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Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL Tips - Big brother wins the battle

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 02 May 2025 05:55

Jeremy Darke 02 May 2025

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Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 8 AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
The Swans have historically dominated GWS, winning 6 of the last 7 encounters.
Key player Lachie Ash is targeted for 25+ disposals for GWS.

Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL Tips

Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction

Sydney’s dominance over their rivals GWS can’t be denied and that is why they are tipped to cover as the 8.5-point underdog heading into their home match against the Giants at the SCG on Sunday.

Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants, Round 8 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Sydney Swans Team News
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

Both teams are coming off consecutive losses (the Swans three) and are desperate to straighten up their seasons. Sydney are obviously more keen as they look to avoid a hole that they cannot get out, already two wins out of the eight.

Big brother dominance is going to play its part in this match with sydney winning 6 of their last 8 games against the Giants and losing by no less than 2 points to their little brother since ANZAC weekend, 2019.

The Swans have had trouble in the containing the corridor and the Giants have not been as efficient moving the ball through the middle in 2025, so the winner of this battle will likely walk away as the victor.

I expect the Swans to get more ball inside their forward 50 and we will likely see Lachie Ash and Lachie Whitfield at the centre of the transition for GWS with the pair continuing to top the disposal count for the Giants.

Sydney have won 6 of the last 7 games against GWS
The Swans last three losses to GWS have been by no more than 2 points.
6 of the last 7 matches between Sydney and GWS have gone over the game total.
Lachie Ash has had 25+ disposals in his last 5 matches.

Head to Head

Sydney won both meetings against their crosstown rivals GWS in 2024, beating the Giants by 29 and 27 points.

It was the Swans sixth win in seven games in the battle of the bridge and have lost just twice in 8 games since the 2020 season.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

The Swans are suffering as injuries have controlled their fate at the start of the 2025 season. A 38-point loss to the Gold Coast at People First Stadium was Sydney's fifth of the season and has them licking their wounds in 14th on the ladder.

I’m not ready to put a line through the Swans just yet. They are doing a lot of things right especially once they get the ball inside their forward 50, ranked second in the AFL in goal efficiency ranking seventh in average inside 50’s.

The problem for them is through the corridor and at the stoppages where they are really missing the likes of Errol Gulden, Callum Mills and Tom Papley, just to name three of the eight players they are missing from their Grand Final squad of 2024.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-4	3-4	1-5	1-0

Sydney Swans Team News

Sam wicks has past his test on his calf and has been included for Sydney.

Angus Sheldrick's performances in the VFL has earned him a call up in the AFL side this weekend.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, T.McCartin, D.Rampe

HB: M.Roberts, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: J.Lloyd, I.Heeney, O.Florent

HF: Co.Warner, H.McLean, J.Jordon

F: W.Hayward, A.Francis, B.Campbell

FOLL: B.Grundy, Ch.Warner, J.Rowbottom - C

I/C (from): B.Paton, J.Hamling, P.Ladhams, T.Hanily, R.Bice, C.Cleary, J.McInerney, A.Sheldrick

EMG: TBA

In: S.Wicks, J.Hamling, A.Sheldrick

Out: -

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	3-2

A blistering start to 2025 has turned into consecutive losses for the Giants, after going down to Adelaide in the wet and the Western Bulldogs in Canberra last weekend.

The loss to the Bulldogs was the first real sign of being outplayed in decent conditions as a see-sawing battle turned into total domination by the Dogs in the premiership quarter with the Giants being outscored 5.3 to 0.1 and falling behind by 52 points.

It is not all doom and gloom for the Giants, who still sit in sixth on the ladder. GWS dominate the ball and lead the AFL with an average of 371.3 possessions per game, controlling their own destiny as they move the ball securely with the most uncontested possessions in the AFL.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-4	3-4	2-3	2-0

GWS Giants Team News

Stephen Coniglio has not past the test and was not included in the squad this weekend.

GWS Giants Team List

B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg

HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash

C: J.Wehr, F.Callaghan, C.Ward

HF: D.Jones, A.Cadman, H.Thomas

F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, J.Stringer

FOLL: K.Briggs, T.Bedford, T.Green

I/C (from): T.McMullin, J.Riccardi, X.O’Halloran, M.Gruzewski, C.Brown, L.Aleer, J.Fonti, J.Delana

EMG: TBA

In: M.Gruzewski, C.Brown, L.Aleer, J.Fonti, J.Delana

Out: J.Kelly (hip), C.Stone (omitted)

Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8?

You can watch the Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney Swans site.

Verdict

Sydney v Greater Western Sydney

The Swans will cover as 8.5-point underdogs in a game that has a total of over 169.5.

Lachie Ash will record 25+ disposals for the Giants.

Sydney +8.5

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Over 169.5

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Lachie Ash

25+ Disposals

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