Brown return to the interchange bench.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Tom Trbojevic

2. Jason Saab

3. Tolu Koula

4. Reuben Garrick

5. Lehi Hopoate

6. Luke Brooks

7. Daly Cherry-Evans

8. Josh Aloiai

9. Jazz Tevaga

10. Siosiua Taukeiaho

11. Haumole Olakau’atu

12. Ben Trbojevic

13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange

14. Jake Simpkin

15. Corey Waddell

16. Ethan Bullemor

17. Nathan Brown

Reserves

18. Tommy Talau

19. Clayton Faulalo

20. Jake Arthur

21. Nathan Brown

22. Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-3	1-2	1-2

Parramatta have been doing it tough with a 0-3 start to the season and a -72 points differential.

They copped a couple of hidings against Melbourne and Wests but they have to take the positives out of a much better performance against Canterbury last week, going down 16-8.

The injury to Mitch Moses is killing them. Compare the key stats in their last two matches and you could easily believe that the Eels could have taken two wins, they simply lack the playmaking ability to score tries.

The Eels had 41 tackles in Wests 20m zone two matches ago and had just as many against Canterbury last weekend. Run Metres are fairly equal in both matches while the Eels have had the better of the territory in each of their last two games.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
1-2	1-2	0-1	0-2

Parramatta Eels Team News

Sean Russell returns to the wing, replacing Jordan Samrani who has dropped to the reserves.

Jack Williams has been named on the edge while Joe Ofahengaue drops to the bench with Kitione Kautoga being promoted to the starting side.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Sean Russell

3. Will Penisini

4. Zac Lomax

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Dean Hawkins

8. Jack Williams

9. Joey Lussick

10. Junior Paulo

11. Shaun Lane

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J'maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Ryley Smith

15. Matt Doorey

16. Joe Ofahengaue

17. Dan Keir

Reserves

18. Sam Tuivaiti

19. Charlie Guymer

20. Joash Papalii

21. Ronald Volkman

22. Jordan Samrani

Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to watch Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4?

You can watch the Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 4 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

Manly Sea Eagles v Parramatta Eels

Parramatta will cover the 18.5-point line as the underdog with the game total staying under 54.5 points. Reuben Garrick will score his third try in three games against the Eels.

Parramatta +18.5

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