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Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Tips - Magpies to keep the challengers at bay as battle for top spot heats up

Adam Cusworth

Editor

Last updated: Thu 24 Jul 2025 09:40

Adam Cusworth 24 Jul 2025

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Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 20 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 2:10 PM (AEST)
Can the Magpies bounce back after two straight losses?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Tips

Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction

Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 20 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Richmond Tigers Team News
Richmond Tigers Team List
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

Collingwood will bounce back with a big win against an impressive Richmond outfit on Sunday.

The Magpies vice-like grip on top spot is under threat after two recent tight losses. They went down to Fremantle by a point last weekend but remain on top by half a game from last year’s premiers, Brisbane.

Richmond have won their past two and rose to 16th on the ladder after their 49-point win over the last placed West Coast Eagles.

But this does shape as a reality check for the young Tigers. The Magpies boast the league's best defensive structure, conceding just 67 points per game over the past five rounds.

Richmond broke the 100 point barrier last weekend in their win over the Eagles but have consistently struggled to generate scoring pressure against quality opposition. They averaged just 49 points per game prior to the Eagles match-up and that kind of output won't be enough to trouble Collingwood.

Nick Daicos is coming off a massive 43-disposal performance and has a proven record against the Tigers, making him a standout for 30+ touches. Up forward, Jamie Elliott has found his rhythm with nine goals in three games and looms large against a vulnerable Tigers defence. With Collingwood expected to control territory and tempo, the +39.5 winning margin offers strong value in what should be a comfortable victory at the MCG.

Collingwood rank #1 in the competition for defence
In the five weeks prior to their win over West Coast, Richmond averaged just 49 points per game.
Jamie Elliott has kicked nine goals in the past three rounds.
Nick Daicos has averaged 33 disposals from his past three matches against the Tigers and comes off 43 last weekend

Head to Head

The two sides have not met since Round 20 last season and it was Collingwood by 26 points on that occasion. The Magpies have won three of the past four between the two sides.

Nick Daicos has averaged 33 disposals from his past three matches against the Tigers, while Jamie Elliott has kicked eight goals from his past four. For Richmond, Jayden Short has averaged 28 from his past three matches and Tom Lynch has kicked 10 goals from his past three.

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	3-2

Richmond have won their past two matches, defeating Essendon prior to the win over West Coast. That snapped an eight match losing streak. The Tigers have now won five games for the season with the other three coming over Carlton, Gold Coast and West Coast (twice). But they are 1-6 against top eight sides in 2025.

The Tigers have won the disposal count in the past two rounds but rank in the bottom couple of sides for disposals, clearances, inside 50s and scoring over the past five rounds.

Jacob Hopper and Tim Taranto both had 30+ disposals against West Coast. Taranto has had 30+ in his past two and 25+ disposals in 10 of his past 14. Hopper has had 25+ in his past four.

Richmond kicked a season high 105 points last weekend but averaged just 49 points per game in the five rounds prior to that.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-9	6-12	4-5	1-8

Richmond Tigers Team News

Seth Campbell will miss with concussion. Noah Balta will be available. Harry Armstrong, Kane McAuliffe, Josh Smilie and Jasper Alger will be considered for selection.

Richmond Tigers Team List

Backs: N.Vlastuin, B.Miller, N.Broad

Half Backs: S.Banks, T.Young, J.Short

Centres: J.Trezise, D.Prestia, K.McIntosh

Half Forwards: J.Ross, T.Hotton, M.Rioli

Forwards: R.Mansell, J.Faull, T.Sims

Rucks: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

Interchange (from): N.Balta, S.Green, T.Brown, T.Sonsie, L.Trainor, J.Koschitzke, J.Alger

In: - N.Balta, S.Green, H.Armstrong, J.Alger

Out: - S.Campbell (Injured)

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

Collingwood have lost their past two matches, dropping their Round 18 clash to the Gold Coast Suns by six points before last week’s loss to Fremantle. Prior to that, however, they won eight matches in succession. They are yet to lose to a side in the bottom half of the ladder this season.

A major reason for their success has been their structure and team defence, leading to being the competition’s best at fewest points conceded. They have given up just 67 points per game in the last five rounds.

The Magpies rank mid-range for clearance and disposals and broke even with Fremantle in these measures last weekend, while they had 63 inside 50s to 40. But they could not make the most of those opportunities and were slightly wasteful in front of goal in the 11.12 to 12.7 scoreline.

Jamie Elliott booted two goals and has nine from the past three rounds. Nick Daicos had a whopping 43 disposals and has hit 30+ in seven of his past nine. Josh Daicos had 25 disposals and has had 25+ in his last six, reaching 30+ in four of those.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-8	7-11	8-3	6-1

Collingwood Magpies Team News

No injuries for Collingwood out of the loss to Fremantle. Billy Frampton is expected to be available. Tom Mitchell and Tim Membrey were managed last week and will be considered. Dan Houston and Jeremy Howe will miss. Bobby Hill has missed the past month due to personal reasons but is expected to be available.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

Backs: B.Maynard, C.Dean, D.Moore - C

Half Backs: I.Quaynor, J.Daicos, H.Perryman

Centres: S.Sidebottom, N.Daicos, J.Crisp

Half Forwards: L.Schultz, D.McStay, P.Lipinski

Forwards: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, T.Membrey

Rucks: D.Cameron, S.Pendlebury, N.Long

Interchange (from): T.Mitchell, D.Houston, E.Allan, W.Hoskin-Elliott, L.Sullivan, R.Steele, M.Cox

In: - T.Membrey, T.Mitchell, D.Houston, R.Steele

Out: - B.McCreery (Injured)

Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 20 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 20?

You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 20 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.