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Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL Round 21 Tips - Broncos canter to victory

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue 22 Jul 2025 17:28

Jeremy Darke 22 Jul 2025

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Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels expert predictions for Friday’s Round 21 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
Broncos aim to score over 30.5 points, fueled by strong attack and defence.
Eels rely on Mitch Moses-Zac Lomax duo but face challenges with lineup changes.

Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL Round 21 Tips

Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels, Round 21 2025 - Expert Prediction

Brisbane will brush aside the Parramatta Eels on their way to 13+ victory covering the large line by pointing up some big points of their own.

Broncos vs Eels Rd21 Cheat Sheet

Brisbane’s trajectory is straight up at the moment, winning their last 5 matches as their attack has sparked alight with the return of the stars from suspension and injury. All eyes have been on the Broncos with ball in hand, however, they have also been one of the most solid defensive sides in the comp over the last 5 matches, averaging just 17.2 points against.

The Eels will see the return of Mitch Moses, which is of course a positive, and it is why Zac Lomax is a great pick as a double your money try scorer in this match. But it won’t be enough to keep them in the game against Brisbane, who have what it takes to push for premiership glory in both attack and defence.

Parramatta are chopping and changing their lineup and it is only a matter of time before their opponents put up a score, so back the Broncos to score over their team total of 30.5 while covering the 13.5-point line.

Parramatta’s last 4 losses have been by a 13+ margin.
Brisbane have scored 30+ points in their last 3 victories over Parramatta
Brisbane Broncos are ranked 1st in Linebreaks vs Parramatta Eels's defence ranked 13th
Zac Lomax has scored a try in each of his last 3 matches.

Head to Head

Brisbane have won the last 4 matches against Parramatta including 30-24 and 30-14 victories last season. The Broncos have scored 30+ points in their last 3 wins against the Eels.

Despite Brisbane’s recent dominance, the Eels actually hold a 7-6 head to head record since the start of the 2019 season.

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis

Brisbane are clearly on the rise, peaking at the right time of the year with 5 consecutive wins and will be fresh off the bye this week. Victories over top eight teams Cronulla, New Zealand and Canterbury gives a pretty good gauge that the Broncos mean business and will be in for the fight for the premiership come September.

The return of Ezra Mam, Ben Hunt and Reece Walsh Brisbane’s attack is to be feared with the trio providing a daunting service to their outside backs. All eyes have been on what they are doing with the ball at the moment but their defence is going under the radar. The Broncs have held their opponents to 18 points or less in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Despite flatlining a little mid-season, Brisbane’s defence has been class, ranked third in opposition run metres (1337.6/G) and second in opposition linebreaks (4/G) in 2025. Defence wins championships and the Broncos have all the keys at the moment.

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Jesse Arthars and Payne Haas will return to the lineup for Brisbane with Deine Mariner and Ben Talty dropping out.

Xavier Willison holds his spot in the starting side with Corey Jensen coming off the bench.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Xavier Willison

9. Ben Hunt

10. Payne Haas

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Billy Walters

15. Kobe Hetherington

16. Corey Jensen

17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Deine Mariner

20. Selwyn Cobbo

21. Ben Talty

22. Jaiyden Hunt

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis

It has been another long season for the Eels and we don’t expect anything to speed up for them. Coach Jason Ryles has publicly said he is looking to the future and will be trying different combinations and has proven that by dropping Dylan Brown to the reserves.

Parramatta lost their third straight last weekend, going down to league leaders Canberra 40-16. The score looked worse than it was, at least for most of the match, with the Eels hanging in there until the half, just as they did against Penrith the week prior.

The return of Mitch Moses should see an improvement in attack, especially if the NSW half can find his flourishing connection with Zac Lomax on the wing. However, defence is a problem and will not be fixed overnight.

Parramatta Eels Team News

Mitch Moses returns for the Eels pairing up with Dean Hawkins in the halves with Dylan Brown still in the reserves.

Young gun Isiah Longi will be missing for a while with a fractured hand with Joash Papali’i taking over the No. 1. Will Penisini comes back into the centres with Bailey Simonsson dropping out.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Joash Papali’i

2. Zac Lomax

3. Will Penisini

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dean Hawkins

7. Mitch Moses

8. J’maine Hopgood

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Charlie Guymer

12. Jack Williams

13. Dylan Walker

Interchange

14. Tallyn Da Silva

15. Luca Moretti

16. Matt Doorey

17. Sam Tuivaiti

Reserves

18. Dan Keir

19. Jordan Samrani

20. Bailey Simonsson

21. Toni Mataele

22. Dylan Brown

Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 21 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 21?

You can watch the Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 21 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 21?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels NRL 2025 Round 21 game check the NRL website or the official Brisbane Broncos site.

Verdict

Brisbane Broncos v Parramatta Eels

Brisbane will score over 30 points and cover the 13.5-point line in an easy victory on Friday night.

The Mitch Moses-Zac Lomax combination will flourish with the latter crossing the line for the Eels.

Brisbane -13.5

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