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St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips - Saints to make it two from two against Melbourne in 2025

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 24 Jul 2025 09:43

Adam Cusworth 24 Jul 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 20 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Can the Saints snap a six-match losing streak
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips

St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Demons Team News
Melbourne Demons Team List
St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

St Kilda can break a bit of a drought when they take on Melbourne in AFL Round 20.

The two sides are out of finals calculations and are playing for pride. The Saints come off a 31 point loss against Geelong and have now lost six in a row. They sit in 15th spot on the ladder with a 5-13 win-loss record.

Melbourne are in 13th spot, one win ahead of St Kilda at 6-12. The Demons went down to Carlton last weekend by 10 points.

Despite both teams struggling for consistency, St Kilda’s win over Melbourne earlier this season — a 28-point result in Alice Springs — provides a blueprint for them to repeat the dose.

They’ve been competitive in losses, and Jack Sinclair continues to be a beacon of class and composure, coming off a 33-disposal performance. He’s hit the 25+ mark in five of his last six and has a strong record against the Dees.

Meanwhile, for Melbourne, Max Gawn remains dominant in the ruck — the Dees are top two in hitouts and hitout-to-advantage differential, while St Kilda are last. The big fella will have an influence and had 22 disposals the last time the two sides met.

The other one to look at in this match is the total points over. Both sides aren't really renowned for high scoring but there won’t be huge amounts of pressure in this match and five of St Kilda’s last six matches have gone over the total points. Provided the Demons can actually kick straight, that looks right in play.

St Kilda were 28-point winners the last time the two sides met.
Five of St Kilda’s last six matches have gone over the total points
Jack Sinclair has averaged 29 disposals from their past four matches against the Demons
Max Gawn will be influential against a Saints lineup that rank last for hitouts

Head to Head

The two sides met in Alice Springs back in Round 12 this season with St Kilda getting the job done by 28-points against an inaccurate Melbourne that had more scoring shots in the 7.21 to 14.7 scoreline.

Melbourne took out the previous five matches between the two sides. Two of those were at Marvel Stadium. St Kilda’s Jack Steele and Jack Sinclair have averaged 29 disposals from their past four matches against the Demons, while Melbourne’s Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver have gone a tick over 25. Petracca has kicked eight goals from his past four matches against the Saints.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	3-2	4-1

St Kilda have lost nine of their past 10 matches. Eight of those nine losses have been decided by 39.5 points or less. St Kilda have won one of their past eight at Marvel Stadium and are 3-7 at the venue this season.

They have been able to match sides in terms of winning the footy, ranking in the top half for disposals and clearances but a lack of pressure has led to them ranking 14th for both inside 50s and fewest inside 50s conceded.

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has been a standout player this season and racked up 36 disposals against Geelong, while Jack Sinclair had 33. Wanganeen-Milera has had 30+ disposals in five of his past eight matches, while he had 28 and 29 in a couple of others.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-10	12-6	3-9	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

No injuries for St Kilda to come out of the Geelong match. Dougal Howard and Mataes Phillipou are edging closer to a return from injury but are unlikely to be available.

St Kilda Saints Team List

Backs: A.Tauru, C.Wilkie, A.Caminiti

Half Backs: L.Stocker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

Centres: M.Windhager, H.Boxshall, A.Hastie

Half Forwards: B.Hill, M.Hall, J.Higgins

Forwards: M.Owens, M.Wood, C.Sharman

Rucks: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

Interchange (from): Z.Jones, L.Collard, H.Clark, R.Byrnes, L.Henry, A.McLennan, M.Heath

In: - Z.Jones, L.Collard, A.Schoenmaker, A.McLennan

Out: - D.Wilson (Injured)

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	3-2

Melbourne have lost six of their past seven. They have cost themselves in a number of those losses with inaccuracy and had more scoring shots than their opposition in losses against St Kilda, Collingwood and Carlton and the same amount against Port Adelaide.

Melbourne won the disposal count against Carlton with four players hitting the 25+, including Clayton Oliver. Max Gawn has provided first use with the Demons ranking top two in hitout and hitout to advantage differential. But the Demons lack an effective system from their back-half, ranking 17th for goals sourced from their defensive side of the ground.

Kozzie Pickett starred with five goals last weekend, while Bailey Fritsch chimed in with two. Fritsch has kicked 2+ in five of his past six. Jake Melksham has kicked 15 goals in his past four matches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-9	9-9	5-10	1-2

Melbourne Demons Team News

Steven May will miss for Melbourne. Harrison Petty and Tom Sparrow may be available to return from concussion.

Melbourne Demons Team List

Backs: J.Bowey, T.McDonald, J.McVee

Half Backs: C.Windsor, D.Turner, C.Salem

Centres: K.Chandler, C.Petracca, H.Langford

Half Forwards: J.Viney, B.Fritsch, T.Sparrow

Forwards: J.Melksham, J.van Rooyen, K.Pickett

Rucks: M.Gawn - C, C.Oliver, T.Rivers

Interchange (from): C.Spargo, E.Langdon, X.Lindsay, M.Jefferson, B.Howes, H.Petty, J.Culley

In: - T.Sparrow, C.Spargo, B.Howes, J.Adams, H.Petty, J.Culley

Out: - S.May (Suspended), H.Sharp (Omitted), K.Tholstrup (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 20 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda Saints v Melbourne Demons

St Kilda to win with the total match points over in play. Jack Sinclair and Max Gawn to have big games for respective sides

St Kilda

Head to Head

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Over 169.5

Total Points Over/Under

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Jack Sinclair

To Have 25+ disposals

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Max Gawn

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