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St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers AFL Tips - Can the Saints go marching back in after three straight losses?

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu. 01 May 2025 10:12

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Adam Cusworth 01 May 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers expert predictions for Friday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Can the Saints go marching back in after three straight losses?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Top picks for Friday night footy!

St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda Saints vs Fremantle Dockers, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Fremantle Dockers Team News
Fremantle Dockers Team List

St Kilda will be out to get their season back on track when they take on Fremantle at Marvel Stadium on Friday night.

The Saints have dropped three games in succession and went down to Brisbane by 45 points at Marvel Stadium in Round 7.

Despite holding the home-ground advantage, the task at hand won’t be easy against the Dockers, who looked sharp in their Round 7 win over Adelaide.

The Dockers moved the ball well in transition against the Crows with Andrew Brayshaw and Caleb Serong running amok in the middle.

Those two can help contribute to a win for the Dockers, who have won two of their past three against the Saints at Marvel.

The Dockers have won two of the past three between the two sides at Marvel Stadium.
Fremantle have won four of their past five, St Kilda have lost three in a row
Andrew Brayshaw has averaged 32 disposals in his past four matches against St Kilda
The Saints are averaging just 70 points per game in the past three weeks.

Head to Head

Fremantle claimed the Round 10 clash between the two sides last season by 17 points, a margin that could have been more were it not for inaccuracy in front of goal. The Dockers have won two of the past three at Marvel Stadium.

Andrew Brayshaw has averaged 32 disposals in his past four matches against St Kilda. Jack Higgins has kicked six goals from his past three matches against the Dockers. Jye Amiss kicked 2.5 the last time the two sides met, while Mitch Owens kicked three for the Saints.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	4-1

After a promising start that saw them win three of their first four, the wheels have fallen off at St Kilda, dropping their past three by an average margin of 48 points.

They have been beaten in the midfield and rank 17th for hitouts, 14th for clearances, leading to fewer inside 50s (14th). Scoring has dried up and they have averaged 70 points per game in the past three weeks.

Jack Higgins kicked three goals last weekend and has 20 for the season from seven matches. Mitch Owens has 11 from six. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera continued his solid form with 32 disposals in the Lions loss and averages 27 disposals this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-4	6-1	2-1	1-3

St Kilda Saints Team News

Mason Wood will miss for the Saints after sustaining a concussion last weekend. Interesting to see if Hugo Garcia remains in the side after being subbed out early. Hunter Clark and Dougal Howard are edging closer to a return. Mattaes Phillipou and Dan Butler are likely to need another week.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: D.Howard, C.Wilkie, M.Windhager

HB: R.Byrnes, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: D.Wilson, L.Stocker, H.Boxshall

HF: J.Higgins, B.Hill, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, M.Phillipou

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C: L.O’Connell, L.Collard, J.Webster, H.Garcia, M.Hall

EMG: TBA

In: M.Phillipou, H.Boxshall, L.O’Connell

Out: M.Wood (concussion), Z.Jones, I.Keeler (omitted)

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	3-2

Fremantle have won four of their past five, including victories against quality opposition in Adelaide and the Western Bulldogs. They are 4-3 in season 2025. Interestingly, their two trips to Victoria have resulted in defeats, a heavy one to Geelong in Round 1 before a 10-point loss to Melbourne are fortnight ago.

Andrew Brayshaw (37 disposals) and Caleb Serong (32) starred in the win over the Crows. Those two are averaging a tick under 30 disposals this season.

Josh Treacy looms as a target inside forward 50 and has booted 20 goals this season. He kicked two last week and was joined by Jye Amiss with a couple.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-3	4-3	3-2	1-1

Fremantle Dockers Team News

No injuries for Fremantle out of the Adelaide match. Luke Jackson is a chance to return from a hamstring injury, bolstering the Dockers ruck stocks. Will Brodie is edging closer. Neil Erasmus will be considered.

Fremantle Dockers Team List

B: L.Ryan, A.Pearce - C, B.Cox

HB: C.Wagner, J.Draper, J.Clark

C: J.Sharp, H.Young, M.Johnson

HF: M.Frederick, S.Switkowski, S.Bolton

F: L.Jackson, J.Treacy, J.Amiss

FOLL: S.Darcy, C.Serong, A.Brayshaw

I/C: M.Reid, H.Chapman, Q.Narkle, K.Worner, I.Dudley

MG: O.McDonald, L.Reidy, N.Erasmus

In: L.Jackson

Out: O.McDonald (omitted)

Verdict

St Kilda v Fremantle

Fremantle to win with Brayshaw finding plenty of footy and Jye Amiss sneaking under the guard with a couple of goals

Fremantle Dockers

Match Winner

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