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Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL Round 24 Tips - Collingwood to lock in top four spot against struggling Melbourne

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 21 Aug 2025 13:38

Adam Cusworth 21 Aug 2025

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Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons expert predictions for Friday’s Round 24 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:10 PM (AEST)
Can the Magpies bounce back and secure a double chance, or will the Demons spoil the party?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL Round 24 Tips

Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction

Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Demons Team News
Melbourne Demons Team List

Collingwood will bounce back in the Friday night encounter, moving into the box seat for a top four finish.

The Magpies grip on the double chance has loosened right up after losing five of their past six but they only narrowly went down to Adelaide last weekend by three points and a win here will all but lock in a top four spot.

Craig McRae’s side got the better of the Demons by just one point on King’s Birthday, and recent history is well and truly on their side — having won the past four matchups.

For Melbourne, it’s a shot at redemption and a chance to salvage pride in what’s been a forgettable back half of the season.

Despite sitting well outside finals contention, the Demons have been competitive in patches, and their midfield, led by Clayton Oliver, continues to churn out big numbers.

Given the closeness of recent clashes between the two sides, taking Collingwood in the 1-39 point bracket looks to be the play here. Josh Daicos and Clayton Oliver will find plenty of the footy for their respective sides, while the total points under looks to be in play. Collingwood's last five matches have gone under, while these two have a history of tight and low scoring matches.

Collingwood have won the past four between the two sides
Four of the past five between Collingwood and Melbourne have gone under the total points
Melbourne’s Clayton Oliver has averaged just under 35 disposals from his past five matches against Collingwood
Josh Daicos has averaged 36 disposals from his past three for the Pies against the Dees.

Head to Head

Just one point separated the two sides in the Kings Birthday clash this season with Collingwood getting the upper hand, despite Melbourne producing more scoring shots. The Magpies have won the past four between the two sides. Seven of the past eight have been decided by 39.5 points or less.

Melbourne’s Clayton Oliver has averaged just under 35 disposals from his past five matches against Collingwood, while Josh Daicos has averaged 36 from his past three for the Pies.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	0-5

The wheels have fallen off with the one-time premiership favourites losing five of their past six. Those losses have all been against top eight sides and the only win in that period was a scrappy one over 17th-placed Richmond. However, they are unbeaten in 10 matches against sides in the bottom half of the ladder this season..

Their structure and team defence has fallen away in recent weeks and the tally of 110 that Hawthorn scored a fortnight ago was the most of any side this season. But the signs were there against Adelaide, conceding just nine goals and 37 inside 50s.

Nick Daicos picked up 29 disposals in the tight loss to the Crows and has had 25+ in eight of his past nine, collecting 30+ in five of those. Tim Membrey and Jamie Elliott both booted two goals.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-11	7-15	9-5	6-2

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Bobby Hill remains a week by week proposition and the Magpie army will be desperate to see the 2023 Norm Smith Medalist in action as we head towards finals. Ed Allan was the sub last weekend and came on very late in the game.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, J.Howe

HB: H.Perryman, J.Daicos, I.Quaynor

C: S.Sidebottom, J.Crisp, R.Steele

HF: J.De Goey, T.Membrey, L.Schultz

F: J.Elliott, D.McStay, B.McCreery

FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, N.Daicos

I/C: P.Lipinski, D.Houston, S.Pendlebury, B.Frampton, B.Mihocek

EMG: W.Parker, E.Allan, M.Cox

In: - J.Howe, R.Steele

Out: - E.Allan (Omitted), W.Parker (Omitted)

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	2-3	3-2

Melbourne have won just two of their past 11 matches with those coming against West Coast and North Melbourne and they have won just two of 11 this season against top eight opponents.

Collingwood, however, will not be taking them lightly. The Demons were in winning positions in a few of those losses, including a fortnight ago against the Bulldogs, while it was some inaccuracy and a lack of polish in front of goals that cost them last time against Collingwood as well as losses to St Kilda, Port Adelaide and Carlton.

The Demons struggled for scoreboard impact last weekend with Jacob van Rooyen and and Harrison Petty the only multiple goalscorers with two each. Petty has kicked 2+ in his past three, while Bailey Fritsch has kicked 14 goals from his past six matches. Clayton Oliver picked up 28 disposals against Hawthorn and has gone 25+ in four of his past five while he had 23 in the other.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-11	12-10	5-13	2-2

Melbourne Demons Team News

The Demons have a few players in the VFL that will be aiming to squeeze into the side for the final game of the season, including Charlie Spargo and Koltyn Tholstrup.

Melbourne Demons Team List

B: D.Turner, S.May, C.Salem

HB: J.McVee, T.McDonald, J.Bowey

C: E.Langdon, C.Petracca, H.Langford

HF: J.Culley, B.Fritsch, K.Chandler

F: K.Pickett, J.van Rooyen, T.Sparrow

FOLL: M.Gawn - C, C.Oliver, J.Viney

I/C: J.Melksham, B.Howes, T.Rivers, H.Sharp, H.Petty

EMG: B.Laurie, T.Campbell, A.Johnson

No changes

Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 24 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 24?

You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 24?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 24 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.

Verdict

Collingwood Magpies v Melbourne Demons

Collingwood to win with Josh Daicos and Clayton Oliver amongst the disposals for respective sides in a game that will stay under the total points.

Collingwood 1-39

Winning Margin 1-39

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