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Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL Tips - Magpies tipped to swoop to victory

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Thu 01 May 2025 12:55

Ryan Tucker 01 May 2025

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Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Collingwood predicted to win against Geelong, continuing their strong AFL premiership campaign.
Pies' defense tops the league; expect a low-scoring game dominated by midfield performance.
Key players: Steele Sidebottom for disposals, Jamie Elliot for multiple goals. Bets: Collingwood to cover the line.

Top picks for Collingwood vs Geelong

Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

Collingwood will continue to lead the AFL Premiership race at the completion of Round 8 with a gutsy win over the Geelong Cats predicted on Saturday night.

Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Geelong Cats Team News
Geelong Cats Team List
Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

They have been favourites in only 3 of the last 7 games against Geelong coming away victorious in the two most recent of those games. The Pies are firing on all cylinders right now and welcome back their captain Darcy Moore after a week away with concussion. He will be a valuable addition to a backline that is rated top of the league.

Geelong have the firepower up front but are lacking defensively which was apparent last weekend against Carlton. They have allowed an average of 91 pts to their opponents over their last 3 games giving insight as to how they match up against quality attacking outfits.

My expectation is that the Collingwood mids will dominate the flow and tempo of this game, just as they did last weekend vs Essendon. The Pies backline will make it extremely difficult for Geelong to have their penetrating attack, forcing them to try and score from deep, lowering conversion rates.

Take Collingwood to cover the line & the Total to go Under thanks to the Pies defensive wall. Steele Sidebottom is averaging 25.9 disposals and had a massive one last weekend, let's take him to back it up in this primetime matchup. Jamie Elliot is our pick for multi scorer.

Collingwood are 4-3 ATS and 2-1 ATS as favourites vs Geelong since the start of 2019
The Collingwood defence is rated top of the league.
Steele Sidebottom has gone over 25 disposals in 3 straight games and had 28 vs Geelong last year.
Jamie Elliot has had 5+ shots in 3 straight games, scoring 10 goals in the span.

Head to Head

Geelong have a slight 4-3 advantage in the regular season head to head record vs Collingwood dating back to the start of the 2019 season.

They won the lone matchup last year 91-71 while all 7 games have finished with 1-39 pt margins.

The Under hit in last years matchup, breaking a trend of 3 straight overs which in itself broke a trend of 3 straight unders.

These two teams have also met in 3 finals matches during this time span with Geelong winning 2-1.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
5-0	4-1	2-3

The Pies lead the AFL competition on 24 points, ahead of the Lions on percentage (considerably).

Their 41 pt win over the Bombers on ANZAC day also pushed them to the top of the odds rankings for 2025 Premiership Winner. They led the game from start to finish with the Daicos brothers excelling in poor conditions in front of over 92k at the G.

Nick had 31 disposals including 11 clearances as he captained the side in place of the injured Darcy Moore, he was the youngest Collingwood captain in 57 years. Brother Josh had himself 36 touches including 9 marks in the blowout victory. Steele Sidebottom won the ANZAC Day medal with 35 disposals and 15 clearances at 34 years of age.

Collingwood are currently the top rated team in defence and the 7th in attack putting them first overall.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-2	3-4	3-0	3-1

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Darcy Moore will return for this clash after missing last weekend with concussion protocols. Lachie Shultz will need to pass a fitness test on his hamstring if he is to be a chance at lining up.

Dan McStay will miss up to two months with a knee injury.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

B: B.Maynard, B.Frampton, D.Houston

HB: I.Quaynor, D.Moore, J.Daicos

C: J.Crisp, S.Sidebottom, P.Lipinski

HF: B.Hill, T.Membrey, J.De Goey

F: W.Hoskin-Elliott, M.Cox, B.Mihocek

FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, N.Daicos - C

I/C: J.Elliott, S.Pendlebury, H.Perryman, B.McCreery, L.Schultz

EMG: E.Allan, L.Sullivan, O.Markov

In: D.Moore, L.Schultz, M.Cox

Out: J.Howe (managed), D.McStay (knee), L.Sullivan (omitted)

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	4-1	1-4

Geelong were stunned by the Blues last weekend going down by 18 points in a game where the Cats threatened to wrestle back momentum late in the proceedings.

Jeremy Cameron did his job kicking 4 goals for Geelong while new midfield recruit Bailey Smith continued to impress with 29 disposals to go along with 9 tackles and 2 clearances.

Geelong’s efficiency Inside 50 was down significantly in the loss while their opponent was more often than not first on the ball clearing out from stoppages. The Cats turned the ball over 73 times, 10 more than their season average.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-2	3-4	3-3	1-0

Geelong Cats Team News

The injury list isn’t shrinking for Geelong who have 11 players currently listed, 7 as TBC and 2 as indefinite. Jed Bews could return from a finger injury. Tom Stewart has been ruled out with a knee injury.

Geelong Cats Team List

B: C.O’Sullivan, S.De Koning, M.Blicavs

HB: L.Humphries, M.Duncan, Z.Guthrie

C: J.Bowes, M.Holmes, O.Dempsey

HF: B.Close, S.Mannagh, T.Stengle

F: J.Cameron, P.Dangerfield - C, S.Neale

FOLL: R.Stanley, B.Smith, T.Atkins

I/C: M.O’Connor, O.Mullin, O.Wilthire, O.Henry, J.Clark

EMG: TBA

In: M.Duncan

Out: T.Stewart (knee)

Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.

Verdict

Collingwood v Geelong

Collingwood -9.5

Line

$1.95 - 3 Units

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S Sidebottom 25+

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