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Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL Tips - Tigers make it tough for the Hawks

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 02 May 2025 05:54

Jeremy Darke 02 May 2025

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Key player Tom Lynch predicted to score multiple goals; Richmond aims to maintain a competitive performance.
Richmond Tigers expected to perform well despite low initial expectations.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL Tips

Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Tigers will continue to overachieve this season above the very low expectation they had, by covering the 48.5-point line against Hawthorn.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Richmond Tigers Team News
Richmond Tigers Team List
Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

By all means I am not suggesting that this will be a contest, however, the Tigers deserve to be considered to cover in this match up after strong performances in 3 of their last 4 matches.

Hawthorn did get the blow-out win against West Coast that they needed but I predict that the game against the Tigers will be a little tougher and Richmond will continue to build the confidence of their young core by hanging in this one for a while, at least enough to not get blasted by a 50+ scoreline.

Tom Lynch has been finding his range and movement over the last couple of weeks and the the key forward has kicked 5 goals in his last two matches. With that in mind, back Lynchy for a double at decent odds for a goal kicker of his calibre.

Richmond have covered the line in 3 of their last 4 matches.
4 of 5 Hawthorn wins this season have been by a margin of 1-39.
The Hawks have conceded 65.5 points or more in 5 of 7 matches this season.
Tom Lynch has 5 goals in his last 2 matches

Head to Head

Hawthorn got the double against Richmond last season with both of their victories by a 48+ margin.

It ended a long stretch of dominance for the Tigers, who had won 5 straight matches against the Hawks, dating back to the 2021 season.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

The Hawks were desperate for a good performance after two straight losses and got it against West Coast last weekend, controlling the match from start to finish without any scares.

A couple of defeats to fellow contenders, Port Adelaide and Geelong gave the young and confident Hawks the reality check that they needed to straighten themselves out and bring them down a little from their 4-0 start to the season.

Hawthorn have reverted back to their strong pressure play that has them with the best opposition disposal percentage (69.5%) and ultimately eliminating their competition by controlling the ball, also ranking first in the AFL in opposition possessions.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-3	4-3	4-2	1-0

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

Both Karl Amon and Jack Scrimshaw will miss the clash going under concussion protocols.

Changkuoth Jiath and Fin Maginness have been called up.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

B: Tom Barrass, Blake Hardwick, James Sicily

HB: Josh Battle, Jarman Impey, Josh Weddle

C: Connor Macdonald, Josh Ward, Massimo D’Ambrosio

HF: Harry Morrison, Nick Watson, Jack Ginnivan

F: Jack Gunston, Mabior Chol, Dylan Moore

Foll: Lloyd Meek, Jai Newcombe, Henry Hustwaite

I/C (from): Max Ramsden, Cam Mackenzie, James Worpel, Jai Serong, Bailey Macdonald, Luke Breust, Finn Maginness, Changkuoth Jiath

EMG: TBA

In: M.Ramsden, J.Serong, L.Breust, C.Jiath, F.Maginness

Out: J.Scrimshaw (concussion), K.Amon (concussion)

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	2-3

Richmond have been alright over the last month contending with both the Demons and the Lions and even getting a shock 11-point victory over the Suns a couple of rounds ago.

The Tigers put in a strong effort against Melbourne last week, going into the main break down by a goal, however, a poor third quarter cost them the match in what otherwise was a very even contest.

The Tigers are young and they are going to have dips but their success will be based on how low and long those dips are in 2025.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-3	3-4	2-2	0-3

Richmond Tigers Team News

Noah Balta rejoins the squad after missing last week with a court curfew.

Richmond Tigers Team List

B: B.Miller, N.Broad, N.Vlastuin

HB: J.Short, S.Banks, L.Trainor

C: H.Ralphsmith, T.Dow, J.Trezise

HF: S.Campbell, J.Ross, S.Green

F: J.Faull, T.Lynch, M.Rioli

FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C: R.Mansell, T.Brown, C.Gray, K.McIntosh, S.Lalor

EMG: T.Sonsie, J.Bauer, K.Smith

In: N.Balta

Out: TBA

Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.

Verdict

Hawthorn v Richmond

Tom Lynch will kick a couple of goals as the Tigers score over 65.5 points and cover the 48.5 points as the underdog.

Richmond +48.5

Handicap/Line

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