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Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL Tips - Crows to break Carlton's win streak

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 01 May 2025 12:55

Ryan Tucker 01 May 2025

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Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
Experts predict Adelaide Crows to narrowly defeat Carlton Blues in Round 8.
Adelaide Crows known for their strong home performance, averaging over 100 points per game.
Key players: Darcy Fogarty may score 2+ goals; Jordan Dawson expected to excel with 25+ disposals.

Top picks for Saturday's AFL Adelaide vs Carlton

Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

Carlton will be brought back down to Earth by the Crows this weekend as Adelaide are tipped to take the victory with a short margin at home.

Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List
Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

The Blues are definitely warming up and the display against Geelong last weekend has elevated them in the eyes of many punters. There are still inefficiencies that have not been dealt with and against a high octane team like the Crows, my opinion is they will come undone.

Adelaide struggled for any type of ascendancy against the Dockers last weekend but we have witnessed over their first 5 games of the year just how damaging they can be in attack when things are clicking. They return back home where they are averaging over 100 pts per game and have won two straight over Carlton.

My expectation in this game is that Adelaide will force the Blues into making mistakes and will give little leeway in their defensive 50. They are the 2nd best team at restricting opponents from taking marks Inside 50 which will see Carlton struggle for accuracy in front of the sticks.

Take Adelaide to win 1-39 & Carlton to go Under their Team Total. If Darcy Fogarty plays, get on him for 2+ goals. Jordan Dawson at 25+ touches is easy money.

Adelaide have won 3 straight and 2 in a row in Adelaide vs Carlton.
Carlton have kicked more points than goals in 4 of their 7 games this year.
Darcy Fogarty has kicked multiple goals in all but his most recent game where he got injured.
Jordan Dawson is averaging 26.5 disposals in winning games this year.

Head to Head

Adelaide have won 3 straight against Carlton and 4 of the last 7 with the Blues most recent victory coming in May of 2022. That win was one of only 2 games since 2019 that have finished with a 40+ winning margin.

The Game Total has gone Over in 4 of the last 7 matchups while Adelaide are 5-2 ATS in the same time span.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

Adelaide lost their 3rd game in 4 matches last weekend going down to the Dockers 85-67 in Perth.

The Crows never led in the matchup while the Dockers stretched the lead to 42 points toward the end of the 3rd quarter. Adelaide had trouble containing their opposition midfielders and struggled to gain any ascendancy in their forward half.

Riley Thilthorpe was damaging to start the season and despite kicking three goals in this game didn’t do much else and left the field in the 3rd term with a finger injury. The team overall were way down on their average disposal count as well as efficiency with the ball throughout the game, signifying pressure from their opponent.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-3	3-4	2-3	2-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Riley Thilthorpe is expected to play after dislocating his finger in the loss to Freo last weekend. Jordan Butts is likely to return for his first game since rd 19 last year but Nick Murray is looking at 4-6 weeks on the sideline with a knee injury.

Darcy Fogarty needs to pass a fitness test but is otherwise right to play.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, J.Butts, R.Laird

HB: W.Milera, M.Keane, M.Michalanney

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C,D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, L.Nankervis

F: D.Fogarty, T.Walker, A.Neal-Bullen

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Soligo, I.Rankine

I/C: Z.Taylor, J.Rachele, S.Berry, B.Smith, J.Peatling

EMG: TBA

In: D,Fogarty, S.Berry, J.Butts, B.Smith

Out: M.Crouch (hip), N.Murray (knee), M.Hinge (suspension), S.Draper (omitted).

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

The Blues are slowly but surely working themselves back into the fray with their third straight win at the weekend. The game was also their most convincing being it was against the Cats, their previous two wins being the Eagles and Kangaroos which most teams are expected to beat this year.

Carlton were much more effective in their attacking 50 scoring more goals than behinds for only the 3rd time this season. They continue to rank 2nd in the league in Inside 50’s and with the conversion rate lifting, the scoring will continue to increase.

Harry McKay and Charlie Curnow kicked 3 goals each with McKay also laying 2 tackles and having 2 clearances in the game. Sam Walsh once again starred with 30 touches for the Blues.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-4	1-6	1-4	2-0

Carlton Blues Team News

Jack Silvagni will miss at least a week with a hand injury while Adam Cerra has copped a one match ban and will miss this weekend. Zac Williams picked up a calf injury and is set to miss 2-3 weeks.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: L.Young, J.Weitering, A.Saad

HB: N.Haynes, M.McGovern, S.Docherty

C: A.Cerra, P.Cripps - C, O.Hollands

HF: L.Cowan, H.McKay, L.Fogarty

F: J.Motlop, C.Curnow, C.Durdin

FOLL: T.De Koning, S.Walsh, G.Hewett

I/C: M.Carroll, B.Acres, W.White, E.Hollands, C.Lord

EMG: TBA

In: L.Young, L.Cowan, S.Docherty

Out: J.Silvagni (hand), Z.Williams (calf), M.Cottrell (ankle)

Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide Crows vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide Crows site.

Verdict

Adelaide v Carlton

Take Adelaide to win 1-39 & Carlton to go Under their Team Total. If Darcy Fogarty plays, get on him for 2+ goals. Jordan Dawson at 25+ touches is easy money.

Adelaide 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.10 - 2 Units

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Carlton Under 81.5

Team Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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D Fogarty 2+

Goals

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J Dawson 25+

Disposals

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