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Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Round 24 Tips - Hawks to swoop on top four spot at the GABBA

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
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Last updated: Thu. 21 Aug. 2025 13:15

The upcoming Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks match is crucial as both teams vie for a top-four spot in Round 24, 2025. Brisbane enters as slight favorites after defeating Fremantle by 57 points, while Hawthorn boasts recent impressive wins over Collingwood and Melbourne. Key injuries for the Lions include Lachie Neale, while Eric Hipwood and Jarrod Berry are also sidelined. The Hawks' effective ball transition and defense, alongside standout players like Karl Amon and James Worpel, make them contenders for an upset. Callum Ah Chee might be pivotal for Brisbane.

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Adam Cusworth 21 Aug. 2025
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  • Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 24 AFL game
  • The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:20 PM (AEST)
  • Can the Hawks stun the Lions on their home deck in a high-stakes Round 24 clash?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Round 24 Tips

Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction

  • Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Lions Team News
  • Brisbane Lions Team List
  • Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Hawks Team News
  • Hawthorn Hawks Team List

Brisbane and Hawthorn feature in a mouth-watering clash and this one is set to go down to the wire. 

For the winner, a spot in the top four awaits and it is the Lions that head in as slight favourites, following their demolition job over in the west against Fremantle last weekend, when taking out the Dockers by 57 points. 

But the Hawks have been equally as impressive, following up their thrashing of Collingwood a fortnight ago with a comfortable 36-point victory over Melbourne. 

Sam Mitchell’s side will need to overcome a moderate interstate record this season but the GABBA hasnt quite been the fortress it was last year for Brisbane, while the Hawks have won five of their past six against the Lions, who continue to be without their key playmaker, Lachie Neale 

The Hawks' ability to transition the ball well and defend opposition inside-50 entries, puts them right in the hunt for an upset win. Take them with the small start, while Karl Amon and James Worpel should find plenty of the footy. Callum Ah Chee is a potential game-breaker for Brisbane. 

  • Hawthorn have won five of the past six between the two sides. 
  • Karl Amon has had 29 disposals in his past two matches against Brisbane
  • James Worpel has had 25+ in three of his past four against the Lions
  • Callum Ah Chee booted four goals the last time the two sides met. 

Head to Head 


Brisbane snapped a five-match losing streak against Hawthorn earlier this season when they ventured to the MCG in Round 11, knocking over the Hawks by 33 points. It was their small forwards that did the damage with Callum Ah Chee, Cam Rayner and Charlie Cameron combining for nine goals. Karl Amon had 29 disposals for the Hawks. 

Amon has had 29 disposals in his past two against the Lions. James Worpel has had 25+ in three of his past four. Josh Dunkley has had 25+ in four of his past five for Brisbane. The Hawks have not played the Lions at the GABBA since 2019 and it was a 19-point win for Brisbane on that occasion. 

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-22-3

Brisbane have won six of their past eight matches and have won four of their past five against sides in the top half of the ladder, while they have won six of 10 at the GABBA this season. 

In the past five rounds, the Lions rank in the top three in the competition for disposals, clearances and inside 50s. Finishing off has been a slight issue, with the Lions ranking 11th for goals per inside 50 in that period but they converted well last weekend. 

Logan Morris booted four goals, taking his season tally to 47 from 21 matches. He has 13 from the past three rounds. Lachie Neale is out with injury but the Lions had four players that had 25+ disposals last weekend, including Jaspa Fletcher with 32.  

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
11-118-1412-43-2

Brisbane Lions Team News


Eric Hipwood is out for a month with a calf injury, while Jarrod Berry dislocated his shoulder in the win over Fremantle, adding to the Lions lengthy injury list. Kai Lohmann is edging closer to a return but Lachie Neale is likely to have to wait until finals. 

Brisbane Lions Team List


B: D.Zorko, D.Gardiner, R.Lester
HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews - C, B.Starcevich
C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, B.Reville
HF: C.Cameron, S.Day, Z.Bailey
F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, C.Ah Chee
FOLL: D.Fort, J.Dunkley, W.Ashcroft

I/C: K.Lohmann, L.Ashcroft, L.Beecken, S.Marshall, T.Gallop, J.Tunstill, D.Joyce, O.McInerney

In: - K.Lohmann, T.Gallop, J.Tunstill, D.Joyce, O.McInerney
Out: - J.Berry (Injured), E.Hipwood (Injured)

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-21-4

Hawthorn have won eight of their past 10 with their only losses in that period coming by under 15 points against Adelaide and Fremantle when interstate. Outside of Tasmania and Victoria this season, they have won just one of four with that coming way back in the opening round against Sydney. 

Against sides in the top half of the ladder, they have a 4-6 record this season but they did dismantle Collingwood by 64-points a fortnight ago. 

Jack Gunston kicked another seven goals last weekend against Melbourne, taking his season tally to 60. The veteran has kicked 3+ goals in his past five matches. Dylan Moore was dominant in the same match with 32 disposals and two goals. He has had 25+ disposals in four of his past five. 

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
13-98-1411-64-1

Hawthorn Hawks Team News


Hawthorn got through the Melbourne match with no injury concerns. Nick Watson was subbed out in the 3rd quarter, giving the retiring champion, Luke Breust, time to shine in the second half with nine disposals and a goal. The Hawks are unlikely to make too many changes, if any, to their side. 

Hawthorn Hawks Team List


B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, B.Hardwick
HB: J.Impey, J.Sicily - C, J.Scrimshaw
C: K.Amon, J.Worpel, D.Moore
HF: M.D’Ambrosio, M.Chol, N.Watson
F: J.Gunston, M.Lewis, C.Macdonald
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Ward

I/C: C.Jiath, C.Nash, J.Ginnivan, C.Dear, L.Breust, C.Mackenzie, S.Butler, N.Reeves

In: - C.Mackenzie, S.Butler, N.Reeves
Out: -

Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 24 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 24?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 24?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 24 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Hawks to go very close with Amon and Worpel finding plenty of footy, Ah Chee can be dangerous for Brisbane
Best Bet1: Hawthorn +9.5 Handicap -9.5 $1.90 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Karl Amon To Have 25+ disposals $2.30 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: James Worpel To Have 20+ disposals $1.55 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Callum Ah Chee To Kick 2+ goals $2.40 at dabble - 1 Unit
Hawthorn +9.5
Handicap -9.5
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Karl Amon
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Callum Ah Chee
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Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn Hawks

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