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Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL Round 24 Tips - A fast start for the Cats secures second spot

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Thu 21 Aug 2025 13:42

Anticipation builds as the Geelong Cats prepare to take on the Richmond Tigers in Round 24 of the AFL 2025 season. The Cats are expected to take a commanding lead by halftime, leveraging their superior form to rest key players ahead of the finals. With the Cats having an average winning margin of 61 points in recent matches, players like Jack Bowes and Tom Atkins are anticipated to see increased on-ball action, pushing their disposal counts. Both teams are focused, but the Cats' current form suggests a strategic, early, and decisive advantage.

Jeremy Darke 21 Aug 2025
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  • Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 24 AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
  • Cats expected to secure a substantial halftime lead, allowing player rest.
  • Watch for increased on-ball time for Jack Bowes and Tom Atkins, impacting disposals.
Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL Round 24 Tips

Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction


The Cats will go big early and put this game to bed, taking no risks with their big guns in the final quarters of the match. Expect a substantial lead at half time, more than the 28.5-point half time handicap.
  • Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Tigers Team News
  • Richmond Tigers Team List
  • Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Geelong Cats Team News
  • Geelong Cats Team List
  • Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24 FAQ’s

With Adelaide likely to lock up the minor premiership in the match prior to the Cats match against the Tigers, Geelong will be out to get this match done and dusted as early as possible and remove some of the key men and avoid any risk of a late injury that will derail their premiership run. 

Therefore, expect a fast start from Geelong who will get this game out of reach early putting the Tigers out of their misery before the half. 

It makes prop betting a little difficult, but guys like Jack Bowes (if in the starting side) and Tom Atkins should see a lot more on-ball time in this match and are worth a stab at in the disposals market. 

  • Geelong have had an average winning margin of 61 points in their last 6 matches. 
  • Geelong have scored an average of 127.7 points over their last 6 matches.
  • Tom Atkins averages 19.2 disposals this season.
  • Jack Bowes had 24 disposals in his previous 2 matches as a starter.

Head to Head 


Geelong hammered the Tigers back in Round 17, getting up 124-52 in what was an off night for Jeremy Cameron who kicked 4.5.

The win was the Cats fifth in 6 games against Richmond. The Tigers did actually win the last time the pair played at the MCG, but that won’t affect the result here. 

The Over/Under is a dead heat at 5-a-piece in the last 10 matches.

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-43-22-3

5 wins for the Tigers this season was more than what many had expected, so in a way their season was some sort of success, especially considering they took down both Carlton and the Cold Coast during the season.

The Tigers are cubs but they have certainly shown signs of maturity over and above their years (in stages) this season. There is plenty to build on over the next few years but it is a work in progress.

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-3940+
11-117-154-71-10

Richmond Tigers Team News


Nick Vlastuin injured his ankle in the Tiger’s loss to Norths last weekend and will miss the final match of the season.

Richmond Tigers Team List


B: N.Broad, B.Miller, T.Young
HB: T.Brown, S.Banks, J.Short
C: K.McIntosh, D.Prestia, J.Trezise
HF: S.Campbell, J.Ross, M.Rioli
F: R.Mansell, T.Lynch, N.Balta
FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C: H.Armstrong, T.Hotton, J.Gibcus, T.Sonsie, L.Trainor
EMG: J.Koschitzke, K.Smith, S.Green

In: - J.Gibcus, L.Trainor
Out: - N.Vlastuin (Injured), S.Green (Omitted)

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
5-03-24-1

With a win against the Tigers the Cats will secure a top two finish and guarantee a home Qualifying Final in the first round of the post season and an extra life if needed. 

5 wins in a row and 11 in their last 13 has Geelong as a real favourite for another premiership. They have the perfect blend of experience led by Patrick Dangerfield along with a touch of young flair with the inclusion of Bailey Smith, who has lived up to the hype. Add a career-best year for Jeremy Cameron, kicking 79 goals as the clear leader for the Coleman Medal and the recipe for success is there. 

Important to note is that Geelong have had an easy run home, with their final 7 games of the season (including this one) against teams outside of finals contention. That being said, they have crushed their opponents, averaging 127.7 points per game while conceding just 65.8 points on average in their last 6 matches.

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-3940+
14-813-97-59-1

Geelong Cats Team News


The Cats are looking as healthy as can be heading into the finals with no changes expected for their clash against the Tiger besides Shannon Neale missing the match due to a high bump last weekend.

Geelong Cats Team List


B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, C.O’Sullivan
HB: Z.Guthrie, T.Stewart, L.Humphries
C: M.Blicavs, M.Holmes, O.Dempsey
HF: B.Close, S.Mannagh, G.Miers
F: P.Dangerfield - C, J.Cameron, T.Stengle
FOLL: R.Stanley, T.Atkins, B.Smith

I/C: M.O’Connor, J.Bews, J.Martin, O.Mullin, J.Bowes
EMG: M.Knevitt, J.Clark, T.Clohesy

In: - J.Bews
Out: - S.Neale (Suspension)

Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24?

You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24?

To buy tickets to the Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 24 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond Tigers site.

Verdict

The Cats will get out to a 28-point lead by half time, kicking over 57.5 points giving them the opportunity to rest the aging superstars.
Jack Bowes and Tom Atkins will see more time on-ball in the second half and will push up their disposal count to 20+ .
Best Bet1: Geelong -27.5 Half time Handicap $1.90 at Pandabet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Geelong Over 57.5 Half Time Team Total $1.95 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Jack Bowes 20+ Disposals $1.88 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Tom Atkins 20+ Disposals $1.88 at Playup - 2 Units
Geelong -27.5
Half time Handicap
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Geelong Over 57.5
Half Time Team Total
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Jack Bowes
20+ Disposals
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Tom Atkins
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