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Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Tips - Trends point in only one direction

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 02 May 2025 05:53

Jeremy Darke 02 May 2025

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Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:20 PM (AEST)
Brisbane Lions and Gold Coast Suns face off in a high-stakes Q-Clash.
Both teams are known for their attacking abilities, promising a high-scoring game.

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Tips

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

A blockbuster Q-Clash will close out Round 8 of the AFL and it will be the reigning Premiers that win the rivalry battle, covering the line against their little brother the Gold Coast.

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Brisbane Lions Team News
Brisbane Lions Team List
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

Brisbane are defending their title with pride and strength and they face the Suns who are having their most dominant start to a season which sets up for an absolute cylinder at the Gabba on Sunday.

However, trends point to this game going only one way and that is a double-digit win for the Lions. Both of these teams can move the ball and are two of the best attacking sides in the comp. I am expecting plenty of points at both ends of the field which is going to light up the crowd in Brisbane.

Will Ashcroft has been influential for the Lions in the midfield and will need to be at his best if the Lions are going to diffuse the run-game of the Suns. Ashcroft has had 30+ disposals in 3 of his last 4 matches and is expected to at least touch the ball 25 times in this one.

Brisbane have won 10 of the last 11 games against the Suns
Brisbane have had an average winning margin of 48.5 points in their last 10 wins and no less than 17 points.
5 of 6 Gold Coast matches have gone over the game total of 174.5 points.
Will Ashcroft has had 24 or more disposals in 5 of his last 6 games

Head to Head

Brisbane have won 10 of the last 11 matches against the Gold Coast.

The Lions won both matches comfortably in 2024, beating the Suns by 28 points and 34 points in strong defensive displays where they held the suns to 65 points or less.

In their last 10 wins, Brisbane have an average winning margin of 48.1 points against the Suns.

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	2-3	3-2

Brisbane have been the goods this season once again, backing up their premiership with a 6-1 start, losing only to their nemesis, Collingwood.

Brisbane have been leading the way with their defence and pressure restricting their opponents and limiting their possessions, averaging the third least opposition possession in the AFL, while also having the third-lowest opposition disposal efficiency (70.4%).

The Lions pressure has allowed them to open up in attack, ranked third in the AFL with 56.6 inside 50s.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-5	3-4	5-0	1-1

Brisbane Lions Team News

Kai Lohman has been ruled out with a shoulder injury and will miss the match against the Suns, being replaced by Will McLachlan, who has impressed in the VFL.

Jack Payne will come in to replace Darcy Gardiner.

Brisbane Lions Team List

B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester

HB: N.Answerth, H.Andrews - C, D.Wilmot

C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, J.Berry

HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, Z.Bailey

F: C.Rayner, S.Day, C.Ah Chee

FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale

I/C (from): W.Ashcroft, L.Ashcroft, J.Tunstill, T.Doedee, C.McKenna, W.McLachlan, D.Fort, D.Gardiner

EMG: TBA

In: J.Payne, T.Doedee, C.McKenna, W.McLachlan, D.Fort

Out: L.Morris, K.Lohmann

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	3-2

The Suns sorted themselves out after a disappointing performance in their 11-point loss to Richmond two rounds ago. The Gold Coast bounced back and took care of business against the Sydney Swans at People First Stadium claiming a 38-point victory after a shaky start, coming from a 30-point, second quarter deficit.

The Gold Coast kicked 12-straight goals in a tale of two halves with Ben King kicking 5 goals for the third time already this season, leading the Coleman race with a total of 23 goals.

The Suns were once again incredibly efficient inside 50 against the Swans, an area they have dominated the AFL in this season, leading the league with an average 49.1% scoring shots per inside 50, ranking fourth in goals per inside 50 (26.1%).

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-2	4-2	2-1	3-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

No news is good news for a fresh Suns squad.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: M.Andrew, B.Uwland, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, D.Rioli

C: N.Holman, M.Rowell, T.Miller

HF: B.Ainsworth, L.Weller, S.Flanders

F: W.Graham, B.Long, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, B.Humphrey, N.Anderson - C

I/C (from): E.Read, J.Rogers, J.Jeffrey, C.Budarick, J.Walter, B.Fiorini, N.Moyle, S.Clohesy

EMG: TBA

In: B.Fiorini, N.Moyle, S.Clohesy

Out: -

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Brisbane v Gold Coast

Plenty of points are on the cards for both sides which will see the game total reached. Will Ashcroft will be influential for the Lions as they get a double-digit victory.

Brisbane -9.5

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